IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jijfss/v8y2020i3p55-d410571.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Evaluation of the Reverse Mortgage Option in Korea: A Long Straddle Perspective

Author

Listed:
  • Kyung Jin Choi

    (Housing Finance Research Institute in Pusan, Pusan 48400, Korea)

  • Byungkwon Lim

    (Korea Consumer Agency in Chungbook, Chungbook 27737, Korea)

  • Jaehwan Park

    (Public Procurement Service in Daejeon, Daejeon 35208, Korea)

Abstract

This study explored the option value embedded in a reverse mortgage in Korea through an empirical analysis, using the Black–Scholes option-pricing model. The value of a reverse mortgage is affected by the variation in house prices. However, older homeowners using reverse mortgages are able to choose this option due to the unique characteristics of reverse mortgages, such as non-recourse clauses or being able to redeem the loan. This paper found the following results. First, the call option value is 5.8% of the house price at the age of 60, under the assumption of a KRW three hundred million house value, while the put option value is only 2.0%. Contrary to what it is at sixty years of age, only the call option value will remain when the homeowner reaches the age of 80. Second, this article analyzed the sensitivity of the key variables of real-option analytical models, such as the change of the exercise price, the change of the risk-free rate, volatility, and maturity, on the option value of a reverse mortgage. The sensitivity results of the key variables supported economic rationales for the option pricing model.

