IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jeners/v11y2018i12p3258-d184878.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

A Short-Term Decision Model for Electricity Retailers: Electricity Procurement and Time-of-Use Pricing

Author

Listed:
  • Feihu Hu

    (School of Electrical Engineering, Xi’an Jiaotong University, Xi’an 710049, China)

  • Xuan Feng

    (School of Electrical Engineering, Xi’an Jiaotong University, Xi’an 710049, China)

  • Hui Cao

    (School of Electrical Engineering, Xi’an Jiaotong University, Xi’an 710049, China)

Abstract

This paper establishes a short-term decision model, based on robust optimization, for an electricity retailer to determine the electricity procurement and electricity retail prices. The electricity procurement process includes purchasing electricity from generation companies and from the spot market. The selling prices of electricity for the customers are based on time-of-use (TOU) pricing which is widely employed in modern electricity market as a demand response program. The objective of the model is to maximize the expected profit of the retailer through optimizing the electricity procurement strategy and electricity pricing scheme. A price elasticity matrix (PEM) is adopted to model the demand response. Also, uncertainty in spot prices is modeled using a robust optimization approach, in which price bounds are considered instead of predicted values. Using a robust optimization approach, the retailer can adjust the level of robustness of its decisions through a robust control parameter. A case study is presented to illustrate the performance of the model. The simulation results demonstrate that the developed model is effective in increasing the expected profit of the retailer and flattening the load profiles of customers.

