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Good Practice Principles in Modelling Defined Contribution Pension Plans

Author

Listed:
  • Kevin Dowd

    (Business School, Durham University, Mill Hill Lane, Durham DHL 3LB, UK)

  • David Blake

    (Pensions Institute, Bayes Business School, City University of London, 106 Bunhill Row, London EC1Y 8TZ, UK)

Abstract

We establish 16 good practice principles for modelling defined contribution pension plans. These principles cover the following issues: model specification and calibration; modelling quantifiable uncertainty; modelling member choices; modelling member characteristics, such as occupation and gender; modelling plan charges; modelling longevity risk; modelling the post-retirement period; integrating the pre- and post-retirement periods; modelling additional sources of income, such as the state pension and equity release; modelling extraneous factors, such as unemployment risk, activity rates, taxes and welfare entitlements; scenario analysis and stress testing; periodic updating of the model and changing assumptions; and overall fitness for purpose.

Suggested Citation

  • Kevin Dowd & David Blake, 2022. "Good Practice Principles in Modelling Defined Contribution Pension Plans," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 15(3), pages 1-21, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jjrfmx:v:15:y:2022:i:3:p:108-:d:759279
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. John C. Cox & Jonathan E. Ingersoll Jr. & Stephen A. Ross, 2005. "A Theory Of The Term Structure Of Interest Rates," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Sudipto Bhattacharya & George M Constantinides (ed.), Theory Of Valuation, chapter 5, pages 129-164, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    2. David Blake & John Board, 2000. "Measuring Value Added in the Pensions Industry," The Geneva Papers on Risk and Insurance - Issues and Practice, Palgrave Macmillan;The Geneva Association, vol. 25(4), pages 539-567, October.
    3. Blake, David & Wright, Douglas & Zhang, Yumeng, 2014. "Age-dependent investing: Optimal funding and investment strategies in defined contribution pension plans when members are rational life cycle financial planners," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 105-124.
    4. Kevin Dowd & Andrew Cairns & David Blake & Guy Coughlan & David Epstein & Marwa Khalaf-Allah, 2010. "Backtesting Stochastic Mortality Models," North American Actuarial Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 14(3), pages 281-298.
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    Cited by:

    1. David Blake, 2022. "Nudges and Networks: How to Use Behavioural Economics to Improve the Life Cycle Savings-Consumption Balance," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 15(5), pages 1-17, May.

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