IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/rfh/bbejor/v13y2024i1p193-201.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Macroeconomics Determinants of Fiscal Sustainability in the Asian Countries

Author

Listed:
  • Jawaria Zahid

    (Scholar, School of Economics, University of the Punjab Lahore, Pakistan)

  • Atif Khan Jadoon

    (School of Economics, University of the Punjab Lahore, Pakistan)

  • Bisma Hamza

    (Independent Researcher, Beaconhouse System, Lahore, Pakistan)

  • Muhammad Ali

    (Institute of Business Administration, University of the Punjab Lahore, Pakistan)

Abstract

The present study is designed to investigate how macroeconomic determinants of the South Asian region have affected the fiscal sustainability from 1980 to 2021. This study has used Newey and West (1987) robust standard errors approach to overcome the problem of autocorrelation and heteroscedasticity in panel data. The results of the statistical model confirmed the existence of fiscal sustainability in selective Asian countries. The significant contribution of the study is to obtain robust standard errors that rectify the issues of violation of simple regression analysis, which is the solution to all problems relevant to OLS regression. Furthermore, the results also confirmed that using macroeconomic determinants significantly improves fiscal sustainability. The results confirmed that macroeconomic factors contribute to fiscal sustainability. The study concluded that South Asian countries should use macro indicators as sources to achieve a higher fiscal sustainability rate.

