IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jijerp/v19y2022i21p14177-d957882.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Synergistic Effects of International Oil Price Fluctuations and Carbon Tax Policies on the Energy–Economy–Environment System in China

Author

Listed:
  • Shu Mo

    (School of Management, Guizhou University, Guiyang 550025, China)

  • Ting Wang

    (School of Management, Guizhou University, Guiyang 550025, China
    Guizhou Provincial Key Laboratory of Internet Plus Intelligent Manufacturing, School of Mechanical Engineering, Guizhou University, Guiyang 550025, China)

Abstract

Catalyzed by COVID-19 and the Russia–Ukraine conflict, oil prices fluctuate dramatically on the worldwide market. Both international oil price changes and carbon tax policies have a direct impact on energy costs, thus influencing energy security and emission reduction impacts. Therefore, assessing the interaction effects of international oil price variations and carbon tax policies can assist in resolving the competing challenges of energy security and carbon emission reduction. The impact of international oil price fluctuations on China’s energy–economic–environment system under the baseline scenario and carbon taxation scenario is analyzed by constructing a computable general equilibrium model comprising six modules: production, trade, institutions, price, environment, and equilibrium. The findings indicate that, in addition to reducing high-carbon energy consumption and increasing demand for clean electricity, rising international oil prices have a negative effect on real GDP, resulting in lower output in sectors other than construction, and a positive effect on the environmental system by driving carbon emission reductions. In contrast, decreasing international oil prices have the opposite effect. Nevertheless, the impact of rising and decreasing international oil prices is asymmetrical, with the positive shock effect being smaller than the negative. The carbon tax policy can effectively offset the increase in carbon emissions caused by the decline in international oil prices, which is conducive to promoting the development of clean energy, while simultaneously causing an increase in product prices and arousing a contraction in consumer demand, which has a limited negative impact on the macroeconomy.

