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Urban Seismic Risk Assessment by Integrating Direct Economic Loss and Loss of Statistical Life: An Empirical Study in Xiamen, China

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  • Shutian Zhou

    (School of Arts (School of Architecture), Nantong University, Nantong 226001, China)

  • Guofang Zhai

    (School of Architecture and Urban Planning, Nanjing University, Nanjing 210093, China)

  • Yijun Shi

    (School of Landscape Architecture, Zhejiang A&F University, Hangzhou 311300, China)

  • Yuwen Lu

    (School of Architecture and Urban Planning, Nanjing University, Nanjing 210093, China)

Abstract

The growing densities of human and economic activities in cities lead to more severe consequences when a catastrophe such as an earthquake occurs. This study on urban seismic risk evaluation is carried out from the perspective of the direct loss caused by disasters in urban areas, including the measurement of both the expected direct economic loss and loss of life in the face of characteristic earthquakes. Aiming to estimate, quantify and visualize the earthquake risk in each unit of urban space, this research proposes to assess urban seismic risk by integrating the direct economic loss and the loss of statistical life in a disaster, with consideration of diverse earthquake frequencies. Empirical research of the proposed assessment framework and corresponding models is then conducted to measure urban seismic risk in Xiamen, China. Key findings of the case study include the expected direct economic losses and the expected number of deaths in three characteristic earthquakes, their estimated spatial distributions, the average loss of the value of a statistical life (VSL) of one average local resident and the overall seismic risk distributions in Xiamen.

Suggested Citation

  • Shutian Zhou & Guofang Zhai & Yijun Shi & Yuwen Lu, 2020. "Urban Seismic Risk Assessment by Integrating Direct Economic Loss and Loss of Statistical Life: An Empirical Study in Xiamen, China," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 17(21), pages 1-21, November.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jijerp:v:17:y:2020:i:21:p:8154-:d:439992
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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    6. Dane Wiebe & Daniel Cox, 2014. "Application of fragility curves to estimate building damage and economic loss at a community scale: a case study of Seaside, Oregon," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 71(3), pages 2043-2061, April.
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    Cited by:

    1. Shutian Zhou & Guofang Zhai, 2023. "A Multi-Hazard Risk Assessment Framework for Urban Disaster Prevention Planning: A Case Study of Xiamen, China," Land, MDPI, vol. 12(10), pages 1-19, October.
    2. Casey Zuzak & Matthew Mowrer & Emily Goodenough & Jordan Burns & Nicholas Ranalli & Jesse Rozelle, 2022. "The national risk index: establishing a nationwide baseline for natural hazard risk in the US," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 114(2), pages 2331-2355, November.

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