IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jlands/v12y2023i8p1487-d1203642.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Geographical Detector-Based Research of Spatiotemporal Evolution and Driving Factors of Oasification and Desertification in Manas River Basin, China

Author

Listed:
  • Jinmeng Lee

    (College of Economics & Management, Shihezi University, Shihezi 832029, China)

  • Xiaojun Yin

    (College of Information Science & Technology, Shihezi University, Shihezi 832029, China)

  • Honghui Zhu

    (College of Economics & Management, Shihezi University, Shihezi 832029, China)

  • Xin Zheng

    (College of Economics & Management, Shihezi University, Shihezi 832029, China)

Abstract

Oasification and desertification are two essential processes of land use and cover (LULC) change in arid regions. Compared to desertification, which is widely regarded as the most severe global ecological issue, the importance of oasification has not received universal recognition. However, neglecting oasification can lead to detrimental outcomes to the effectiveness of ecological governance by affecting the comprehensiveness of environmental policies proposed only based on desertification. Therefore, this study incorporates oasification into the examination of desertification by analyzing land use data for five representative periods spanning from 1980 to 2020, as well as socioeconomic and environmental data from 2000 to 2010. The aim is to evaluate the spatial and temporal dynamics of oasification and desertification in the Manas River Basin and identify the underlying factors driving these processes. The findings indicated that (1) the general trend of oasification and desertification exhibited the expansion of oases and the retreat of deserts. Specifically, the oasification area showed a “decrease-increase-decrease” pattern over time, while the desertification area consistently decreased. (2) In terms of spatial distribution, oasification and desertification displayed a transition from scattered and disordered patterns to an overall more organized pattern, with the hotspot area of desertification shifting from Shawan County to Manas County over time. (3) Population density, average land GDP, soil type and annual precipitation significantly influenced the degree of oasification, with driving force q-values above 0.4, which were the key factors driving oasification. Population density and average land GDP significantly affected the degree of desertification, with driving force q-values above 0.35, which were the key factors driving desertification. The driving force of all factors increased significantly after the interaction, and socioeconomic factors influenced oasification and desertification more than other factors. The study’s findings aim to provide a scientific basis for land resource use, ecological governance and sustainable development in the Manas River basin.

