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Exchange Rate Risk and Uncertainty and Trade Flows: Asymmetric Evidence from Asia

Author

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  • Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee

    (Department of Economics and the Center for Research on International Economics, the University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee, Milwaukee, WI 53201, USA)

  • Parveen Akhtar

    (School of Economics, Quiad-i-Azam University, Islamabad 44000, Pakistan)

  • Sana Ullah

    (School of Economics, Quiad-i-Azam University, Islamabad 44000, Pakistan)

  • Muhammad Tariq Majeed

    (School of Economics, Quiad-i-Azam University, Islamabad 44000, Pakistan)

Abstract

Very recently, the link between exchange rate volatility and trade flows has entered into a new direction in which researchers assess the possibility of asymmetric response of trade flows to a measure of exchange rate uncertainty. We add to this literature by estimating a linear and a nonlinear ARDL model to learn about the experiences of Asian countries, i.e., Pakistan, Japan, China, Korea, Singapore, Malaysia, the Philippines, and India. Like other studies in the literature, nonlinear models yielded relatively more significant results. In some cases, while the linear models showed no significant effects of exchange rate volatility on trade flows, the nonlinear models revealed significant effects. In some other cases, the opposite was true.

Suggested Citation

  • Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee & Parveen Akhtar & Sana Ullah & Muhammad Tariq Majeed, 2020. "Exchange Rate Risk and Uncertainty and Trade Flows: Asymmetric Evidence from Asia," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 13(6), pages 1-16, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jjrfmx:v:13:y:2020:i:6:p:128-:d:371813
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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    Cited by:

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    2. Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee & Huseyin Karamelikli & Farhang Niroomand, 2023. "Asymmetric effects of exchange rate volatility on trade flows: evidence from G7," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 47(1), pages 38-62, March.
    3. Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee & Augustine C. Arize & Ebere Ume Kalu, 2023. "On the asymmetric effects of exchange rate volatility on the U.S. Bilateral Trade with its 12 South American partners," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 56(2), pages 701-732, April.
    4. Javed Iqbal & Sitara Jabeen & Misbah Nosheen & Mark Wohar, 2024. "The Asymmetric Effects of Exchange Rate Volatility on Pakistan–Japan Commodity Trade: Evidence from Non-linear ARDL Approach," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 31(3), pages 657-732, September.
    5. Lee, Chien-Hui & Li, Shu-Hui & Lee, Jen-Yu, 2022. "An asymmetric impact analysis of the exchange rate volatility on commodity trade between the U.S. and China," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 399-415.
    6. Zhenjie Wang & Jiewei Zhang & Hafeez Ullah, 2023. "Exploring the Multidimensional Perspective of Retail Investors’ Attention: The Mediating Influence of Corporate Governance and Information Disclosure on Corporate Environmental Performance in China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(15), pages 1-33, August.
    7. Lin, Renzao & Wang, Zhe & Gao, Chunjiao, 2023. "Re-examining resources taxes and sustainable financial expansion: An empirical evidence of novel panel methods for China's provincial data," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).

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