IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jjrfmx/v17y2024i12p535-d1528978.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Evaluating the Impact of Geopolitical Risk on the Financial Distress of Indian Hospitality Firms

Author

Listed:
  • Vandana Gupta

    (Finance & Accounting, FORE School of Management, New Delhi 110016, India)

Abstract

The study investigates the effect of geopolitical risk ( GPR ) on the financial distress of tourism & hospitality firms in India. Using two-step GMM, this study evaluates the impact of GPR, GPR Threat, GPR Action and GPR India on financial distress using Altman score for emerging markets as proxy for financial distress. Further, robustness is checked using Żmijewski score and financial distress ratio as proxies for financial distress. The study is extended by examining the impact of GPR specifically on firm life cycle (age) and firm size and on private and public firms. Our empirical investigation demonstrates that all measures of geopolitical risk increase the chances of financial distress of hospitality firms and our findings are robust to alternative measures of financial distress. By considering GPR as an alternate measure of uncertainty in the hospitality industry, this study contributes to the emerging literature on the factors influencing financial distress of hospitality firms. The study also identifies three accounting measures for proxies of financial distress. Policymakers, regulators and management can pre-empt the impact of uncertain external factors by formulating suitable plans and measures as also for post recovery measures to safeguard firms against bankruptcy. Firms can plan their financing decisions and cash management proactively to reduce financial risk.

