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The golden hedge: From global financial crisis to global pandemic

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  • Burdekin, Richard C.K.
  • Tao, Ran

Abstract

This paper examines whether gold, and gold mining stocks, were an effective hedge during the 2020 global pandemic and 2008–2009 global financial crisis. Prior research suggests that gold’s hedging value is most evident during crisis periods, but none has compared the 2008–2009 and 2020 episodes directly. Dynamic conditional correlations and hedge ratios are estimated to determine the impact of rising market volatility on the hedging properties of physical gold and gold mining stocks. The results suggest that gold provided strong hedging value during the global financial crisis but did not consistently exhibit this property in 2020. There was less scope for hedging against losses in 2020 because the market recovered so quickly from the March 2020 lows. This contrasts with the extended stock market weakness following the onset of the global financial crisis.

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  • Burdekin, Richard C.K. & Tao, Ran, 2021. "The golden hedge: From global financial crisis to global pandemic," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 170-180.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecmode:v:95:y:2021:i:c:p:170-180
    DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2020.12.009
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    3. Rubbaniy, Ghulame & Khalid, Ali Awais & Syriopoulos, Konstantinos & Samitas, Aristeidis, 2022. "Safe-haven properties of soft commodities during times of Covid-19," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 27(C).
    4. Arslanalp, Serkan & Eichengreen, Barry & Simpson-Bell, Chima, 2023. "Gold as international reserves: A barbarous relic no more?," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 145(C).
    5. Golitsis, Petros & Gkasis, Pavlos & Bellos, Sotirios K., 2022. "Dynamic spillovers and linkages between gold, crude oil, S&P 500, and other economic and financial variables. Evidence from the USA," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    6. Uddin, Mohammad Riaz & Hasan, Mostafa Monzur & Abadi, Nour, 2022. "Do intangible assets provide corporate resilience? New evidence from infectious disease pandemics," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 110(C).
    7. Văn, Lê & Bảo, Nguyễn Khắc Quốc, 2022. "The relationship between global stock and precious metals under Covid-19 and happiness perspectives," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    8. Vieira, Duarte Saldanha & Carvalho, Paulo Viegas de & Curto, José Dias & Laureano, Luís, 2023. "Gold's hedging and safe haven properties for European stock and bond markets," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PA).
    9. Richard C. K. Burdekin & Samuel Harrison, 2021. "Relative Stock Market Performance during the Coronavirus Pandemic: Virus vs. Policy Effects in 80 Countries," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(4), pages 1-18, April.
    10. You‐How Go & Jia‐Jun Teo & Kam Fong Chan, 2023. "The effectiveness of crude oil futures hedging during infectious disease outbreaks in the 21st century," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(11), pages 1559-1575, November.
    11. Bentes, Sónia R., 2022. "On the stylized facts of precious metals’ volatility: A comparative analysis of pre- and during COVID-19 crisis," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 600(C).
    12. Chi-Wei Su & Lidong Pang & Muhammad Umar & Oana-Ramona Lobonţ, 2022. "Will Gold Always Shine amid World Uncertainty?," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 58(12), pages 3425-3438, September.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Gold; Hedging; Crisis; GARCH; VIX;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises

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