IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jeners/v11y2018i6p1554-d152415.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Short-Term Load Forecasting Using a Novel Deep Learning Framework

Author

Listed:
  • Xiaoyu Zhang

    (College of System Engineering, National University of Defense Technology, Changsha 410073, China)

  • Rui Wang

    (College of System Engineering, National University of Defense Technology, Changsha 410073, China)

  • Tao Zhang

    (College of System Engineering, National University of Defense Technology, Changsha 410073, China)

  • Yajie Liu

    (College of System Engineering, National University of Defense Technology, Changsha 410073, China)

  • Yabing Zha

    (College of System Engineering, National University of Defense Technology, Changsha 410073, China)

Abstract

Short-term load forecasting is the basis of power system operation and analysis. In recent years, the use of a deep belief network (DBN) for short-term load forecasting has become increasingly popular. In this study, a novel deep-learning framework based on a restricted Boltzmann machine (RBM) and an Elman neural network is presented. This novel framework is used for short-term load forecasting based on the historical power load data of a town in the UK. The obtained results are compared with an individual use of a DBN and Elman neural network. The experimental results demonstrate that our proposed model can significantly ameliorate the prediction accuracy.

Suggested Citation

  • Xiaoyu Zhang & Rui Wang & Tao Zhang & Yajie Liu & Yabing Zha, 2018. "Short-Term Load Forecasting Using a Novel Deep Learning Framework," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(6), pages 1-15, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jeners:v:11:y:2018:i:6:p:1554-:d:152415
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/11/6/1554/pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/11/6/1554/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Francisco Martínez-Álvarez & Alicia Troncoso & Gualberto Asencio-Cortés & José C. Riquelme, 2015. "A Survey on Data Mining Techniques Applied to Electricity-Related Time Series Forecasting," Energies, MDPI, vol. 8(11), pages 1-32, November.
    2. Francisco Javier Duque-Pintor & Manuel Jesús Fernández-Gómez & Alicia Troncoso & Francisco Martínez-Álvarez, 2016. "A New Methodology Based on Imbalanced Classification for Predicting Outliers in Electricity Demand Time Series," Energies, MDPI, vol. 9(9), pages 1-10, September.
    3. Jiang, Ping & Liu, Feng & Song, Yiliao, 2017. "A hybrid forecasting model based on date-framework strategy and improved feature selection technology for short-term load forecasting," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 119(C), pages 694-709.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Imani, Maryam & Ghassemian, Hassan, 2019. "Residential load forecasting using wavelet and collaborative representation transforms," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 253(C), pages 1-1.
    2. Zheng Wan & Hui Li, 2023. "Short-Term Power Load Forecasting Based on Feature Filtering and Error Compensation under Imbalanced Samples," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(10), pages 1-22, May.
    3. Pavlos Nikolaidis & Harris Partaourides, 2021. "A Model Predictive Control for the Dynamical Forecast of Operating Reserves in Frequency Regulation Services," Forecasting, MDPI, vol. 3(1), pages 1-14, March.
    4. Xiaoyu Zhang & Zhe Shu & Rui Wang & Tao Zhang & Yabing Zha, 2018. "Short-Term Load Interval Prediction Using a Deep Belief Network," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(10), pages 1-18, October.
    5. Tian Shi & Fei Mei & Jixiang Lu & Jinjun Lu & Yi Pan & Cheng Zhou & Jianzhang Wu & Jianyong Zheng, 2019. "Phase Space Reconstruction Algorithm and Deep Learning-Based Very Short-Term Bus Load Forecasting," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(22), pages 1-17, November.
    6. Kong, Xiangyu & Li, Chuang & Wang, Chengshan & Zhang, Yusen & Zhang, Jian, 2020. "Short-term electrical load forecasting based on error correction using dynamic mode decomposition," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 261(C).
    7. Zulfiqar, M. & Kamran, M. & Rasheed, M.B. & Alquthami, T. & Milyani, A.H., 2023. "A hybrid framework for short term load forecasting with a navel feature engineering and adaptive grasshopper optimization in smart grid," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 338(C).
    8. Zhang, Jinliang & Siya, Wang & Zhongfu, Tan & Anli, Sun, 2023. "An improved hybrid model for short term power load prediction," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 268(C).
    9. Li, Fengyun & Zheng, Haofeng & Li, Xingmei & Yang, Fei, 2021. "Day-ahead city natural gas load forecasting based on decomposition-fusion technique and diversified ensemble learning model," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 303(C).
    10. Yang, Dongchuan & Guo, Ju-e & Sun, Shaolong & Han, Jing & Wang, Shouyang, 2022. "An interval decomposition-ensemble approach with data-characteristic-driven reconstruction for short-term load forecasting," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 306(PA).
    11. Rafati, Amir & Joorabian, Mahmood & Mashhour, Elaheh, 2020. "An efficient hour-ahead electrical load forecasting method based on innovative features," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 201(C).
