IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jeners/v17y2024i12p2802-d1410683.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

ANN for Temperature and Irradiation Prediction and Maximum Power Point Tracking Using MRP-SMC

Author

Listed:
  • Mokhtar Jlidi

    (Laboratory Modélisation, Analyse et Commande des Systèmes, University of Gabes, Gabes LR16ES22, Tunisia
    Automatic Control and System Engineering Department, University of the Basque Country, UPV/EHU, Nieves Cano 12, 01006 Vitoria-Gasteiz, Spain)

  • Oscar Barambones

    (Automatic Control and System Engineering Department, University of the Basque Country, UPV/EHU, Nieves Cano 12, 01006 Vitoria-Gasteiz, Spain)

  • Faiçal Hamidi

    (Laboratory Modélisation, Analyse et Commande des Systèmes, University of Gabes, Gabes LR16ES22, Tunisia)

  • Mohamed Aoun

    (Laboratory Modélisation, Analyse et Commande des Systèmes, University of Gabes, Gabes LR16ES22, Tunisia)

Abstract

Currently, artificial intelligence (AI) is emerging as a dominant force in various technologies, owing to its unparalleled efficiency. Among the plethora of AI techniques available, neural networks (NNs) have garnered significant attention due to their adeptness in addressing diverse challenges, particularly for prediction tasks. This study offers a comprehensive review of predominant AI-based approaches to photovoltaic (PV) energy forecasting, with a particular emphasis on artificial neural networks (ANNs). We introduce a revolutionary methodology that amalgamates the predictive capabilities of ANN with the precision control afforded by the minimum-risk problem and sliding mode control (MRP-SMC), thereby revolutionizing the PV panel performance enhancement. Building upon this methodology, our hybrid approach utilizes the ANN as a proficient weather forecaster, accurately predicting the temperature and solar radiation levels impacting the panels. These forecasts serve as guiding principles for the MRP-SMC algorithm, enabling the proactive determination of the Maximum Power Point (MPP). Unlike conventional methods that grapple with weather unpredictability, the MRP-SMC algorithm transforms stochastic optimization challenges into controllable deterministic risk problems. Our method regulates the boost converter’s work cycle dynamically. This dynamic adaptation, guided by environmental predictions from ANNs, unlocks the full potential of PV panels, maximizing energy recovery efficiency. To train the model, we utilized a large dataset comprising 60,538 temperature and solar radiation readings from the Department of Systems Engineering and Automation at the Faculty of Engineering in Vitoria (University of the Basque Country). Our approach demonstrates a high regression coefficient (R = 0.99) and low mean square error (MSE = 0.0044), underscoring its exceptional ability to predict real energy values. In essence, this study proposes a potent fusion of artificial intelligence and control mechanisms that unleash the untapped potential of photovoltaic panels. By utilizing forecasts to guide the converter, we are paving the way for a future where solar energy shines brighter than ever.

