IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jjrfmx/v14y2021i4p177-d534337.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Relative Stock Market Performance during the Coronavirus Pandemic: Virus vs. Policy Effects in 80 Countries

Author

Listed:
  • Richard C. K. Burdekin

    (Robert Day School of Economics & Finance, Claremont McKenna College, 500 E. Ninth Street, Claremont, CA 91711, USA)

  • Samuel Harrison

    (Robert Day School of Economics & Finance, Claremont McKenna College, 500 E. Ninth Street, Claremont, CA 91711, USA)

Abstract

This paper examines relative stock market performance following the onset of the coronavirus pandemic for a sample of 80 stock markets. Weekly data on coronavirus cases and deaths are employed alongside Oxford indices on each nation’s stringency and government support intensity. The results are broken down both by month and by geographical region. The full sample results show that increased coronavirus cases exert the expected overall effect of worsening relative stock market performance, but with little consistent impact of rising deaths. There is some evidence of significantly negative stock market effects arising from lockdowns as reflected in the Oxford stringency index. There are also positive reactions to government support in March and December in the overall sample—combined with some additional pervasive effects seen in mid-2020 in Latin America.

Suggested Citation

  • Richard C. K. Burdekin & Samuel Harrison, 2021. "Relative Stock Market Performance during the Coronavirus Pandemic: Virus vs. Policy Effects in 80 Countries," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(4), pages 1-18, April.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jjrfmx:v:14:y:2021:i:4:p:177-:d:534337
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/1911-8074/14/4/177/pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/1911-8074/14/4/177/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Graham Bird & Eric Pentecost & Thomas D. Willett, 2021. "Modern Monetary Theory and the Policy Response to COVID-19," World Economics, World Economics, 1 Ivory Square, Plantation Wharf, London, United Kingdom, SW11 3UE, vol. 22(1), pages 31-54, January.
    2. Josue Cox & Daniel L. Greenwald & Sydney C. Ludvigson, 2020. "What Explains the COVID-19 Stock Market?," NBER Working Papers 27784, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    3. Al-Awadhi, Abdullah M. & Alsaifi, Khaled & Al-Awadhi, Ahmad & Alhammadi, Salah, 2020. "Death and contagious infectious diseases: Impact of the COVID-19 virus on stock market returns," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 27(C).
    4. Maretno Agus Harjoto & Fabrizio Rossi & John K. Paglia, 2021. "COVID-19: stock market reactions to the shock and the stimulus," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(10), pages 795-801, June.
    5. Okorie, David Iheke & Lin, Boqiang, 2021. "Stock markets and the COVID-19 fractal contagion effects," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 38(C).
    6. Burdekin, Richard C.K. & Tao, Ran, 2021. "The golden hedge: From global financial crisis to global pandemic," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 170-180.
    7. Scott R. Baker & Nicholas Bloom & Steven J. Davis & Kyle J. Kost & Marco C. Sammon & Tasaneeya Viratyosin, 2020. "The Unprecedented Stock Market Impact of COVID-19," NBER Working Papers 26945, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    8. Mr. Jorge A Chan-Lau & Mr. Yunhui Zhao, 2020. "Hang in There: Stock Market Reactions to Withdrawals of COVID-19 Stimulus Measures," IMF Working Papers 2020/285, International Monetary Fund.
    9. Just, Małgorzata & Echaust, Krzysztof, 2020. "Stock market returns, volatility, correlation and liquidity during the COVID-19 crisis: Evidence from the Markov switching approach," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 37(C).
    10. Harris, Richard D. F. & Tzavalis, Elias, 1999. "Inference for unit roots in dynamic panels where the time dimension is fixed," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 91(2), pages 201-226, August.
    11. Rahman, Md Lutfur & Amin, Abu & Al Mamun, Mohammed Abdullah, 2021. "The COVID-19 outbreak and stock market reactions: Evidence from Australia," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 38(C).
    12. Milton Friedman, 2005. "A Natural Experiment in Monetary Policy Covering Three Episodes of Growth and Decline in the Economy and the Stock Market," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 19(4), pages 145-150, Fall.
    13. Mazur, Mieszko & Dang, Man & Vega, Miguel, 2021. "COVID-19 and the march 2020 stock market crash. Evidence from S&P1500," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 38(C).
    14. Richard C. K. Burdekin, 2021. "Death and the stock market: international evidence from the Spanish Flu," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(17), pages 1512-1520, October.
    15. Claudiu Boţoc & Sorin Gabriel Anton, 2020. "New empirical evidence on CEE's stock markets integration," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 43(10), pages 2785-2802, October.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Molla Ramizur Rahman & Arun Kumar Misra, 2021. "Bank Competition Using Networks: A Study on an Emerging Economy," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(9), pages 1-18, August.
