IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jijfss/v8y2020i1p9-d320948.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

The Bayesian Approach to Capital Allocation at Operational Risk: A Combination of Statistical Data and Expert Opinion

Author

Listed:
  • Mohamed Habachi

    (Department of Management Sciences, University of Mohamed 5, Rabat 10052, Morocco)

  • Saâd Benbachir

    (Department of Management Sciences, University of Mohamed 5, Rabat 10052, Morocco)

Abstract

Operational risk management remains a major concern for financial institutions. Indeed, institutions are bound to manage their own funds to hedge this risk. In this paper, we propose an approach to allocate one’s own funds based on a combination of historical data and expert opinion using the loss distribution approach (LDA) and Bayesian logic. The results show that internal models are of great importance in the process of allocating one’s own funds, and the use of the Delphi method for modelling expert opinion is very useful in ensuring the reliability of estimates.

Suggested Citation

  • Mohamed Habachi & Saâd Benbachir, 2020. "The Bayesian Approach to Capital Allocation at Operational Risk: A Combination of Statistical Data and Expert Opinion," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 8(1), pages 1-25, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jijfss:v:8:y:2020:i:1:p:9-:d:320948
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7072/8/1/9/pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7072/8/1/9/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Dalla Valle, L. & Giudici, P., 2008. "A Bayesian approach to estimate the marginal loss distributions in operational risk management," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 52(6), pages 3107-3127, February.
    2. Weidong Tian & Azamat Abdymomunov & Ibrahim Ergen, 2017. "Tail Dependence and Systemic Risk in Operational Losses of the US Banking Industry," International Review of Finance, International Review of Finance Ltd., vol. 17(2), pages 177-204, June.
    3. Jan Dhaene & Andreas Tsanakas & Emiliano A. Valdez & Steven Vanduffel, 2012. "Optimal Capital Allocation Principles," Journal of Risk & Insurance, The American Risk and Insurance Association, vol. 79(1), pages 1-28, March.
    4. Luciana Dalla Valle, 2009. "Bayesian Copulae Distributions, with Application to Operational Risk Management," Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, Springer, vol. 11(1), pages 95-115, March.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Adil El Amri & Rachid Boutti & Salah Oulfarsi & Florence Rodhain & Brahim Bouzahir, 2020. "Carbon financial markets underlying climate risk management, pricing and forecasting: Fundamental analysis," Post-Print hal-03120782, HAL.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Fantazzini, Dean, 2008. "Econometric Analysis of Financial Data in Risk Management (continuation). Section III: Managing Operational Risk," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 11(3), pages 87-122.
    2. Iñaki Aldasoro & Leonardo Gambacorta & Paolo Giudici & Thomas Leach, 2023. "Operational and Cyber Risks in the Financial Sector," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 19(5), pages 340-402, December.
    3. Philipp Arbenz, 2013. "Bayesian Copulae Distributions, with Application to Operational Risk Management—Some Comments," Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, Springer, vol. 15(1), pages 105-108, March.
    4. Wang, Wei & Xu, Huifu & Ma, Tiejun, 2023. "Optimal scenario-dependent multivariate shortfall risk measure and its application in risk capital allocation," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 306(1), pages 322-347.
    5. Pesenti, Silvana M. & Tsanakas, Andreas & Millossovich, Pietro, 2018. "Euler allocations in the presence of non-linear reinsurance: Comment on Major (2018)," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 29-31.
    6. Dhaene, J. & Henrard, L. & Landsman, Z. & Vandendorpe, A. & Vanduffel, S., 2008. "Some results on the CTE-based capital allocation rule," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 42(2), pages 855-863, April.
    7. Chen, Xiaowei & Chong, Wing Fung & Feng, Runhuan & Zhang, Linfeng, 2021. "Pandemic risk management: Resources contingency planning and allocation," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 101(PB), pages 359-383.
    8. Takaaki Koike & Cathy W. S. Chen & Edward M. H. Lin, 2024. "Forecasting and Backtesting Gradient Allocations of Expected Shortfall," Papers 2401.11701, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2024.
    9. Filippo Curti & Marco Migueis & Rob T. Stewart, 2019. "Benchmarking Operational Risk Stress Testing Models," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2019-038, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    10. Tsanakas, Andreas, 2009. "To split or not to split: Capital allocation with convex risk measures," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 44(2), pages 268-277, April.
    11. Kamil J. Mizgier & Joseph M. Pasia & Srinivas Talluri, 2017. "Multiobjective capital allocation for supplier development under risk," International Journal of Production Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 55(18), pages 5243-5258, September.
    12. Paolo Giudici, 2015. "Scorecard models for operations management," International Journal of Data Science, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 1(1), pages 96-101.
    13. Lu, Zhaoyang, 2011. "Modeling the yearly Value-at-Risk for operational risk in Chinese commercial banks," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 82(4), pages 604-616.
    14. Furman, Edward & Kye, Yisub & Su, Jianxi, 2021. "Multiplicative background risk models: Setting a course for the idiosyncratic risk factors distributed phase-type," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 96(C), pages 153-167.
    15. Grechuk, Bogdan, 2023. "Extended gradient of convex function and capital allocation," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 305(1), pages 429-437.
    16. Jaume Belles-Sampera & Montserrat Guillén & Miguel Santolino, 2013. "“The use of flexible quantile-based measures in risk assessment”," IREA Working Papers 201323, University of Barcelona, Research Institute of Applied Economics, revised Dec 2013.
    17. Furman, Edward & Kuznetsov, Alexey & Zitikis, Ričardas, 2018. "Weighted risk capital allocations in the presence of systematic risk," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 75-81.
    18. Righi, Marcelo Brutti & Müller, Fernanda Maria & Moresco, Marlon Ruoso, 2020. "On a robust risk measurement approach for capital determination errors minimization," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 199-211.
    19. Silvia Figini & Lijun Gao & Paolo Giudici, 2013. "Bayesian operational risk models," DEM Working Papers Series 047, University of Pavia, Department of Economics and Management.
    20. Mizgier, Kamil J. & Hora, Manpreet & Wagner, Stephan M. & Jüttner, Matthias P., 2015. "Managing operational disruptions through capital adequacy and process improvement," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 245(1), pages 320-332.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jijfss:v:8:y:2020:i:1:p:9-:d:320948. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.