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Integrated Approach Based on Dual Extended Kalman Filter and Multivariate Autoregressive Model for Predicting Battery Capacity Using Health Indicator and SOC/SOH

Author

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  • Jinhyeong Park

    (Department of Electrical Engineering, Chungnam National University, Daejeon 34134, Korea)

  • Munsu Lee

    (Department of Energy Science, Sungkyunkwan University, Suwon 16419, Korea)

  • Gunwoo Kim

    (Department of Electrical Engineering, Chungnam National University, Daejeon 34134, Korea)

  • Seongyun Park

    (Department of Electrical Engineering, Chungnam National University, Daejeon 34134, Korea)

  • Jonghoon Kim

    (Department of Electrical Engineering, Chungnam National University, Daejeon 34134, Korea)

Abstract

To enhance the efficiency of an energy storage system, it is important to predict and estimate the battery state, including the state of charge (SOC) and state of health (SOH). In general, the statistical approaches for predicting the battery state depend on historical data measured via experiments. The statistical methods based on experimental data may not be suitable for practical applications. After reviewing the various methodologies for predicting the battery capacity without measured data, it is found that a joint estimator that estimates the SOC and SOH is needed to compensate for the data shortage. Therefore, this study proposes an integrated model in which the dual extended Kalman filter (DEKF) and autoregressive (AR) model are combined for predicting the SOH via a statistical model in cases where the amount of measured data is insufficient. The DEKF is advantageous for estimating the battery state in real-time and the AR model performs better for predicting the battery state using previous data. Because the DEKF has limited performance for capacity estimation, the multivariate AR model is employed and a health indicator is used to enhance the performance of the prediction model. The results of the multivariate AR model are significantly better than those obtained using a single variable. The mean absolute percentage errors are 1.45% and 0.5183%, respectively.

Suggested Citation

  • Jinhyeong Park & Munsu Lee & Gunwoo Kim & Seongyun Park & Jonghoon Kim, 2020. "Integrated Approach Based on Dual Extended Kalman Filter and Multivariate Autoregressive Model for Predicting Battery Capacity Using Health Indicator and SOC/SOH," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(9), pages 1-20, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jeners:v:13:y:2020:i:9:p:2138-:d:351867
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    2. Yonghong Xu & Cheng Li & Xu Wang & Hongguang Zhang & Fubin Yang & Lili Ma & Yan Wang, 2022. "Joint Estimation Method with Multi-Innovation Unscented Kalman Filter Based on Fractional-Order Model for State of Charge and State of Health Estimation," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(23), pages 1-25, November.
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    5. Wei, Yupeng & Wu, Dazhong, 2023. "Prediction of state of health and remaining useful life of lithium-ion battery using graph convolutional network with dual attention mechanisms," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 230(C).
    6. Alireza Rastegarpanah & Jamie Hathaway & Rustam Stolkin, 2021. "Rapid Model-Free State of Health Estimation for End-of-First-Life Electric Vehicle Batteries Using Impedance Spectroscopy," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(9), pages 1-16, May.
    7. Yue Zhou & Hussein Obeid & Salah Laghrouche & Mickael Hilairet & Abdesslem Djerdir, 2020. "A Disturbance Rejection Control Strategy of a Single Converter Hybrid Electrical System Integrating Battery Degradation," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(11), pages 1-19, June.
    8. Xiong, Ran & Wang, Shunli & Huang, Qi & Yu, Chunmei & Fernandez, Carlos & Xiao, Wei & Jia, Jun & Guerrero, Josep M., 2024. "Improved cooperative competitive particle swarm optimization and nonlinear coefficient temperature decreasing simulated annealing-back propagation methods for state of health estimation of energy stor," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 292(C).
    9. Zhengyi Bao & Jiahao Jiang & Chunxiang Zhu & Mingyu Gao, 2022. "A New Hybrid Neural Network Method for State-of-Health Estimation of Lithium-Ion Battery," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(12), pages 1-16, June.

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