IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jijerp/v14y2017i10p1203-d114394.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Priority of a Hesitant Fuzzy Linguistic Preference Relation with a Normal Distribution in Meteorological Disaster Risk Assessment

Author

Listed:
  • Lihong Wang

    (Collaborative Innovation Center on Forecast and Evaluation of Meteorological Disasters, College of Economics and Management, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing 210044, China)

  • Zaiwu Gong

    (Collaborative Innovation Center on Forecast and Evaluation of Meteorological Disasters, College of Economics and Management, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing 210044, China)

Abstract

As meteorological disaster systems are large complex systems, disaster reduction programs must be based on risk analysis. Consequently, judgment by an expert based on his or her experience (also known as qualitative evaluation) is an important link in meteorological disaster risk assessment. In some complex and non-procedural meteorological disaster risk assessments, a hesitant fuzzy linguistic preference relation (HFLPR) is often used to deal with a situation in which experts may be hesitant while providing preference information of a pairwise comparison of alternatives, that is, the degree of preference of one alternative over another. This study explores hesitation from the perspective of statistical distributions, and obtains an optimal ranking of an HFLPR based on chance-restricted programming, which provides a new approach for hesitant fuzzy optimisation of decision-making in meteorological disaster risk assessments.

Suggested Citation

  • Lihong Wang & Zaiwu Gong, 2017. "Priority of a Hesitant Fuzzy Linguistic Preference Relation with a Normal Distribution in Meteorological Disaster Risk Assessment," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 14(10), pages 1-16, October.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jijerp:v:14:y:2017:i:10:p:1203-:d:114394
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/1660-4601/14/10/1203/pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/1660-4601/14/10/1203/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Zhen Zhang & Chonghui Guo, 2016. "Consistency and consensus models for group decision-making with uncertain 2-tuple linguistic preference relations," International Journal of Systems Science, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(11), pages 2572-2587, August.
    2. Sven Fuchs & Jörn Birkmann & Thomas Glade, 2012. "Vulnerability assessment in natural hazard and risk analysis: current approaches and future challenges," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 64(3), pages 1969-1975, December.
    3. Tai-Li Lee & Ching-Ho Chen & Tzu-Yi Pai & Ray-Shyan Wu, 2015. "Development of a Meteorological Risk Map for Disaster Mitigation and Management in the Chishan Basin, Taiwan," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 7(1), pages 1-26, January.
    4. Xiao Tan & Zaiwu Gong & Minji Huang & Zhou-Jing Wang, 2017. "Selecting Cooking Methods to Decrease Persistent Organic Pollutant Concentrations in Food of Animal Origin Using a Consensus Decision-Making Model," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 14(2), pages 1-18, February.
    5. Huchang Liao & Zeshui Xu & Meimei Xia, 2014. "Multiplicative Consistency Of Hesitant Fuzzy Preference Relation And Its Application In Group Decision Making," International Journal of Information Technology & Decision Making (IJITDM), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 13(01), pages 47-76.
    6. Herrera, F. & Martinez, L. & Sanchez, P. J., 2005. "Managing non-homogeneous information in group decision making," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 166(1), pages 115-132, October.
    7. Meng, Fanyong & Tan, Chunqiao & Chen, Xiaohong, 2017. "Multiplicative consistency analysis for interval fuzzy preference relations: A comparative study," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 17-38.
    8. Zaiwu Gong & Jeffrey Forrest, 2014. "Special issue on meteorological disaster risk analysis and assessment: on basis of grey systems theory," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 71(2), pages 995-1000, March.
    9. Herrera-Viedma, E. & Herrera, F. & Chiclana, F. & Luque, M., 2004. "Some issues on consistency of fuzzy preference relations," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 154(1), pages 98-109, April.
    10. Xiayu Tong & Zhou-Jing Wang, 2016. "A Group Decision Framework with Intuitionistic Preference Relations and Its Application to Low Carbon Supplier Selection," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 13(9), pages 1-16, September.
    11. Terje Aven, 2011. "On Some Recent Definitions and Analysis Frameworks for Risk, Vulnerability, and Resilience," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 31(4), pages 515-522, April.
    12. P. Bubeck & W. J. W. Botzen & J. C. J. H. Aerts, 2012. "A Review of Risk Perceptions and Other Factors that Influence Flood Mitigation Behavior," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 32(9), pages 1481-1495, September.
    13. Wei Xu & Li Zhuo & Jing Zheng & Yi Ge & Zhihui Gu & Yugang Tian, 2016. "Assessment of the Casualty Risk of Multiple Meteorological Hazards in China," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 13(2), pages 1-12, February.
    14. Yongfang Wang & Jiquan Zhang & Enliang Guo & Zhongyi Sun, 2015. "Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation-Based Disaster Risk Assessment of Desertification in Horqin Sand Land, China," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 12(2), pages 1-23, February.
    15. Wuyong Qian & Zhou-Jing Wang & Kevin W. Li, 2016. "Medical Waste Disposal Method Selection Based on a Hierarchical Decision Model with Intuitionistic Fuzzy Relations," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 13(9), pages 1-13, September.