Suggested Citation

  • Feihu Hu & Xuan Feng & Hui Cao, 2018. "A Short-Term Decision Model for Electricity Retailers: Electricity Procurement and Time-of-Use Pricing," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(12), pages 1-18, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jeners:v:11:y:2018:i:12:p:3258-:d:184878
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/11/12/3258/pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/11/12/3258/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Aurelio Bruzzo, 2018. "Recenti iniziative europee ed italiane per la valorizzazione del patrimonio culturale," Working Papers 2018127, University of Ferrara, Department of Economics.
    2. Mohammad Ali Fotouhi Ghazvini & João Soares & Hugo Morais & Rui Castro & Zita Vale, 2017. "Dynamic Pricing for Demand Response Considering Market Price Uncertainty," Energies, MDPI, vol. 10(9), pages 1-20, August.
    3. Soroudi, Alireza, 2013. "Robust optimization based self scheduling of hydro-thermal Genco in smart grids," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 262-271.
    4. Rafal Weron & Florian Ziel, 2018. "Electricity price forecasting," HSC Research Reports HSC/18/08, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.
    5. Mahmood Hosseini Imani & Shaghayegh Zalzar & Amir Mosavi & Shahaboddin Shamshirband, 2018. "Strategic Behavior of Retailers for Risk Reduction and Profit Increment via Distributed Generators and Demand Response Programs," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(6), pages 1-24, June.
    6. Ponta, Linda & Raberto, Marco & Teglio, Andrea & Cincotti, Silvano, 2018. "An Agent-based Stock-flow Consistent Model of the Sustainable Transition in the Energy Sector," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 145(C), pages 274-300.
    7. A. L. Soyster, 1973. "Technical Note—Convex Programming with Set-Inclusive Constraints and Applications to Inexact Linear Programming," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 21(5), pages 1154-1157, October.
    8. Horowitz, I. & Woo, C.K., 2006. "Designing Pareto-superior demand-response rate options," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 31(6), pages 1040-1051.
    9. Weron, Rafał, 2014. "Electricity price forecasting: A review of the state-of-the-art with a look into the future," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 30(4), pages 1030-1081.
    10. Kim, Jin-Ho & Shcherbakova, Anastasia, 2011. "Common failures of demand response," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 36(2), pages 873-880.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Deng, Tingting & Yan, Wenzhou & Nojavan, Sayyad & Jermsittiparsert, Kittisak, 2020. "Risk evaluation and retail electricity pricing using downside risk constraints method," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 192(C).
    2. Motta, Vinicius N. & Anjos, Miguel F. & Gendreau, Michel, 2024. "Survey of optimization models for power system operation and expansion planning with demand response," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 312(2), pages 401-412.
    3. Duan, Jiandong & Liu, Fan & Yang, Yao, 2022. "Optimal operation for integrated electricity and natural gas systems considering demand response uncertainties," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 323(C).
    4. Qi Zhang & Shaohua Zhang & Xian Wang & Xue Li & Lei Wu, 2020. "Conditional-Robust-Profit-Based Optimization Model for Electricity Retailers with Shiftable Demand," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(6), pages 1-19, March.
    5. Dong Sik Kim & Beom Jin Chung & Young Mo Chung, 2019. "Statistical Learning for Service Quality Estimation in Broadband PLC AMI," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(4), pages 1-20, February.
    6. Wanlei Xue & Xin Zhao & Yan Li & Ying Mu & Haisheng Tan & Yixin Jia & Xuejie Wang & Huiru Zhao & Yihang Zhao, 2023. "Research on the Optimal Design of Seasonal Time-of-Use Tariff Based on the Price Elasticity of Electricity Demand," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(4), pages 1-17, February.
    7. Alexander Baranovsky & Nataliia Tkachenko & Vladimer Glonti & Valentyna Levchenko & Kateryna Bogatyrova & Zaza Beridze & Larisa Belinskaja & Iryna Zelenitsa, 2020. "Non-Price Criteria for the Evaluation of the Tender Offers in Public Procurement of Ukraine," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 8(3), pages 1-15, July.
    8. Catanzaro, Daniele & Pesenti, Raffaele & Ronco, Roberto, 2021. "Job Scheduling under Time-of-Use Energy Tariffs for Sustainable Manufacturing: A Survey," LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE 2021019, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
    9. Thibaut Théate & Sébastien Mathieu & Damien Ernst, 2020. "An Artificial Intelligence Solution for Electricity Procurement in Forward Markets," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(23), pages 1-17, December.
    10. Catanzaro, Daniele & Pesenti, Raffaele & Ronco, Roberto, 2023. "Job scheduling under Time-of-Use energy tariffs for sustainable manufacturing: a survey," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 308(3), pages 1091-1109.
    11. Zhang, Yang & Yang, Qingyu & Li, Donghe & An, Dou, 2022. "A reinforcement and imitation learning method for pricing strategy of electricity retailer with customers’ flexibility," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 323(C).
    12. Ning Zhang & Nien-Che Yang & Jian-Hong Liu, 2021. "Optimal Time-of-Use Electricity Price for a Microgrid System Considering Profit of Power Company and Demand Users," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(19), pages 1-13, October.
    13. Dadashi, Mojtaba & Haghifam, Sara & Zare, Kazem & Haghifam, Mahmoud-Reza & Abapour, Mehdi, 2020. "Short-term scheduling of electricity retailers in the presence of Demand Response Aggregators: A two-stage stochastic Bi-Level programming approach," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 205(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Jianzhong Zhou & Han Liu & Yanhe Xu & Wei Jiang, 2018. "A Hybrid Framework for Short Term Multi-Step Wind Speed Forecasting Based on Variational Model Decomposition and Convolutional Neural Network," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(9), pages 1-18, August.
    2. Zigui Jiang & Rongheng Lin & Fangchun Yang, 2018. "A Hybrid Machine Learning Model for Electricity Consumer Categorization Using Smart Meter Data," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(9), pages 1-19, August.
    3. Billé, Anna Gloria & Gianfreda, Angelica & Del Grosso, Filippo & Ravazzolo, Francesco, 2023. "Forecasting electricity prices with expert, linear, and nonlinear models," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(2), pages 570-586.
    4. Uniejewski, Bartosz & Maciejowska, Katarzyna, 2023. "LASSO principal component averaging: A fully automated approach for point forecast pooling," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(4), pages 1839-1852.
    5. Afanasyev, Dmitriy O. & Fedorova, Elena A., 2019. "On the impact of outlier filtering on the electricity price forecasting accuracy," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 236(C), pages 196-210.
    6. Simon Pezzutto & Gianluca Grilli & Stefano Zambotti & Stefan Dunjic, 2018. "Forecasting Electricity Market Price for End Users in EU28 until 2020—Main Factors of Influence," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(6), pages 1-18, June.
    7. Zhang, Hong & Nguyen, Hoang & Bui, Xuan-Nam & Pradhan, Biswajeet & Mai, Ngoc-Luan & Vu, Diep-Anh, 2021. "Proposing two novel hybrid intelligence models for forecasting copper price based on extreme learning machine and meta-heuristic algorithms," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    8. Grzegorz Marcjasz & Tomasz Serafin & Rafał Weron, 2018. "Selection of Calibration Windows for Day-Ahead Electricity Price Forecasting," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(9), pages 1-20, September.
    9. Christopher Kath & Florian Ziel, 2018. "The value of forecasts: Quantifying the economic gains of accurate quarter-hourly electricity price forecasts," Papers 1811.08604, arXiv.org.
    10. Uniejewski, Bartosz & Weron, Rafał, 2021. "Regularized quantile regression averaging for probabilistic electricity price forecasting," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 95(C).
    11. Umut Ugurlu & Ilkay Oksuz & Oktay Tas, 2018. "Electricity Price Forecasting Using Recurrent Neural Networks," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(5), pages 1-23, May.
    12. Tomasz Serafin & Bartosz Uniejewski & Rafał Weron, 2019. "Averaging Predictive Distributions Across Calibration Windows for Day-Ahead Electricity Price Forecasting," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(13), pages 1-12, July.
    13. Zoran Gligorić & Svetlana Štrbac Savić & Aleksandra Grujić & Milanka Negovanović & Omer Musić, 2018. "Short-Term Electricity Price Forecasting Model Using Interval-Valued Autoregressive Process," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(7), pages 1-17, July.
    14. Maciej Kostrzewski & Jadwiga Kostrzewska, 2021. "The Impact of Forecasting Jumps on Forecasting Electricity Prices," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(2), pages 1-17, January.
    15. Carlo Fezzi & Luca Mosetti, 2018. "Size matters: Estimation sample length and electricity price forecasting accuracy," DEM Working Papers 2018/10, Department of Economics and Management.
    16. Kath, Christopher & Ziel, Florian, 2021. "Conformal prediction interval estimation and applications to day-ahead and intraday power markets," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(2), pages 777-799.
    17. Smith, Michael Stanley & Shively, Thomas S., 2018. "Econometric modeling of regional electricity spot prices in the Australian market," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 886-903.
    18. Mergani A. Khairalla & Xu Ning & Nashat T. AL-Jallad & Musaab O. El-Faroug, 2018. "Short-Term Forecasting for Energy Consumption through Stacking Heterogeneous Ensemble Learning Model," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(6), pages 1-21, June.
    19. Díaz, Guzmán & Coto, José & Gómez-Aleixandre, Javier, 2019. "Prediction and explanation of the formation of the Spanish day-ahead electricity price through machine learning regression," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 239(C), pages 610-625.
    20. Micha{l} Narajewski & Florian Ziel, 2020. "Ensemble Forecasting for Intraday Electricity Prices: Simulating Trajectories," Papers 2005.01365, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2020.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jeners:v:11:y:2018:i:12:p:3258-:d:184878. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.