Suggested Citation

  • Vandana Gupta, 2024. "Evaluating the Impact of Geopolitical Risk on the Financial Distress of Indian Hospitality Firms," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 17(12), pages 1-19, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jjrfmx:v:17:y:2024:i:12:p:535-:d:1528978
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/1911-8074/17/12/535/pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/1911-8074/17/12/535/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Conrado Diego García-Gómez & Ender Demir & Ming-Hsiang Chen & José María Díez-Esteban, 2022. "Understanding the effects of economic policy uncertainty on US tourism firms’ performance," Tourism Economics, , vol. 28(5), pages 1174-1192, August.
    2. Stefano Ramelli & Alexander F Wagner, 2020. "Feverish Stock Price Reactions to COVID-19," The Review of Corporate Finance Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 9(3), pages 622-655.
    3. Rao, Sandeep & Koirala, Santosh & Aldhawyan, Sulaiman & Corbet, Shaen, 2023. "Geopolitical risk and M&A: The role of national governance institutions," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 225(C).
    4. Faruk Balli & Gazi Salah Uddin & Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad, 2019. "Geopolitical risk and tourism demand in emerging economies," Tourism Economics, , vol. 25(6), pages 997-1005, September.
    5. Killins, Robert N., 2020. "Firm-specific, industry-specific and macroeconomic factors of life insurers’ profitability: Evidence from Canada," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
    6. Edward I. Altman, 1968. "Financial Ratios, Discriminant Analysis And The Prediction Of Corporate Bankruptcy," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 23(4), pages 589-609, September.
    7. Soo-Seon Park & Murat Hancer, 2012. "A Comparative Study of Logit and Artificial Neural Networks in Predicting Bankruptcy in the Hospitality Industry," Tourism Economics, , vol. 18(2), pages 311-338, April.
    8. Imad Jabbouri & Hamza Almustafa, 2020. "Corporate cash holdings, firm performance and national governance: evidence from emerging markets," International Journal of Managerial Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 17(5), pages 783-801, November.
    9. Viral V Acharya & Sascha Steffen, 2020. "The Risk of Being a Fallen Angel and the Corporate Dash for Cash in the Midst of COVID," The Review of Corporate Finance Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 9(3), pages 430-471.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Tetyana Balyuk & Nagpurnanand R. Prabhala & Manju Puri, 2020. "Indirect Costs of Government Aid and Intermediary Supply Effects: Lessons From the Paycheck Protection Program," NBER Working Papers 28114, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    2. Djimoudjiel, Djekonbe & T. Rostand, Dany Dombu & MBATINA NODJI, NDILENGAR, 2024. "What lessons does the COVID-19 pandemic teach us about banking liquidity and information share in the CEMAC zone?," MPRA Paper 119666, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 17 Jan 2024.
    3. Ducret, Romain, 2021. "Investors' perception of business group membership during an economic crisis : Evidence from the COVID-19 pandemic," FSES Working Papers 524, Faculty of Economics and Social Sciences, University of Freiburg/Fribourg Switzerland.
    4. Juraini Zainol Abidin & Nur Adiana Hiau Abdullah & Karren Lee-Hwei Khaw, 2020. "Predicting SMEs Failure: Logistic Regression vs Artificial Neural Network Models," Capital Markets Review, Malaysian Finance Association, vol. 28(2), pages 29-41.
    5. Andrieș, Alin Marius & Ongena, Steven & Sprincean, Nicu, 2021. "The COVID-19 Pandemic and Sovereign Bond Risk," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    6. Takahashi, Hidenori & Yamada, Kazuo, 2021. "When the Japanese stock market meets COVID-19: Impact of ownership, China and US exposure, and ESG channels," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    7. Ding, Wenzhi & Levine, Ross & Lin, Chen & Xie, Wensi, 2021. "Corporate immunity to the COVID-19 pandemic," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 141(2), pages 802-830.
    8. Armanious, Amir & Zhao, Ruoyun, 2024. "Stock liquidity effect on leverage: The role of debt security, financial constraint, and risk around the global financial crisis and Covid-19 pandemic," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
    9. Omrane Guedhami & April Knill & William L. Megginson & Lemma W. Senbet, 2022. "The dark side of globalization: Evidence from the impact of COVID-19 on multinational companies," Journal of International Business Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Academy of International Business, vol. 53(8), pages 1603-1640, October.
    10. Dunbar, Kwamie, 2022. "Impact of the COVID-19 event on U.S. banks’ financial soundness," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
    11. Ferragina, Anna Maria & Iandolo, Stefano, 2022. "Reacting to the economic fallout of the COVID-19: Evidence on debt exposure and asset management of Italian firms," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 530-547.
    12. Ferriani, Fabrizio, 2023. "Issuing bonds during the Covid-19 pandemic: Was there an ESG premium?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    13. Nguyen, Hung T. & Pham, Mia Hang & Truong, Cameron, 2023. "Leadership in a pandemic: Do more able managers keep firms out of trouble?," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(C).
    14. Rüdiger Fahlenbrach & Kevin Rageth & René M Stulz, 2021. "How Valuable Is Financial Flexibility when Revenue Stops? Evidence from the COVID-19 Crisis [The risk of being a fallen angel and the corporate dash for cash in the midst of COVID]," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 34(11), pages 5474-5521.
    15. Dörr, Julian Oliver & Kinne, Jan & Lenz, David & Licht, Georg & Winker, Peter, 2021. "An integrated data framework for policy guidance in times of dynamic economic shocks," ZEW Discussion Papers 21-062, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
    16. Elham Daadmehr, 2024. "Workplace sustainability or financial resilience? Composite-financial resilience index," Risk Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 26(2), pages 1-35, May.
    17. Cristina Demma & Giovanni Ferri & Andrea Orame & Valerio Pesic & Valerio Vacca, 2024. "Banks' operational resilience during pandemics," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 833, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    18. Sha, Yezhou & Zhang, Yong & Lu, Xiaomeng, 2022. "Household investment diversification amid Covid-19 pandemic: Evidence from Chinese investors," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 47(PA).
    19. Pierluigi Balduzzi & Emanuele Brancati & Marco Brianti & Fabio Schiantarelli, 2020. "Credit Constraints anf Firms' Decisions: Evidence from the COVID-19 Outbreak Italian Firms’ Expectations and Plans," Boston College Working Papers in Economics 1013, Boston College Department of Economics, revised 07 Oct 2022.
    20. Massimiliano Affinito & Raffaele Santioni, 2021. "When the panic broke out: COVID-19 and investment funds' portfolio rebalancing around the world," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1342, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jjrfmx:v:17:y:2024:i:12:p:535-:d:1528978. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.