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Phasing out Energy Subsidies to Improve Energy Mix: A Dead End

Author

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  • Djoni Hartono

    (Department of Economics, Faculty of Economics and Business, Universitas Indonesia, Depok 16424, Indonesia)

  • Ahmad Komarulzaman

    (Department of Economics, Faculty of Economics and Business, Universitas Padjadjaran, Bandung 40132, Indonesia)

  • Tony Irawan

    (Department of Economics, Faculty of Economics and Management, Bogor Agricultural University, Bogor 16680, Indonesia)

  • Anda Nugroho

    (Fiscal Policy Agency, Ministry of Finance, Republic of Indonesia, Jakarta 10710, Indonesia)

Abstract

A major energy transformation is required to prolong the rise in global temperature below 2 °C. The Indonesian government (GoI) has set a strategy to gradually remove fuel subsidies to meet its 2050 ambitious energy targets. Using a recursive dynamic computable general equilibrium (CGE) model, the present study aimed to determine whether or not the current energy subsidy reforms would meet the targets of both energy mix and energy intensity. It also incorporated the environmental aspect while developing a source of a detailed database in the energy sector. The energy subsidy reform policy (followed by an increase in infrastructure and renewable energy investments) could be the most appropriate alternative policy if the government aims to reduce energy intensity and emission, as well as improve energy diversification without pronounced reductions in the sectorial and overall economy. However, all simulations suggested that the removal of energy subsidy does not enough in attaining the targeted energy mix and energy intensity goals. Thus, the Indonesian government should also introduce progressive programs in renewable energy.

Suggested Citation

  • Djoni Hartono & Ahmad Komarulzaman & Tony Irawan & Anda Nugroho, 2020. "Phasing out Energy Subsidies to Improve Energy Mix: A Dead End," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(9), pages 1-15, May.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jeners:v:13:y:2020:i:9:p:2281-:d:354221
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