Suggested Citation

  • Jawaria Zahid & Atif Khan Jadoon & Bisma Hamza & Muhammad Ali, 2024. "Macroeconomics Determinants of Fiscal Sustainability in the Asian Countries," Bulletin of Business and Economics (BBE), Research Foundation for Humanity (RFH), vol. 13(1), pages 193-201.
  • Handle: RePEc:rfh:bbejor:v:13:y:2024:i:1:p:193-201
    DOI: https://doi.org/10.61506/01.00188
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://bbejournal.com/BBE/article/view/686/608
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://bbejournal.com/BBE/article/view/686
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/https://doi.org/10.61506/01.00188?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Dirk Krueger & Harald Uhlig & Taojun Xie, 2022. "Macroeconomic dynamics and reallocation in an epidemic: evaluating the ‘Swedish solution’," Economic Policy, CEPR, CESifo, Sciences Po;CES;MSH, vol. 37(110), pages 341-398.
    2. Mendoza, Enrique G. & Ostry, Jonathan D., 2008. "International evidence on fiscal solvency: Is fiscal policy "responsible"?," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 55(6), pages 1081-1093, September.
    3. Marc Audi & Amjad Ali, 2023. "Public Policy and Economic Misery Nexus: A Comparative Analysis of Developed and Developing World," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 13(3), pages 56-73, May.
    4. Turnovsky, Stephen J., 2000. "Fiscal policy, elastic labor supply, and endogenous growth," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 45(1), pages 185-210, February.
    5. Yousaf, Imran & Beljid, Makram & Chaibi, Anis & Ajlouni, Ahmed AL, 2022. "Do volatility spillover and hedging among GCC stock markets and global factors vary from normal to turbulent periods? Evidence from the global financial crisis and Covid-19 pandemic crisis," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    6. Amjad Ali & Marc Audi, 2018. "Macroeconomic Environment and Taxes Revenues in Pakistan: An Application of ARDL Approach," Bulletin of Business and Economics (BBE), Research Foundation for Humanity (RFH), vol. 7(1), pages 30-39, March.
    7. Pierre Yared, 2019. "Rising Government Debt: Causes and Solutions for a Decades-Old Trend," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 33(2), pages 115-140, Spring.
    8. Battistini, Niccolò & Callegari, Giovanni & Zavalloni, Luca, 2019. "Dynamic fiscal limits and monetary-fiscal policy interactions," Working Paper Series 2268, European Central Bank.
    9. Robert E. Hall & Ricardo Reis, 2015. "Maintaining Central-Bank Financial Stability under New-Style Central Banking," NBER Working Papers 21173, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    10. Newey, Whitney K & West, Kenneth D, 1987. "Hypothesis Testing with Efficient Method of Moments Estimation," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 28(3), pages 777-787, October.
    11. Hausman, Jerry, 2015. "Specification tests in econometrics," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 38(2), pages 112-134.
    12. Igor Chugunov & Valentina Makohon, 2019. "Fiscal Strategy As An Instrument Of Economic Growth," Baltic Journal of Economic Studies, Publishing house "Baltija Publishing", vol. 5(3).
    13. D’Erasmo, P. & Mendoza, E.G. & Zhang, J., 2016. "What is a Sustainable Public Debt?," Handbook of Macroeconomics, in: J. B. Taylor & Harald Uhlig (ed.), Handbook of Macroeconomics, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 2493-2597, Elsevier.
    14. Jungsuk Kim & Mengxi Wang & Donghyun Park & Cynthia Castillejos Petalcorin, 2021. "Fiscal policy and economic growth: some evidence from China," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 157(3), pages 555-582, August.
    15. Alisdair McKay & Ricardo Reis, 2016. "The Role of Automatic Stabilizers in the U.S. Business Cycle," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 84, pages 141-194, January.
    16. Atif Khan Jadoon & Ambreen Sarwar & Hafiz Muhammad Qasim & Maria Faiq Javaid & Saima Liaqat & Munazza Ahmed, 2022. "Some Methodological Considerations for the relationship between Environmental Degradation, Economic Growth and Energy Consumption for South Asian Countries," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 12(1), pages 365-372.
    17. Melina, Giovanni & Yang, Shu-Chun S. & Zanna, Luis-Felipe, 2016. "Debt sustainability, public investment, and natural resources in developing countries: The DIGNAR model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 52(PB), pages 630-649.
    18. Cavalcanti, Marco A.F.H. & Vereda, Luciano & Doctors, Rebeca de B. & Lima, Felipe C. & Maynard, Lucas, 2018. "The macroeconomic effects of monetary policy shocks under fiscal rules constrained by public debt sustainability," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 184-201.
    19. Jungsuk Kim & Mengxi Wang & Donghyun Park & Cynthia Castillejos Petalcorin, 2021. "Correction to: Fiscal policy and economic growth: some evidence from China," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 157(4), pages 1003-1004, November.
    20. Baharumshah, Ahmad Zubaidi & Soon, Siew-Voon & Lau, Evan, 2017. "Fiscal sustainability in an emerging market economy: When does public debt turn bad?," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 39(1), pages 99-113.
