IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jijerp/v8y2011i3p913-930d11795.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Climate Change and Vector-borne Diseases: An Economic Impact Analysis of Malaria in Africa

Author

Listed:
  • Aklesso Egbendewe-Mondzozo

    (Department of Agricultural, Food, and Resource Economics, Michigan State University, 86 Agriculture Hall, East Lansing, MI 48824, USA)

  • Mark Musumba

    (Department of Agricultural Economics, Texas A&M University, 2124 TAMU College Station, TX 77843, USA)

  • Bruce A. McCarl

    (Department of Agricultural Economics, Texas A&M University, 2124 TAMU College Station, TX 77843, USA)

  • Ximing Wu

    (Department of Agricultural Economics, Texas A&M University, 2124 TAMU College Station, TX 77843, USA)

Abstract

A semi-parametric econometric model is used to study the relationship between malaria cases and climatic factors in 25 African countries. Results show that a marginal change in temperature and precipitation levels would lead to a significant change in the number of malaria cases for most countries by the end of the century. Consistent with the existing biophysical malaria model results, the projected effects of climate change are mixed. Our model projects that some countries will see an increase in malaria cases but others will see a decrease. We estimate projected malaria inpatient and outpatient treatment costs as a proportion of annual 2000 health expenditures per 1,000 people. We found that even under minimal climate change scenario, some countries may see their inpatient treatment cost of malaria increase more than 20%.