    12. Ibrahim Salem Jahan & Vaclav Snasel & Stanislav Misak, 2020. "Intelligent Systems for Power Load Forecasting: A Study Review," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(22), pages 1-12, November.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Wang, Delu & Gan, Jun & Mao, Jinqi & Chen, Fan & Yu, Lan, 2023. "Forecasting power demand in China with a CNN-LSTM model including multimodal information," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 263(PE).
    2. Marcin Fałdziński & Piotr Fiszeder & Witold Orzeszko, 2020. "Forecasting Volatility of Energy Commodities: Comparison of GARCH Models with Support Vector Regression," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(1), pages 1-18, December.
    3. Cheng, Min-Yuan & Vu, Quoc-Tuan, 2024. "Bio-inspired bidirectional deep machine learning for real-time energy consumption forecasting and management," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 302(C).
    4. Chou, Jui-Sheng & Tran, Duc-Son, 2018. "Forecasting energy consumption time series using machine learning techniques based on usage patterns of residential householders," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 165(PB), pages 709-726.
    5. Pesantez, Jorge E. & Li, Binbin & Lee, Christopher & Zhao, Zhizhen & Butala, Mark & Stillwell, Ashlynn S., 2023. "A Comparison Study of Predictive Models for Electricity Demand in a Diverse Urban Environment," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 283(C).
    6. Cabello-López, Tomás & Carranza-García, Manuel & Riquelme, José C. & García-Gutiérrez, Jorge, 2023. "Forecasting solar energy production in Spain: A comparison of univariate and multivariate models at the national level," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 350(C).
    7. Syed Aziz Ur Rehman & Yanpeng Cai & Rizwan Fazal & Gordhan Das Walasai & Nayyar Hussain Mirjat, 2017. "An Integrated Modeling Approach for Forecasting Long-Term Energy Demand in Pakistan," Energies, MDPI, vol. 10(11), pages 1-23, November.
    8. Zhineng Hu & Jing Ma & Liangwei Yang & Liming Yao & Meng Pang, 2019. "Monthly electricity demand forecasting using empirical mode decomposition-based state space model," Energy & Environment, , vol. 30(7), pages 1236-1254, November.
    9. Mustafa Akpinar & Nejat Yumusak, 2016. "Year Ahead Demand Forecast of City Natural Gas Using Seasonal Time Series Methods," Energies, MDPI, vol. 9(9), pages 1-17, September.
    10. Ma, Weiwu & Fang, Song & Liu, Gang & Zhou, Ruoyu, 2017. "Modeling of district load forecasting for distributed energy system," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 204(C), pages 181-205.
    11. Yang, Wendong & Wang, Jianzhou & Niu, Tong & Du, Pei, 2019. "A hybrid forecasting system based on a dual decomposition strategy and multi-objective optimization for electricity price forecasting," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 235(C), pages 1205-1225.
    12. Hadjout, D. & Torres, J.F. & Troncoso, A. & Sebaa, A. & Martínez-Álvarez, F., 2022. "Electricity consumption forecasting based on ensemble deep learning with application to the Algerian market," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 243(C).
    13. Zhang, Kequan & Qu, Zongxi & Dong, Yunxuan & Lu, Haiyan & Leng, Wennan & Wang, Jianzhou & Zhang, Wenyu, 2019. "Research on a combined model based on linear and nonlinear features - A case study of wind speed forecasting," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 130(C), pages 814-830.
    14. Federico Divina & Aude Gilson & Francisco Goméz-Vela & Miguel García Torres & José F. Torres, 2018. "Stacking Ensemble Learning for Short-Term Electricity Consumption Forecasting," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(4), pages 1-31, April.
    15. Tian, Chengshi & Hao, Yan & Hu, Jianming, 2018. "A novel wind speed forecasting system based on hybrid data preprocessing and multi-objective optimization," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 231(C), pages 301-319.
    16. Danxiang Wei & Jianzhou Wang & Kailai Ni & Guangyu Tang, 2019. "Research and Application of a Novel Hybrid Model Based on a Deep Neural Network Combined with Fuzzy Time Series for Energy Forecasting," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(18), pages 1-38, September.
    17. Shepero, Mahmoud & van der Meer, Dennis & Munkhammar, Joakim & Widén, Joakim, 2018. "Residential probabilistic load forecasting: A method using Gaussian process designed for electric load data," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 218(C), pages 159-172.
    18. He, Qingqing & Wang, Jianzhou & Lu, Haiyan, 2018. "A hybrid system for short-term wind speed forecasting," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 226(C), pages 756-771.
    19. Li, Ranran & Hu, Yucai & Heng, Jiani & Chen, Xueli, 2021. "A novel multiscale forecasting model for crude oil price time series," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 173(C).
    20. Andrés M. Alonso & Guadalupe Bastos & Carolina García-Martos, 2016. "Electricity Price Forecasting by Averaging Dynamic Factor Models," Energies, MDPI, vol. 9(8), pages 1-21, July.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jeners:v:11:y:2018:i:6:p:1554-:d:152415. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.