    16. Naiming Xie & Jianghui Xin & Sifeng Liu, 2014. "China’s regional meteorological disaster loss analysis and evaluation based on grey cluster model," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 71(2), pages 1067-1089, March.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Ning Zhang & Zaiwu Gong & Kedong Yin & Yuhong Wang, 2018. "Special Issue “Decision Models in Green Growth and Sustainable Development”," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 15(6), pages 1-8, May.
    2. Ming Tang & Huchang Liao & Zongmin Li & Zeshui Xu, 2018. "Nature Disaster Risk Evaluation with a Group Decision Making Method Based on Incomplete Hesitant Fuzzy Linguistic Preference Relations," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 15(4), pages 1-21, April.
    3. Xiaobing Yu & Xianrui Yu & Yiqun Lu, 2018. "Evaluation of an Agricultural Meteorological Disaster Based on Multiple Criterion Decision Making and Evolutionary Algorithm," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 15(4), pages 1-17, March.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Zaiwu Gong & Lihong Wang, 2017. "On Consistency Test Method of Expert Opinion in Ecological Security Assessment," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 14(9), pages 1-18, September.
    2. Xu, Zeshui & Chen, Jian, 2008. "Some models for deriving the priority weights from interval fuzzy preference relations," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 184(1), pages 266-280, January.
    3. Ping Lu & Xuan Yang & Zhou-Jing Wang, 2018. "Fuzzy Group Consensus Decision Making and Its Use in Selecting Energy-Saving and Low-Carbon Technology Schemes in Star Hotels," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 15(9), pages 1-18, September.
    4. Zhen Zhang & Chonghui Guo, 2017. "Deriving priority weights from intuitionistic multiplicative preference relations under group decision-making settings," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Palgrave Macmillan;The OR Society, vol. 68(12), pages 1582-1599, December.
    5. Xiaoli Li & Zhiqiang Li & Jiansi Yang & Yaohui Liu & Bo Fu & Wenhua Qi & Xiwei Fan, 2018. "Spatiotemporal characteristics of earthquake disaster losses in China from 1993 to 2016," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 94(2), pages 843-865, November.
    6. Fang Liu & Jia-Wei Zhang & Qin Yu & Ya-Nan Peng & Witold Pedrycz, 2020. "On weak consistency of interval additive reciprocal matrices," Fuzzy Optimization and Decision Making, Springer, vol. 19(2), pages 153-175, June.
    7. Xiao Tan & Zaiwu Gong & Minji Huang & Zhou-Jing Wang, 2017. "Selecting Cooking Methods to Decrease Persistent Organic Pollutant Concentrations in Food of Animal Origin Using a Consensus Decision-Making Model," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 14(2), pages 1-18, February.
    8. Meimei Xia & Jian Chen, 2015. "Studies on Interval Multiplicative Preference Relations and Their Application to Group Decision Making," Group Decision and Negotiation, Springer, vol. 24(1), pages 115-144, January.
    9. Cao, Xinhu & Lam, Jasmine Siu Lee, 2019. "A fast reaction-based port vulnerability assessment: Case of Tianjin Port explosion," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 128(C), pages 11-33.
    10. Jia-Wei Tang & Tsuen-Ho Hsu, 2018. "Utilizing the Hierarchy Structural Fuzzy Analytical Network Process Model to Evaluate Critical Elements of Marketing Strategic Alliance Development in Mobile Telecommunication Industry," Group Decision and Negotiation, Springer, vol. 27(2), pages 251-284, April.
    11. Bice Cavallo, 2019. "Coherent weights for pairwise comparison matrices and a mixed-integer linear programming problem," Journal of Global Optimization, Springer, vol. 75(1), pages 143-161, September.
    12. Rebecca E. Morss & Julie L. Demuth & Ann Bostrom & Jeffrey K. Lazo & Heather Lazrus, 2015. "Flash Flood Risks and Warning Decisions: A Mental Models Study of Forecasters, Public Officials, and Media Broadcasters in Boulder, Colorado," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 35(11), pages 2009-2028, November.
    13. Delin Liu & Xiaole Chang & Siyu Wu & Yongling Zhang & Nana Kong & Xiaobing Zhang, 2024. "Influencing Factors of Urban Public Flood Emergency Evacuation Decision Behavior Based on Protection Motivation Theory: An Example from Jiaozuo City, China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(13), pages 1-15, June.
    14. Xiaobing Yu & Hong Chen & Chenliang Li, 2019. "Evaluate Typhoon Disasters in 21st Century Maritime Silk Road by Super-Efficiency DEA," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 16(9), pages 1-10, May.
    15. Allan Beltrán & David Maddison & Robert J. R. Elliott, 2018. "Assessing the Economic Benefits of Flood Defenses: A Repeat‐Sales Approach," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 38(11), pages 2340-2367, November.
    16. Giovanni Matteo & Pierfrancesco Nardi & Stefano Grego & Caterina Guidi, 2018. "Bibliometric analysis of Climate Change Vulnerability Assessment research," Environment Systems and Decisions, Springer, vol. 38(4), pages 508-516, December.
    17. Wenqi Liu & Hengjie Zhang & Haiming Liang & Cong-cong Li & Yucheng Dong, 2022. "Managing Consistency and Consensus Issues in Group Decision-Making with Self-Confident Additive Preference Relations and Without Feedback: A Nonlinear Optimization Method," Group Decision and Negotiation, Springer, vol. 31(1), pages 213-240, February.
    18. Yang, Bofan & Zhang, Lin & Zhang, Bo & Xiang, Yang & An, Lei & Wang, Wenfeng, 2022. "Complex equipment system resilience: Composition, measurement and element analysis," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 228(C).
    19. Mutlu, Asli & Roy, Debraj & Filatova, Tatiana, 2023. "Capitalized value of evolving flood risks discount and nature-based solution premiums on property prices," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 205(C).
    20. Tianzhuo Liu & Huifang Jiao, 2018. "Insights into the Effects of Cognitive Factors and Risk Attitudes on Fire Risk Mitigation Behavior," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 52(4), pages 1213-1232, December.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jijerp:v:14:y:2017:i:10:p:1203-:d:114394. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.