Suggested Citation

  • Aklesso Egbendewe-Mondzozo & Mark Musumba & Bruce A. McCarl & Ximing Wu, 2011. "Climate Change and Vector-borne Diseases: An Economic Impact Analysis of Malaria in Africa," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 8(3), pages 1-18, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jijerp:v:8:y:2011:i:3:p:913-930:d:11795
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/1660-4601/8/3/913/pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/1660-4601/8/3/913/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Hausman, Jerry A & Taylor, William E, 1981. "Panel Data and Unobservable Individual Effects," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 49(6), pages 1377-1398, November.
    2. Hausman, Jerry, 2015. "Specification tests in econometrics," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 38(2), pages 112-134.
    3. Tol, Richard S.J. & Ebi, Kristie L. & Yohe, Gary W., 2007. "Infectious disease, development, and climate change: a scenario analysis," Environment and Development Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 12(5), pages 687-706, October.
    4. Robinson, Peter M, 1988. "Root- N-Consistent Semiparametric Regression," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 56(4), pages 931-954, July.
    5. Pagan,Adrian & Ullah,Aman, 1999. "Nonparametric Econometrics," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521355643, October.
    6. Yatchew,Adonis, 2003. "Semiparametric Regression for the Applied Econometrician," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521812832, September.
    7. Wei-Chun Tseng & Chi-Chung Chen & Ching-Cheng Chang & Yu-Hsien Chu, 2009. "Estimating the economic impacts of climate change on infectious diseases: a case study on dengue fever in Taiwan," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 92(1), pages 123-140, January.
    8. Simon I. Hay & Jonathan Cox & David J. Rogers & Sarah E. Randolph & David I. Stern & G. Dennis Shanks & Monica F. Myers & Robert W. Snow, 2002. "Climate change and the resurgence of malaria in the East African highlands," Nature, Nature, vol. 415(6874), pages 905-909, February.
    9. Catherine A. Goodman & Paul G. Coleman & Anne J. Mills, 2001. "Changing the first line drug for malaria treatment—cost‐effectiveness analysis with highly uncertain inter‐temporal trade‐offs," Health Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 10(8), pages 731-749, December.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Etayibtalnam Koudjom & Boris O. K. Lokonon & Aklesso Y. G. Egbendewe, 2024. "Climate Change, Malaria Prevalence and Cereal Yields in Sub-Saharan Africa," The European Journal of Development Research, Palgrave Macmillan;European Association of Development Research and Training Institutes (EADI), vol. 36(5), pages 1171-1197, October.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Ichimura, Hidehiko & Todd, Petra E., 2007. "Implementing Nonparametric and Semiparametric Estimators," Handbook of Econometrics, in: J.J. Heckman & E.E. Leamer (ed.), Handbook of Econometrics, edition 1, volume 6, chapter 74, Elsevier.
    2. Jones, Andrew M. & Wildman, John, 2008. "Health, income and relative deprivation: Evidence from the BHPS," Journal of Health Economics, Elsevier, vol. 27(2), pages 308-324, March.
    3. Emmanuel Flachaire, 2005. "The Role of Economic Space in Decision Making: A Comment," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) halshs-00175901, HAL.
    4. Qi Li & Jeffrey Scott Racine, 2006. "Nonparametric Econometrics: Theory and Practice," Economics Books, Princeton University Press, edition 1, volume 1, number 8355.
    5. repec:spo:wpmain:info:hdl:2441/7182 is not listed on IDEAS
    6. Xiaohong Chen & Andres Santos, 2018. "Overidentification in Regular Models," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 86(5), pages 1771-1817, September.
    7. Robert Breunig & Alison Stegman, 2005. "Testing For Regime Switching In Singaporean Business Cycles," The Singapore Economic Review (SER), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 50(01), pages 25-34.
    8. Patrick Saart & Jiti Gao & Nam Hyun Kim, 2014. "Semiparametric methods in nonlinear time series analysis: a selective review," Journal of Nonparametric Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 26(1), pages 141-169, March.
    9. Théophile T. Azomahou & Jalal El Ouardighi & Phu Nguyen Van & Thi Kim Cuong Pham, 2006. "Estimation semi-paramétrique de la convergence des régions européennes," Economie & Prévision, La Documentation Française, vol. 0(2), pages 97-110.
    10. Zhang, Xiaobei & Wang, Xiaojun, 2021. "Measures of human capital and the mechanics of economic growth," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    11. Su, Liangjun & Lu, Xun, 2013. "Nonparametric dynamic panel data models: Kernel estimation and specification testing," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 176(2), pages 112-133.
    12. O'Brien, Raymond & Patacchini, Eleonora, 2003. "Testing the exogeneity assumption in panel data models with "non classical" disturbances," Discussion Paper Series In Economics And Econometrics 0302, Economics Division, School of Social Sciences, University of Southampton.
    13. Nuria Gallego & Carlos Llano, 2014. "The Border Effect and the Nonlinear Relationship between Trade and Distance," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 22(5), pages 1016-1048, November.
    14. Philippe Cyrenne & Robert Fenton & Joseph Warbanski, 2006. "Historic Buildings and Rehabilitation Expenditures: A Panel Data Approach," Journal of Real Estate Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(4), pages 349-380, January.
    15. McMillen, Daniel P. & Smith, Stefani C., 2003. "The number of subcenters in large urban areas," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 53(3), pages 321-338, May.
    16. Marcelo José Braga Nonnenberg & Mário Jorge Cardoso de Mendonça, 2004. "Determinantes dos Investimentos Diretos Externos em Países em Desenvolvimento," Discussion Papers 1016, Instituto de Pesquisa Econômica Aplicada - IPEA.
    17. Andrés Rodríguez-Pose & Tobias D. Ketterer, 2012. "Do Local Amenities Affect The Appeal Of Regions In Europe For Migrants?," Journal of Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 52(4), pages 535-561, October.
    18. Baltagi, Badi H. & Bresson, Georges & Pirotte, Alain, 2009. "Testing the fixed effects restrictions? A Monte Carlo study of Chamberlain's Minimum Chi-Squared test," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 79(10), pages 1358-1362, May.
    19. Patrick Paul Walsh & Ciara Whelan, 2001. "Product Differentiation and Firm Size Distribution - An Application to Carbonated Soft Drinks," Working Papers 200113, School of Economics, University College Dublin.
    20. Lee, Jungyoon & Robinson, Peter M., 2016. "Series estimation under cross-sectional dependence," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 190(1), pages 1-17.
    21. Woutersen, Tiemen & Hausman, Jerry A., 2019. "Increasing the power of specification tests," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 211(1), pages 166-175.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jijerp:v:8:y:2011:i:3:p:913-930:d:11795. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.