Suggested Citation

  • Mokhtar Jlidi & Oscar Barambones & Faiçal Hamidi & Mohamed Aoun, 2024. "ANN for Temperature and Irradiation Prediction and Maximum Power Point Tracking Using MRP-SMC," Energies, MDPI, vol. 17(12), pages 1-21, June.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jeners:v:17:y:2024:i:12:p:2802-:d:1410683
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/17/12/2802/pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/17/12/2802/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Dongdong Song & Yuewen Liu & Tianbao Qin & Hongsong Gu & Yang Cao & Hongjun Shi, 2022. "Overview of the Policy Instruments for Renewable Energy Development in China," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(18), pages 1-14, September.
    2. Apostolos Ampountolas, 2021. "Modeling and Forecasting Daily Hotel Demand: A Comparison Based on SARIMAX, Neural Networks, and GARCH Models," Forecasting, MDPI, vol. 3(3), pages 1-16, August.
    3. Izabela Rojek & Dariusz Mikołajewski & Adam Mroziński & Marek Macko, 2023. "Machine Learning- and Artificial Intelligence-Derived Prediction for Home Smart Energy Systems with PV Installation and Battery Energy Storage," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(18), pages 1-26, September.
    4. Halabi, Laith M. & Mekhilef, Saad & Hossain, Monowar, 2018. "Performance evaluation of hybrid adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system models for predicting monthly global solar radiation," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 213(C), pages 247-261.
    5. Musong L. Katche & Augustine B. Makokha & Siagi O. Zachary & Muyiwa S. Adaramola, 2023. "A Comprehensive Review of Maximum Power Point Tracking (MPPT) Techniques Used in Solar PV Systems," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(5), pages 1-23, February.
    6. Nader Anani & Haider Ibrahim, 2020. "Adjusting the Single-Diode Model Parameters of a Photovoltaic Module with Irradiance and Temperature," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(12), pages 1-17, June.
    7. Akshit Kurani & Pavan Doshi & Aarya Vakharia & Manan Shah, 2023. "A Comprehensive Comparative Study of Artificial Neural Network (ANN) and Support Vector Machines (SVM) on Stock Forecasting," Annals of Data Science, Springer, vol. 10(1), pages 183-208, February.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Saima Akhtar & Sulman Shahzad & Asad Zaheer & Hafiz Sami Ullah & Heybet Kilic & Radomir Gono & Michał Jasiński & Zbigniew Leonowicz, 2023. "Short-Term Load Forecasting Models: A Review of Challenges, Progress, and the Road Ahead," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(10), pages 1-29, May.
    2. Wang, Kejun & Qi, Xiaoxia & Liu, Hongda, 2019. "A comparison of day-ahead photovoltaic power forecasting models based on deep learning neural network," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 251(C), pages 1-1.
    3. Badri Toppur & T. C. Thomas, 2023. "Forecasting Commercial Vehicle Production Using Quantitative Techniques," Contemporary Economics, University of Economics and Human Sciences in Warsaw., vol. 17(1), March.
    4. Qu, Zhijian & Xu, Juan & Wang, Zixiao & Chi, Rui & Liu, Hanxin, 2021. "Prediction of electricity generation from a combined cycle power plant based on a stacking ensemble and its hyperparameter optimization with a grid-search method," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 227(C).
    5. Lee, Chi-Chuan & Zhang, Jian & Hou, Shanshuai, 2023. "The impact of regional renewable energy development on environmental sustainability in China," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    6. Fuquan Zhao & Fanlong Bai & Xinglong Liu & Zongwei Liu, 2022. "A Review on Renewable Energy Transition under China’s Carbon Neutrality Target," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(22), pages 1-27, November.
    7. Dongdong Song & Tong Jiang & Chuanping Rao, 2022. "Review of Policy Framework for the Development of Carbon Capture, Utilization and Storage in China," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(24), pages 1-16, December.
    8. Dongdong Song & Jing Rui, 2023. "Research on Legal Promotion Mechanism of Biomass Energy Development under “Carbon Peaking and Carbon Neutrality” Targets in China," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(11), pages 1-21, May.
    9. Habib Kraiem & Ezzeddine Touti & Abdulaziz Alanazi & Ahmed M. Agwa & Tarek I. Alanazi & Mohamed Jamli & Lassaad Sbita, 2023. "Parameters Identification of Photovoltaic Cell and Module Models Using Modified Social Group Optimization Algorithm," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(13), pages 1-20, July.
    10. Olubayo M. Babatunde & Josiah L. Munda & Yskandar Hamam, 2020. "Exploring the Potentials of Artificial Neural Network Trained with Differential Evolution for Estimating Global Solar Radiation," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(10), pages 1-18, May.
    11. Elham Alzain & Shaha Al-Otaibi & Theyazn H. H. Aldhyani & Ali Saleh Alshebami & Mohammed Amin Almaiah & Mukti E. Jadhav, 2023. "Revolutionizing Solar Power Production with Artificial Intelligence: A Sustainable Predictive Model," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(10), pages 1-21, May.
    12. Izabela Rojek & Adam Mroziński & Piotr Kotlarz & Marek Macko & Dariusz Mikołajewski, 2023. "AI-Based Computational Model in Sustainable Transformation of Energy Markets," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(24), pages 1-26, December.
    13. Ulrich Gunter, 2021. "Improving Hotel Room Demand Forecasts for Vienna across Hotel Classes and Forecast Horizons: Single Models and Combination Techniques Based on Encompassing Tests," Forecasting, MDPI, vol. 3(4), pages 1-36, November.
    14. Wang, Kejun & Qi, Xiaoxia & Liu, Hongda, 2019. "Photovoltaic power forecasting based LSTM-Convolutional Network," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 189(C).
    15. Larbi Chrifi-Alaoui & Saïd Drid & Mohammed Ouriagli & Driss Mehdi, 2023. "Overview of Photovoltaic and Wind Electrical Power Hybrid Systems," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(12), pages 1-35, June.
    16. Chin Soon Ku & Jiale Xiong & Yen-Lin Chen & Shing Dhee Cheah & Hoong Cheng Soong & Lip Yee Por, 2023. "Improving Stock Market Predictions: An Equity Forecasting Scanner Using Long Short-Term Memory Method with Dynamic Indicators for Malaysia Stock Market," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(11), pages 1-20, May.
    17. Qin, Fuli & Tong, Mingyu & Huang, Ying & Zhang, Yubo, 2024. "Modeling, prediction and analysis of natural gas consumption in China using a novel dynamic nonlinear multivariable grey delay model," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 305(C).
    18. Hossein Moayedi & Amir Mosavi, 2021. "An Innovative Metaheuristic Strategy for Solar Energy Management through a Neural Networks Framework," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(4), pages 1-18, February.
    19. Syed Hasan Jafar & Shakeb Akhtar & Hani El-Chaarani & Parvez Alam Khan & Ruaa Binsaddig, 2023. "Forecasting of NIFTY 50 Index Price by Using Backward Elimination with an LSTM Model," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 16(10), pages 1-23, September.
    20. Leidy Gutiérrez & Julian Patiño & Eduardo Duque-Grisales, 2021. "A Comparison of the Performance of Supervised Learning Algorithms for Solar Power Prediction," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(15), pages 1-16, July.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jeners:v:17:y:2024:i:12:p:2802-:d:1410683. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.