    2. Sabeeh Ullah, 2023. "Impact of COVID-19 Pandemic on Financial Markets: a Global Perspective," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 14(2), pages 982-1003, June.
    3. Hsio-Yi Lin & Bin-Wei Hsu, 2023. "Empirical Study of ESG Score Prediction through Machine Learning—A Case of Non-Financial Companies in Taiwan," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(19), pages 1-19, September.
    4. Park, Dojoon & Kang, Yong Joo & Eom, Young Ho, 2024. "Asset pricing tests for pandemic risk," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 89(PA), pages 1314-1334.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Hasan, Md. Tanvir, 2022. "The sum of all SCARES COVID-19 sentiment and asset return," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 332-346.
    2. Emre Cevik & Buket Kirci Altinkeski & Emrah Ismail Cevik & Sel Dibooglu, 2022. "Investor sentiments and stock markets during the COVID-19 pandemic," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 8(1), pages 1-34, December.
    3. Prelorentzos, Arsenios-Georgios N. & Konstantakis, Konstantinos N. & Michaelides, Panayotis G. & Xidonas, Panos & Goutte, Stephane & Thomakos, Dimitrios D., 2024. "Introducing the GVAR-GARCH model: Evidence from financial markets," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    4. Zhang, Wenwen & Cao, Shuo & Zhang, Xuan & Qu, Xuefeng, 2023. "COVID-19 and stock market performance: Evidence from the RCEP countries," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 717-735.
    5. Faik Bilgili & Emrah Koçak & Sevda Kuşkaya, 2023. "Dynamics and Co-movements Between the COVID-19 Outbreak and the Stock Market in Latin American Countries: An Evaluation Based on the Wavelet-Partial Wavelet Coherence Model," Evaluation Review, , vol. 47(4), pages 630-652, August.
    6. Tsai, I-Chun, 2022. "Changes in social behavior and impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic on regional housing markets: Independence and risk," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 35(C).
    7. Eddie C. M. Hui & Ka Kwan Kevin Chan, 2022. "How does Covid-19 affect global equity markets?," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 8(1), pages 1-19, December.
    8. Beata Bieszk-Stolorz & Iwona Markowicz, 2021. "Decline in Share Prices of Energy and Fuel Companies on the Warsaw Stock Exchange as a Reaction to the COVID-19 Pandemic," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(17), pages 1-17, August.
    9. Chebbi, Kaouther & Ammer, Mohammed Abdullah & Hameed, Affan, 2021. "The COVID-19 pandemic and stock liquidity: Evidence from S&P 500," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 134-142.
    10. Sabeeh Ullah, 2023. "Impact of COVID-19 Pandemic on Financial Markets: a Global Perspective," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 14(2), pages 982-1003, June.
    11. Burak Pirgaip, 2021. "Pan(dem)ic reactions in Turkish stock market: evidence from share repurchases," Eurasian Economic Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 11(2), pages 381-402, June.
    12. Boubaker, Sabri & Goodell, John W. & Kumar, Satish & Sureka, Riya, 2023. "COVID-19 and finance scholarship: A systematic and bibliometric analysis," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
    13. Kamal, Javed Bin & Wohar, Mark, 2023. "Heterogenous responses of stock markets to covid related news and sentiments: Evidence from the 1st year of pandemic," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 173(C), pages 68-85.
    14. Emrah Koçak & Tarik Dogru & Khurram Shehzad & Umit Bulut, 2023. "The economic implications of the COVID-19 outbreak on tourism industry: Empirical evidence from Turkey," Tourism Economics, , vol. 29(3), pages 742-758, May.
    15. Li, Cong & Lin, Shiwei & Sun, Yihan & Afshan, Sahar & Yaqoob, Tanzeela, 2022. "The asymmetric effect of oil price, news-based uncertainty, and COVID-19 pandemic on equity market," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    16. Alam, Md Shabbir & Murshed, Muntasir & Manigandan, Palanisamy & Pachiyappan, Duraisamy & Abduvaxitovna, Shamansurova Zilola, 2023. "Forecasting oil, coal, and natural gas prices in the pre-and post-COVID scenarios: Contextual evidence from India using time series forecasting tools," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    17. Ammari, Aymen & Chebbi, Kaouther & Ben Arfa, Nouha, 2023. "How does the COVID-19 pandemic shape the relationship between Twitter sentiment and stock liquidity of US firms?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    18. Wang, Zhixuan & Dong, Yanli & Liu, Ailan, 2022. "How does China's stock market react to supply chain disruptions from COVID-19?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    19. Pradip Debnath & Hari Mohan Srivastava, 2021. "Optimal Returns in Indian Stock Market during Global Pandemic: A Comparative Study," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(12), pages 1-13, December.
    20. Zeravan Abdulmuhsen Asaad & Amjad Saber Al-Delawi, 2022. "Iraqi Stock Exchange Reactions to the Oil price, Covid-19 Aftermath, and the Saudi Stock Exchange Movements pre-during Vaccination Program," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 12(5), pages 18-30, September.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jjrfmx:v:14:y:2021:i:4:p:177-:d:534337. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.