Suggested Citation

  • Jinmeng Lee & Xiaojun Yin & Honghui Zhu & Xin Zheng, 2023. "Geographical Detector-Based Research of Spatiotemporal Evolution and Driving Factors of Oasification and Desertification in Manas River Basin, China," Land, MDPI, vol. 12(8), pages 1-20, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jlands:v:12:y:2023:i:8:p:1487-:d:1203642
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2073-445X/12/8/1487/pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2073-445X/12/8/1487/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Jixia Huang & Jinfeng Wang & Yanchen Bo & Chengdong Xu & Maogui Hu & Dacang Huang, 2014. "Identification of Health Risks of Hand, Foot and Mouth Disease in China Using the Geographical Detector Technique," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 11(3), pages 1-17, March.
    2. Helen Briassoulis, 2019. "Combating Land Degradation and Desertification: The Land-Use Planning Quandary," Land, MDPI, vol. 8(2), pages 1-26, February.
    3. Zhang, Xifeng & Zhang, Lanhui & He, Chansheng & Li, Jinlin & Jiang, Yiwen & Ma, Libang, 2014. "Quantifying the impacts of land use/land cover change on groundwater depletion in Northwestern China – A case study of the Dunhuang oasis," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 146(C), pages 270-279.
    4. Daza C., Y.C. & Laguna, M.F. & Monjeau, J.A. & Abramson, G., 2019. "Waves of desertification in a competitive ecosystem," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 396(C), pages 42-49.
    5. Wei Shen & Zhicheng Zheng & Yaochen Qin & Yang Li, 2020. "Spatiotemporal Characteristics and Driving Force of Ecosystem Health in an Important Ecological Function Region in China," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 17(14), pages 1-19, July.
    6. Pietro Monforte & Maria Alessandra Ragusa, 2022. "Temperature Trend Analysis and Investigation on a Case of Variability Climate," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(13), pages 1-13, June.
    7. Yanli Lyu & Peijun Shi & Guoyi Han & Lianyou Liu & Lanlan Guo & Xia Hu & Guoming Zhang, 2020. "Desertification Control Practices in China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(8), pages 1-15, April.
    8. Xunming Wang & Quansheng Ge & Xin Geng & Zhaosheng Wang & Lei Gao & Brett A. Bryan & Shengqian Chen & Yanan Su & Diwen Cai & Jiansheng Ye & Jimin Sun & Huayu Lu & Huizheng Che & Hong Cheng & Hongyan L, 2023. "Unintended consequences of combating desertification in China," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-9, December.
    9. Yan Fang & Yiyi Jiang & Chin-Hsun Ken Tsai & Binghao Luo & Ming-Hsiang Chen, 2021. "Spatial Patterns of China’s Ski Resorts and Their Influencing Factors: A Geographical Detector Study," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(8), pages 1-16, April.
    10. Yongwei Liu & Xiaoshu Cao & Tao Li, 2020. "Identifying Driving Forces of Built-Up Land Expansion Based on the Geographical Detector: A Case Study of Pearl River Delta Urban Agglomeration," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 17(5), pages 1-17, March.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Jinmeng Lee & Xiaojun Yin & Honghui Zhu, 2024. "Spatial Optimization of Land Use Allocation Based on the Trade-off of Carbon Mitigation and Economic Benefits: A Study in Tianshan North Slope Urban Agglomeration," Land, MDPI, vol. 13(6), pages 1-18, June.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Rares Halbac-Cotoara-Zamfir & Daniela Smiraglia & Giovanni Quaranta & Rosanna Salvia & Luca Salvati & Antonio Giménez-Morera, 2020. "Land Degradation and Mitigation Policies in the Mediterranean Region: A Brief Commentary," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(20), pages 1-17, October.
    2. Gianluca Egidi & Luca Salvati & Pavel Cudlin & Rosanna Salvia & Manuela Romagnoli, 2020. "A New ‘Lexicon’ of Land Degradation: Toward a Holistic Thinking for Complex Socioeconomic Issues," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(10), pages 1-19, May.
    3. Rares Halbac-Cotoara-Zamfir & Andrea Colantoni & Enrico Maria Mosconi & Stefano Poponi & Simona Fortunati & Luca Salvati & Filippo Gambella, 2020. "From Historical Narratives to Circular Economy: De-Complexifying the “Desertification” Debate," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 17(15), pages 1-18, July.
    4. Xiaolu Yan & Xinyuan Li & Chenghao Liu & Jiawei Li & Jingqiu Zhong, 2022. "Scales and Historical Evolution: Methods to Reveal the Relationships between Ecosystem Service Bundles and Socio-Ecological Drivers—A Case Study of Dalian City, China," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(18), pages 1-20, September.
    5. Hanguang Yu & Dongya Liu & Chunxiao Zhang & Le Yu & Ben Yang & Shijiao Qiao & Xiaoli Wang, 2023. "Research on Spatial–Temporal Characteristics and Driving Factors of Urban Development Intensity for Pearl River Delta Region Based on Geodetector," Land, MDPI, vol. 12(9), pages 1-21, August.
    6. Yi Liu & Jie Xue & Dongwei Gui & Jiaqiang Lei & Huaiwei Sun & Guanghui Lv & Zhiwei Zhang, 2018. "Agricultural Oasis Expansion and Its Impact on Oasis Landscape Patterns in the Southern Margin of Tarim Basin, Northwest China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(6), pages 1-12, June.
    7. Han Yue & Tao Hu, 2021. "Geographical Detector-Based Spatial Modeling of the COVID-19 Mortality Rate in the Continental United States," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 18(13), pages 1-16, June.
    8. Zhang, Qingsong & Sun, Jiahao & Dai, Changlei & Zhang, Guangxin & Wu, Yanfeng, 2024. "Sustainable development of groundwater resources under the large-scale conversion of dry land into rice fields," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 298(C).
    9. Aibin Wu & Yanxia Zhao & Yanjie Qin & Xin Liu & Huitao Shen, 2023. "Analysis of Ecological Environment Quality and Its Driving Factors in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region of China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(10), pages 1-21, May.
    10. Khangwelo Desmond Musetsho & Munyaradzi Chitakira & Willem Nel, 2021. "Mapping Land-Use/Land-Cover Change in a Critical Biodiversity Area of South Africa," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 18(19), pages 1-14, September.
    11. Workineh, Nigatu Amsalu, 2021. "Rezoning prior urban planning period for urban space development in Injibara Town, Amhara National Regional State, Ethiopia," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 109(C).
    12. Yaotao Xu & Peng Li & Jinjin Pan & Yi Zhang & Xiaohu Dang & Xiaoshu Cao & Junfang Cui & Zhi Yang, 2022. "Eco-Environmental Effects and Spatial Heterogeneity of “Production-Ecology-Living” Land Use Transformation: A Case Study for Ningxia, China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(15), pages 1-20, August.
    13. Run Zhao & Chaofeng Shao & Rong He, 2021. "Spatiotemporal Evolution of Ecosystem Health of China’s Provinces Based on SDGs," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 18(20), pages 1-19, October.
    14. Mostafa Dastorani, 2022. "Application of fuzzy-AHP method for desertification assessment in Sabzevar area of Iran," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 112(1), pages 187-205, May.
    15. Alexander Esaulko & Vladimir Sitnikov & Elena Pismennaya & Olga Vlasova & Evgeniy Golosnoi & Alena Ozheredova & Anna Ivolga & Vasilii Erokhin, 2022. "Productivity of Winter Wheat Cultivated by Direct Seeding: Measuring the Effect of Hydrothermal Coefficient in the Arid Zone of Central Fore-Caucasus," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 13(1), pages 1-17, December.
    16. Luciano Barcellos-Paula & Anna María Gil-Lafuente & Aline Castro-Rezende, 2023. "Algorithm Applied to SDG13: A Case Study of Ibero-American Countries," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(2), pages 1-20, January.
    17. Helene Gichenje & José Muñoz-Rojas & Teresa Pinto-Correia, 2019. "Opportunities and Limitations for Achieving Land Degradation-Neutrality through the Current Land-Use Policy Framework in Kenya," Land, MDPI, vol. 8(8), pages 1-23, July.
    18. Luqian Li & Xiaobo Hua & Guangshuai Zhao & Erqi Xu, 2024. "Continuous Decline in Direct Incomes for Farmers Threatens the Sustainability of the Grain for Green Project," Land, MDPI, vol. 13(8), pages 1-13, August.
    19. Yunlin He & Yanhua Mo & Jiangming Ma, 2022. "Spatio-Temporal Evolution and Influence Mechanism of Habitat Quality in Guilin City, China," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 20(1), pages 1-15, December.
    20. Rosanna Salvia & Gianluca Egidi & Sabato Vinci & Luca Salvati, 2019. "Desertification Risk and Rural Development in Southern Europe: Permanent Assessment and Implications for Sustainable Land Management and Mitigation Policies," Land, MDPI, vol. 8(12), pages 1-16, December.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jlands:v:12:y:2023:i:8:p:1487-:d:1203642. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.