IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jeners/v17y2024i9p2128-d1385922.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Assessment and Forecasting of Energy Efficiency in Economic Sectors in Poland

Author

Listed:
  • Joanna Żurakowska-Sawa

    (Faculty of Economic Sciences, John Paul II University, 21-500 Biala Podlaska, Poland)

  • Mariusz Pyra

    (Faculty of Economic Sciences, John Paul II University, 21-500 Biala Podlaska, Poland)

Abstract

The material developed focuses on the analysis of energy efficiency trends in Poland, utilising ODEX indicators for the sectors of industry, transport, households and in general, from 2011 to 2021. The objective of the study is to assess the progress made in energy efficiency and to forecast future trends in these sectors. The methods employed are based on statistical modelling of time series, taking into account sector-specific energy consumption dynamics. The following techniques were employed: linear regression, cluster analysis to identify patterns of change, statistical hypothesis testing for energy efficiency and simplified autoregressive models. The results demonstrated significant improvements in energy efficiency in the industrial sector, stability of the ODEX indicator in the transport sector and gradual improvements in households and overall. The prediction indicates an upward trend in the ODEX indicator in the short term, suggesting an increase in energy demand. However, it also predicts a decline in the long term, which may indicate the effectiveness of future energy efficiency strategies and investments. Consequently, the necessity for continued efforts to increase energy efficiency and further research into the factors influencing energy efficiency in different economic sectors is emphasised.

Suggested Citation

  • Joanna Żurakowska-Sawa & Mariusz Pyra, 2024. "Assessment and Forecasting of Energy Efficiency in Economic Sectors in Poland," Energies, MDPI, vol. 17(9), pages 1-16, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jeners:v:17:y:2024:i:9:p:2128-:d:1385922
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/17/9/2128/pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/17/9/2128/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Horowitz, Marvin J. & Bertoldi, Paolo, 2015. "A harmonized calculation model for transforming EU bottom-up energy efficiency indicators into empirical estimates of policy impacts," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 135-148.
    2. May, Gökan & Barletta, Ilaria & Stahl, Bojan & Taisch, Marco, 2015. "Energy management in production: A novel method to develop key performance indicators for improving energy efficiency," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 149(C), pages 46-61.
    3. Baležentis, Tomas & Butkus, Mindaugas & Štreimikienė, Dalia & Shen, Zhiyang, 2021. "Exploring the limits for increasing energy efficiency in the residential sector of the European Union: Insights from the rebound effect," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 149(C).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Trotta, Gianluca, 2020. "Assessing energy efficiency improvements and related energy security and climate benefits in Finland: An ex post multi-sectoral decomposition analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
    2. Cristian Mardones & Pablo Herreros, 2023. "Ex post evaluation of voluntary environmental policies on the energy intensity in Chilean firms," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 25(9), pages 9111-9136, September.
    3. Fernández-Amador, Octavio & Francois, Joseph F. & Oberdabernig, Doris A. & Tomberger, Patrick, 2023. "Energy footprints and the international trade network: A new dataset. Is the European Union doing it better?," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 204(PA).
    4. Matteo Piccioni & Fabrizio Martini & Chiara Martini & Claudia Toro, 2024. "Evaluation of Energy Performance Indicators and Energy Saving Opportunities for the Italian Rubber Manufacturing Industry," Energies, MDPI, vol. 17(7), pages 1-23, March.
    5. Bhowmik, Chiranjib & Bhowmik, Sumit & Ray, Amitava & Pandey, Krishna Murari, 2017. "Optimal green energy planning for sustainable development: A review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 796-813.
    6. Sun, Jingchao & Na, Hongming & Yan, Tianyi & Che, Zichang & Qiu, Ziyang & Yuan, Yuxing & Li, Yingnan & Du, Tao & Song, Yanli & Fang, Xin, 2022. "Cost-benefit assessment of manufacturing system using comprehensive value flow analysis," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 310(C).
    7. Alessandro Franco & Lorenzo Miserocchi & Daniele Testi, 2023. "Energy Indicators for Enabling Energy Transition in Industry," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(2), pages 1-18, January.
    8. Ganjehkaviri, A. & Mohd Jaafar, M.N. & Hosseini, S.E. & Barzegaravval, H., 2017. "Genetic algorithm for optimization of energy systems: Solution uniqueness, accuracy, Pareto convergence and dimension reduction," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 119(C), pages 167-177.
    9. Perroni, Marcos G. & Gouvea da Costa, Sergio E. & Pinheiro de Lima, Edson & Vieira da Silva, Wesley & Tortato, Ubiratã, 2018. "Measuring energy performance: A process based approach," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 222(C), pages 540-553.
    10. Bhadbhade, Navdeep & Yilmaz, Selin & Zuberi, Jibran S. & Eichhammer, Wolfgang & Patel, Martin K., 2020. "The evolution of energy efficiency in Switzerland in the period 2000–2016," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 191(C).
    11. Gibb, Duncan & Johnson, Maike & Romaní, Joaquim & Gasia, Jaume & Cabeza, Luisa F. & Seitz, Antje, 2018. "Process integration of thermal energy storage systems – Evaluation methodology and case studies," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 230(C), pages 750-760.
    12. Salvatori, Simone & Benedetti, Miriam & Bonfà, Francesca & Introna, Vito & Ubertini, Stefano, 2018. "Inter-sectorial benchmarking of compressed air generation energy performance: Methodology based on real data gathering in large and energy-intensive industrial firms," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 217(C), pages 266-280.
    13. Hu, Ying & Yu, Yang & Mardani, Abbas, 2021. "Selection of carbon emissions control industries in China: An approach based on complex networks control perspective," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 172(C).
    14. Bertoldi, Paolo & Mosconi, Rocco, 2020. "Do energy efficiency policies save energy? A new approach based on energy policy indicators (in the EU Member States)," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
    15. Pedro Roquet & Gustavo Raush & Luis Javier Berne & Pedro-Javier Gamez-Montero & Esteban Codina, 2022. "Energy Key Performance Indicators for Mobile Machinery," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(4), pages 1-16, February.
    16. Huang, Chenchen & Lin, Boqiang, 2025. "The impact of digital economy on energy rebound effect in China: A stochastic energy demand frontier approach," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 196(C).
    17. Benjie Li & Hualin Zheng & Xiao Yang & Liang Guo & Binglin Li, 2020. "Energy Optimization for Motorized Spindle System of Machine Tools under Minimum Thermal Effects and Maximum Productivity Constraints," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(22), pages 1-17, November.
    18. Amir Abolhassani & Gale Boyd & Majid Jaridi & Bhaskaran Gopalakrishnan & James Harner, 2023. "“Is Energy That Different from Labor?” Similarity in Determinants of Intensity for Auto Assembly Plants," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(4), pages 1-35, February.
    19. Jia, Shun & Yuan, Qinghe & Lv, Jingxiang & Liu, Ying & Ren, Dawei & Zhang, Zhongwei, 2017. "Therblig-embedded value stream mapping method for lean energy machining," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 138(C), pages 1081-1098.
    20. Adalberto Ospino Castro & Carlos Robles-Algar n & Rafael Pe a Gallardo, 2019. "Analysis of Energy Management and Financial Planning in the Implementation of PV Systems," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 9(4), pages 1-11.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jeners:v:17:y:2024:i:9:p:2128-:d:1385922. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.