Suggested Citation

  • Shu Mo & Ting Wang, 2022. "Synergistic Effects of International Oil Price Fluctuations and Carbon Tax Policies on the Energy–Economy–Environment System in China," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(21), pages 1-17, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jijerp:v:19:y:2022:i:21:p:14177-:d:957882
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/1660-4601/19/21/14177/pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/1660-4601/19/21/14177/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Ma, Qiang & Murshed, Muntasir & Khan, Zeeshan, 2021. "The nexuses between energy investments, technological innovations, emission taxes, and carbon emissions in China," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 155(C).
    2. Thorbecke, Willem, 2019. "How oil prices affect East and Southeast Asian economies: Evidence from financial markets and implications for energy security," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 128(C), pages 628-638.
    3. Zhai, Mengyu & Huang, Guohe & Liu, Lirong & Guo, Zhengquan & Su, Shuai, 2021. "Segmented carbon tax may significantly affect the regional and national economy and environment-a CGE-based analysis for Guangdong Province," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 231(C).
    4. Mohaddes, Kamiar & Pesaran, M. Hashem, 2017. "Oil prices and the global economy: Is it different this time around?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 315-325.
    5. Pan, Lingying & Liu, Pei & Li, Zheng, 2017. "A system dynamic analysis of China’s oil supply chain: Over-capacity and energy security issues," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 188(C), pages 508-520.
    6. Doğan, Buhari & Chu, Lan Khanh & Ghosh, Sudeshna & Diep Truong, Huong Hoang & Balsalobre-Lorente, Daniel, 2022. "How environmental taxes and carbon emissions are related in the G7 economies?," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 187(C), pages 645-656.
    7. Di Cosmo, Valeria & Hyland, Marie, 2013. "Carbon tax scenarios and their effects on the Irish energy sector," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 404-414.
    8. Christiane Baumeister & Lutz Kilian, 2016. "Forty Years of Oil Price Fluctuations: Why the Price of Oil May Still Surprise Us," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 30(1), pages 139-160, Winter.
    9. Fang, Guochang & Tian, Lixin & Fu, Min & Sun, Mei, 2013. "The impacts of carbon tax on energy intensity and economic growth – A dynamic evolution analysis on the case of China," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 110(C), pages 17-28.
    10. Lu, Chuanyi & Tong, Qing & Liu, Xuemei, 2010. "The impacts of carbon tax and complementary policies on Chinese economy," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 38(11), pages 7278-7285, November.
    11. Smriti Mallapaty, 2020. "How China could be carbon neutral by mid-century," Nature, Nature, vol. 586(7830), pages 482-483, October.
    12. Lin, Boqiang & Jia, Zhijie, 2018. "The energy, environmental and economic impacts of carbon tax rate and taxation industry: A CGE based study in China," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 159(C), pages 558-568.
    13. Jia, Zhijie & Wen, Shiyan & Lin, Boqiang, 2021. "The effects and reacts of COVID-19 pandemic and international oil price on energy, economy, and environment in China," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 302(C).
    14. Lin, Boqiang & Li, Xuehui, 2011. "The effect of carbon tax on per capita CO2 emissions," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 39(9), pages 5137-5146, September.
    15. David L. McCollum & Jessica Jewell & Volker Krey & Morgan Bazilian & Marianne Fay & Keywan Riahi, 2016. "Quantifying uncertainties influencing the long-term impacts of oil prices on energy markets and carbon emissions," Nature Energy, Nature, vol. 1(7), pages 1-8, July.
    16. Liu, Yu & Lu, Yingying, 2015. "The Economic impact of different carbon tax revenue recycling schemes in China: A model-based scenario analysis," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 141(C), pages 96-105.
    17. Wang, Qiang & Li, Shuyu & Pisarenko, Zhanna, 2020. "Heterogeneous effects of energy efficiency, oil price, environmental pressure, R&D investment, and policy on renewable energy -- evidence from the G20 countries," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 209(C).
    18. Du, Limin & Yanan, He & Wei, Chu, 2010. "The relationship between oil price shocks and China's macro-economy: An empirical analysis," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 38(8), pages 4142-4151, August.
    19. Brini, Riadh & Amara, Mohamed & Jemmali, Hatem, 2017. "Renewable energy consumption, International trade, oil price and economic growth inter-linkages: The case of Tunisia," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 620-627.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Genovaitė Liobikienė & Mindaugas Butkus & Kristina Matuzevičiūtė, 2019. "The Contribution of Energy Taxes to Climate Change Policy in the European Union (EU)," Resources, MDPI, vol. 8(2), pages 1-23, April.
    2. Lele Zou & Jinjun Xue & Alan Fox & Bo Meng, 2018. "The Emissions Reduction Effect And Economic Impact Of An Energy Tax Vs. A Carbon Tax In China: A Dynamic Cge Model Analysis," The Singapore Economic Review (SER), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 63(02), pages 339-387, March.
    3. Dong, Huijuan & Dai, Hancheng & Geng, Yong & Fujita, Tsuyoshi & Liu, Zhe & Xie, Yang & Wu, Rui & Fujii, Minoru & Masui, Toshihiko & Tang, Liang, 2017. "Exploring impact of carbon tax on China’s CO2 reductions and provincial disparities," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 596-603.
    4. Yang, Mian & Fan, Ying & Yang, Fuxia & Hu, Hui, 2014. "Regional disparities in carbon dioxide reduction from China's uniform carbon tax: A perspective on interfactor/interfuel substitution," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 131-139.
    5. Zhaoyong Sun & Xinyu Cai & Wei-Chiao Huang, 2022. "The Impact of Oil Price Fluctuations on Consumption, Output, and Investment in China’s Industrial Sectors," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(9), pages 1-19, May.
    6. Aiwen Zhao & Xiaoqian Song & Jiajie Li & Qingchun Yuan & Yingshun Pei & Ruilin Li & Michael Hitch, 2023. "Effects of Carbon Tax on Urban Carbon Emission Reduction: Evidence in China Environmental Governance," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 20(3), pages 1-19, January.
    7. Wu, T. & Thomassin, P.J., 2018. "The Impact of Carbon Tax on Food Prices and Consumption in Canada," 2018 Conference, July 28-August 2, 2018, Vancouver, British Columbia 275913, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    8. Kwaku Addai & Souha Hanna Al Geitany & Seyed Alireza Athari & Panteha Farmanesh & Dervis Kirikkaleli & Chafic Saliba, 2024. "Do Environmental Tax and Energy Matter for Environmental Degradation in the UK? Evidence from Novel Fourier-Based Estimators," Energies, MDPI, vol. 17(22), pages 1-18, November.
    9. Xiao Yu & Yingdong Xu & Meng Sun & Yanzhe Zhang, 2021. "The Green-Innovation-Inducing Effect of a Unit Progressive Carbon Tax," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(21), pages 1-18, October.
    10. Zhang, Jiekuan & Zhang, Yan, 2018. "Carbon tax, tourism CO2 emissions and economic welfare," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 18-30.
    11. Shuang Liang & Xinyue Lin & Xiaoxue Liu & Haoran Pan, 2022. "The Pathway to China’s Carbon Neutrality Based on an Endogenous Technology CGE Model," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(10), pages 1-22, May.
    12. Xu, Qi & Liu, Kui, 2024. "Hero or Devil: A comparison of different carbon tax policies for China," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 306(C).
    13. Runst, Petrik & Thonipara, Anita, 2020. "Dosis facit effectum why the size of the carbon tax matters: Evidence from the Swedish residential sector," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    14. Cross, Jamie & Nguyen, Bao H., 2017. "The relationship between global oil price shocks and China's output: A time-varying analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 79-91.
    15. Nusrate Aziz & Belayet Hossain & Laura Lamb, 2022. "Does green policy pay dividends?," Environmental Economics and Policy Studies, Springer;Society for Environmental Economics and Policy Studies - SEEPS, vol. 24(2), pages 147-172, April.
    16. Raghavan, Mala, 2020. "An analysis of the global oil market using SVARMA models," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
    17. An Cheng & Tonghui Chen & Guogang Jiang & Xinru Han, 2021. "Can Major Public Health Emergencies Affect Changes in International Oil Prices?," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 18(24), pages 1-13, December.
    18. Rodríguez, M. & Teotónio, C. & Roebeling, P. & Fortes, P., 2023. "Targeting energy savings? Better on primary than final energy and less on intensity metrics," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 125(C).
    19. Deng, Youyi & Dong, Kangyin & Taghizadeh-Hesary, Farhad & Xue, Jinjun, 2023. "How does environmental regulation affect the double dividend for energy firms? Evidence from China’s EPT policy," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 807-820.
    20. Wesseh, Presley K. & Lin, Boqiang & Atsagli, Philip, 2017. "Carbon taxes, industrial production, welfare and the environment," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 123(C), pages 305-313.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jijerp:v:19:y:2022:i:21:p:14177-:d:957882. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.