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Probabilistic Assessment and Uncertainty Analysis of CO 2 Storage Capacity of the Morrow B Sandstone—Farnsworth Field Unit

Author

Listed:
  • Jonathan Asante

    (Department of Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering, Faculty of Petroleum Engineering, New Mexico Tech Campus, Socorro, NM 87801, USA)

  • William Ampomah

    (Department of Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering, Faculty of Petroleum Engineering, New Mexico Tech Campus, Socorro, NM 87801, USA)

  • Dylan Rose-Coss

    (New Mexico Oil Conservation Division, Santa Fe, NM 87801, USA)

  • Martha Cather

    (Department of Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering, Faculty of Petroleum Engineering, New Mexico Tech Campus, Socorro, NM 87801, USA)

  • Robert Balch

    (Department of Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering, Faculty of Petroleum Engineering, New Mexico Tech Campus, Socorro, NM 87801, USA)

Abstract

This paper presents probabilistic methods to estimate the quantity of carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) that can be stored in a mature oil reservoir and analyzes the uncertainties associated with the estimation. This work uses data from the Farnsworth Field Unit (FWU), Ochiltree County, Texas, which is currently undergoing a tertiary recovery process. The input parameters are determined from seismic, core, and fluid analyses. The results of the estimation of the CO 2 storage capacity of the reservoir are presented with both expectation curve and log probability plot. The expectation curve provides a range of possible outcomes such as the P90, P50, and P10. The deterministic value is calculated as the statistical mean of the storage capacity. The coefficient of variation and the uncertainty index, P10/P90, is used to analyze the overall uncertainty of the estimations. A relative impact plot is developed to analyze the sensitivity of the input parameters towards the total uncertainty and compared with Monte Carlo. In comparison to the Monte Carlo method, the results are practically the same. The probabilistic technique presented in this paper can be applied in different geological settings as well as other engineering applications.

Suggested Citation

  • Jonathan Asante & William Ampomah & Dylan Rose-Coss & Martha Cather & Robert Balch, 2021. "Probabilistic Assessment and Uncertainty Analysis of CO 2 Storage Capacity of the Morrow B Sandstone—Farnsworth Field Unit," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(22), pages 1-19, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jeners:v:14:y:2021:i:22:p:7765-:d:683003
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Anthony Morgan & Reid Grigg & William Ampomah, 2021. "A Gate-to-Gate Life Cycle Assessment for the CO 2 -EOR Operations at Farnsworth Unit (FWU)," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(9), pages 1-17, April.
    2. Nehil Shreyash & Muskan Sonker & Sushant Bajpai & Saurabh Kr Tiwary & Mohd Ashhar Khan & Subham Raj & Tushar Sharma & Susham Biswas, 2021. "The Review of Carbon Capture-Storage Technologies and Developing Fuel Cells for Enhancing Utilization," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(16), pages 1-34, August.
    3. Alexander García-Mariaca & Eva Llera-Sastresa, 2021. "Review on Carbon Capture in ICE Driven Transport," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(21), pages 1-30, October.
    4. Andrew William Ruttinger & Miyuru Kannangara & Jalil Shadbahr & Phil De Luna & Farid Bensebaa, 2021. "How CO 2 -to-Diesel Technology Could Help Reach Net-Zero Emissions Targets: A Canadian Case Study," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(21), pages 1-21, October.
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    Cited by:

    1. Samuel Appiah Acheampong & William Ampomah & Don Lee & Angus Eastwood-Anaba, 2023. "Coupled Hydromechanical Modeling and Assessment of Induced Seismicity at FWU: Utilizing Time-Lapse VSP and Microseismic Data," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(10), pages 1-24, May.
    2. Taha Yehia & Ahmed Naguib & Mostafa M. Abdelhafiz & Gehad M. Hegazy & Omar Mahmoud, 2023. "Probabilistic Decline Curve Analysis: State-of-the-Art Review," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(10), pages 1-20, May.

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