Suggested Citation

  • Kyung Jin Choi & Byungkwon Lim & Jaehwan Park, 2020. "Evaluation of the Reverse Mortgage Option in Korea: A Long Straddle Perspective," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 8(3), pages 1-14, September.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jijfss:v:8:y:2020:i:3:p:55-:d:410571
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7072/8/3/55/pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7072/8/3/55/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Kim, Joseph H.T. & Li, Johnny S.H., 2017. "Risk-neutral valuation of the non-recourse protection in reverse mortgages: A case study for Korea," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 133-154.
    2. Sally R. Merrill & Meryl Finkel & Nandinee K. Kutty, 1994. "Potential Beneficiaries from Reverse Mortgage Products for Elderly Homeowners: An Analysis of American Housing Survey Data," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 22(2), pages 257-299, June.
    3. Shao, Adam W. & Hanewald, Katja & Sherris, Michael, 2015. "Reverse mortgage pricing and risk analysis allowing for idiosyncratic house price risk and longevity risk," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 76-90.
    4. Nandinee K. Kutty, 1998. "The Scope for Poverty Alleviation among Elderly Home-owners in the United States through Reverse Mortgages," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 35(1), pages 113-129, January.
    5. Haurin, Donald & McGreal, Stanley & Adair, Alastair & Brown, Louise & Webb, James R., 2013. "List price and sales prices of residential properties during booms and busts," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 22(1), pages 1-10.
    6. Peter Chinloy & Isaac F. Megbolugbe, 1994. "Reverse Mortgages: Contracting and Crossover Risk," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 22(2), pages 367-386, June.
    7. Makoto Nakajima & Irina A. Telyukova, 2017. "Reverse Mortgage Loans: A Quantitative Analysis," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 72(2), pages 911-950, April.
    8. Rachel Ong, 2008. "Unlocking Housing Equity Through Reverse Mortgages: The Case of Elderly Homeowners in Australia," European Journal of Housing Policy, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 8(1), pages 61-79.
    9. Knaack,Peter & Miller,Margaret J. & Stewart,Fiona Elizabeth, 2020. "Reverse Mortgages, Financial Inclusion, and Economic Development : Potential Benefit and Risks," Policy Research Working Paper Series 9134, The World Bank.
    10. Rachel Ong, 2008. "Unlocking Housing Equity Through Reverse Mortgages: The Case of Elderly Homeowners in Australia," European Journal of Housing Policy, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 8(1), pages 61-79.
    11. Jackie Li & Atsuyuki Kogure & Jia Liu, 2019. "Multivariate Risk-Neutral Pricing of Reverse Mortgages under the Bayesian Framework," Risks, MDPI, vol. 7(1), pages 1-12, January.
    12. Black, Fischer & Scholes, Myron S, 1973. "The Pricing of Options and Corporate Liabilities," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 81(3), pages 637-654, May-June.
    13. Wei Han & Ping Wang & Hao Xu & June-Sung Choi, 2017. "Evaluation of the Reverse Mortgage Option in Hong Kong," Asian Economic Journal, East Asian Economic Association, vol. 31(2), pages 187-210, June.
    14. Lee, Yung-Tsung & Wang, Chou-Wen & Huang, Hong-Chih, 2012. "On the valuation of reverse mortgages with regular tenure payments," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 51(2), pages 430-441.
    15. Thomas J. Miceli & C.F. Sirmans, 1994. "Reverse Mortgages and Borrower Maintenance Risk," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 22(2), pages 433-450, June.
    16. Tsay, Jing-Tang & Lin, Che-Chun & Prather, Larry J. & Buttimer, Richard J., 2014. "An approximation approach for valuing reverse mortgages," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 25(C), pages 39-52.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Wei Han & Ping Wang & Hao Xu & June-Sung Choi, 2017. "Evaluation of the Reverse Mortgage Option in Hong Kong," Asian Economic Journal, East Asian Economic Association, vol. 31(2), pages 187-210, June.
    2. Yang, Jaehwan & Yuh, Yoonkyung, 2019. "Reverse Mortgages for Managing Longevity Risk in Korea," Hitotsubashi Journal of Economics, Hitotsubashi University, vol. 60(1), pages 21-40, June.
    3. Donoso, José & Ruiz, José Luis & Tapia, Pablo, 2019. "The social and economic effects of introducing reverse mortgages in Chile," Revista CEPAL, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL), December.
    4. Dillingh, Rik & Prast, Henriette & Rossi, Mariacristina & Urzì Brancati, Cesira, 2017. "Who wants to have their home and eat it too? Interest in reverse mortgages in the Netherlands," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 25-37.
    5. Tsai, Pei-Hsuan & Wang, Ying-Wei & Chang, Wen-Chang, 2023. "Hybrid MADM-based study of key risk factors in house-for-pension reverse mortgage lending in Taiwan's banking industry," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
    6. Hyung-Suk Choi, 2019. "A Numerical Analysis to Study Whether the Early Termination of Reverse Mortgages is Rational," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(23), pages 1-10, December.
    7. Fuente, Iván de la & Navarro, Eliseo & Serna, Gregorio, 2021. "Estimating regulatory capital requirements for reverse mortgages. An international comparison," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 239-252.
    8. Ming Pu & Gang-Zhi Fan & Yongheng Deng, 2014. "Breakeven Determination of Loan Limits for Reverse Mortgages under Information Asymmetry," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 48(3), pages 492-521, April.
    9. Tyson Lamarra & Aaron Bruhn & Michael Miller, 2023. "Stochastic modelling of the home equity access scheme," Australian Journal of Management, Australian School of Business, vol. 48(3), pages 652-677, August.
    10. Tripti Sharma & Declan French & Donal McKillop, 2022. "Risk and Equity Release Mortgages in the UK," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 64(2), pages 274-297, February.
    11. Nandinee K. Kutty, 1998. "The Scope for Poverty Alleviation among Elderly Home-owners in the United States through Reverse Mortgages," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 35(1), pages 113-129, January.
    12. Mohammed Mohammed Ishaq & Sulaiman Noralfishah, 2018. "Determinants of Reverse Mortgage Usage in Malaysia," Real Estate Management and Valuation, Sciendo, vol. 26(3), pages 5-23, September.
    13. Sharma, Tripti & French, Declan & McKillop, Donal, 2022. "The UK equity release market: Views from the regulatory authorities, product providers and advisors," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    14. Knaack,Peter & Miller,Margaret J. & Stewart,Fiona Elizabeth, 2020. "Reverse Mortgages, Financial Inclusion, and Economic Development : Potential Benefit and Risks," Policy Research Working Paper Series 9134, The World Bank.
    15. Dowd, Kevin & Buckner, Dean & Blake, David & Fry, John, 2019. "The valuation of no-negative equity guarantees and equity release mortgages," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 184(C).
    16. Emilia Lorenzo & Gabriella Piscopo & Marilena Sibillo & Roberto Tizzano, 2021. "Reverse mortgages through artificial intelligence: new opportunities for the actuaries," Decisions in Economics and Finance, Springer;Associazione per la Matematica, vol. 44(1), pages 23-35, June.
    17. Jr-Wei Huang & Sharon S. Yang & Chuang-Chang Chang, 2021. "Modeling Housing Price Dynamics and their Impact on the Cost of no-Negative-Equity-Guarantees for Equity Releasing Products," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 63(2), pages 249-279, August.
    18. Dillingh, Rik, 2016. "Empirical essays on behavioral economics and lifecycle decisions," Other publications TiSEM 0e2143e3-bd86-4302-90eb-e, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    19. Shi, Tianxiang & Lee, Yung-Tsung, 2021. "Prepayment risk in reverse mortgages: An intensity-governed surrender model," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 98(C), pages 68-82.
    20. Mitchell, Olivia S. & Piggott, John, 2004. "Unlocking housing equity in Japan," Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Elsevier, vol. 18(4), pages 466-505, December.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jijfss:v:8:y:2020:i:3:p:55-:d:410571. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.