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Assessing Fiscal Sustainability in the Landscape of Economics Research

Author

Listed:
  • Nini Johana Marín-Rodríguez

    (Grupo de Investigación en Ingeniería Financiera GINIF, Programa de Ingeniería Financiera, Facultad de Ingenierías, Universidad de Medellín, Medellín 050026, Colombia)

  • Juan David Gonzalez-Ruiz

    (Grupo de Investigación en Finanzas y Sostenibilidad, Departamento de Economía, Facultad de Ciencias Humanas y Económicas, Universidad Nacional de Colombia, Sede Medellín, Medellín 050034, Colombia)

  • Sergio Botero

    (Departamento de Ingeniería de la Organización, Facultad de Minas, Universidad Nacional de Colombia—Sede Medellín, Medellín 050034, Colombia)

Abstract

This scientometric analysis delves into the current trajectory and anticipated prospects of assessing fiscal sustainability, emphasizing methodologies, trends, and pivotal literature in this critical economic realm. This study analyzed 324 studies from Scopus and Web of Science databases to generate the dataset through scientometric networks, using VOSviewer and Bibliometrix tools. Through a comprehensive review of scientific literature, this research traces the developmental trajectory of fiscal sustainability, trend topics, influential studies, and key contributors employing bibliometric and scientometric tools. The study maps the landscape of fiscal sustainability exploration, underscoring an evolving shift towards interdisciplinary methods encompassing environmental, social, and political factors. Furthermore, the keywords analysis accentuates three emergent trends, mainly (i) the relation between fiscal sustainability and economic growth, (ii) the methodologies and models for assessing fiscal sustainability, and (iii) demographic concerns and their impact on fiscal sustainability. This research provides insights into the evolving terrain of fiscal sustainability exploration and anticipates promising avenues for further studies. The examination reveals the significance of methodologies such as panel data, multicointegration analysis, probabilistic debt analysis, Markov-switching models, and wavelets analysis in assessing fiscal sustainability. By offering a comprehensive overview, this analysis aspires to direct forthcoming inquiries and contribute to the ongoing discussion surrounding the assessment of fiscal stability.

Suggested Citation

  • Nini Johana Marín-Rodríguez & Juan David Gonzalez-Ruiz & Sergio Botero, 2023. "Assessing Fiscal Sustainability in the Landscape of Economics Research," Economies, MDPI, vol. 11(12), pages 1-19, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jecomi:v:11:y:2023:i:12:p:300-:d:1300349
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. John Loizides & George Vamvoukas, 2005. "Government Expenditure and Economic Growth: Evidence from Trivariate Causality Testing," Journal of Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 8(1), pages 125-152, May.
    2. Baharumshah, Ahmad Zubaidi & Soon, Siew-Voon & Lau, Evan, 2017. "Fiscal sustainability in an emerging market economy: When does public debt turn bad?," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 39(1), pages 99-113.
    3. Mr. Theodore M. Barnhill & Mr. George Kopits, 2003. "Assessing Fiscal Sustainability Under Uncertainity," IMF Working Papers 2003/079, International Monetary Fund.
    4. Gary Hansen & Selahattin Imrohoroglu, 2023. "Demographic Change, Government Debt and Fiscal Sustainability in Japan: The Impact of Bond Purchase by the Bank of Japan," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 50, pages 88-105, October.
    5. Tilak Abeysinghe & Ke Mao & Xuyao Zhang, 2022. "Welfare spending and fiscal sustainability: segmented-trend panel-regression analysis of Chinese provinces," Journal of the Asia Pacific Economy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 27(2), pages 358-378, April.
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