    21. O’Toole, Conor & Slaymaker, Rachel, 2021. "Repayment capacity, debt service ratios and mortgage default: An exploration in crisis and non-crisis periods," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    22. Audi, Marc & Ali, Amjad & Fayad Hamadeh, Hani, 2022. "Nexus among innovations, financial development and economic growth in developing countries," MPRA Paper 115220, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    23. Muller, Seán M., 2021. "The dangers of performative scientism as the alternative to anti-scientific policymaking: A critical, preliminary assessment of South Africa’s Covid-19 response and its consequences," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 140(C).
    24. Magazzino, Cosimo & Mutascu, Mihai Ioan, 2022. "The Italian fiscal sustainability in a long-run perspective," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 26(C).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Fiaz Ahmad Sulehri & Sana Sarwar Sulehri & Rubina Fiaz Sulehri, 2023. "Unveiling Economic Distress In South Asia: Does Stock Market Performance Matter?," Bulletin of Business and Economics (BBE), Research Foundation for Humanity (RFH), vol. 12(2), pages 447-456.
    2. Ali, Amjad, 2022. "Financial Liberalization, Institutional Quality and Economic Growth Nexus: Panel Analysis of African Countries," MPRA Paper 116101, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Fiaz Ahmad Sulehri & Amjad Ali, 2024. "Nexus among Regulatory Framework, Economic Growth and Sustainable Development: Insights from Structural Equation Modeling Approach," Bulletin of Business and Economics (BBE), Research Foundation for Humanity (RFH), vol. 13(1), pages 110-117.
    4. Eric Amoo Bondzie & Mark Kojo Armah, 2022. "A DSGE model of fiscal stabilizers and informality in Sub-Sahara Africa," Cogent Economics & Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 10(1), pages 2137985-213, December.
    5. Ali, Amjad, 2022. "Foreign Debt, Financial Stability, Exchange Rate Volatility and Economic Growth in South Asian Countries," MPRA Paper 116099, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Ali, Amjad, 2022. "Determining Pakistan's Financial Dependency: The Role of Financial Globalization and Corruption," MPRA Paper 116097, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    7. Amjad Ali & Zohaib Ul Hasan & Qasim Abbasi & Fiaz Ahmad Sulehri, 2023. "Business Or Politics: Exploring The Determinants Of Policy Mix In South Asia," Bulletin of Business and Economics (BBE), Research Foundation for Humanity (RFH), vol. 12(3), pages 114-123.
    8. Daisuke Miyashita, 2023. "Public debt and income inequality in an endogenous growth model with elastic labor supply," International Journal of Economic Policy Studies, Springer, vol. 17(2), pages 447-472, August.
    9. Lankester-Campos, Valerie & Loaiza-Marín, Kerry & Monge-Badilla, Carlos, 2020. "Assessing public debt sustainability for Costa Rica using the fiscal reaction function," Latin American Journal of Central Banking (previously Monetaria), Elsevier, vol. 1(1).
    10. Lars P. Feld & Ekkehard A. Köhler & Julia Wolfinger, 2020. "Modeling fiscal sustainability in dynamic macro-panels with heterogeneous effects: evidence from German federal states," International Tax and Public Finance, Springer;International Institute of Public Finance, vol. 27(1), pages 215-239, February.
    11. Campbell Leith & Eric Leeper, 2016. "Understanding Inflation as a Joint Monetary-Fiscal Phenomenon," Working Papers 2016_01, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow.
    12. Simran Tariq & Saroosh Tariq, 2023. "Impact of Human Capital on Economic Growth: A Case of SAARC Countries," Bulletin of Business and Economics (BBE), Research Foundation for Humanity (RFH), vol. 12(4), pages 15-22.
    13. Hyejin Ko, 2020. "Measuring fiscal sustainability in the welfare state: fiscal space as fiscal sustainability," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 17(2), pages 531-554, May.
    14. Panizza, Ugo & Fatás, Antonio & Ghosh, Atish R. & ,, 2019. "The Motives to Borrow," CEPR Discussion Papers 13735, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    15. Ryota Nakatani, 2021. "Fiscal Rules for Natural Disaster- and Climate Change-Prone Small States," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(6), pages 1-26, March.
    16. Biswajit Patra & Narayan Sethi, 2024. "Does digital payment induce economic growth in emerging economies? The mediating role of institutional quality, consumption expenditure, and bank credit," Information Technology for Development, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 30(1), pages 57-75, January.
    17. Kudlyak, Marianna & Faia, Ester & Shabalina, Ekaterina, 2021. "Dynamic Labor Reallocation with Heterogeneous Skills and Uninsured Idiosyncratic Risk," CEPR Discussion Papers 16008, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    18. Hasse, Jean-Baptiste & Lajaunie, Quentin, 2022. "Does the yield curve signal recessions? New evidence from an international panel data analysis," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 9-22.
    19. Marc Audi & Marc Poulin & Amjad Ali, 2024. "Determinants of Business Freedom in Developing Countries: The Role of Institutional Development and Policy Mix," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 14(4), pages 188-199, July.
    20. Maria Bano & Dr. Muhammad Nawaz & Touseef Ahmad & Fatima Ejaz, 2023. "The Performance of Small and Medium Sized Enterprises (SMEs) in Punjab: A Moderating Role of Corporate Image," Bulletin of Business and Economics (BBE), Research Foundation for Humanity (RFH), vol. 12(3), pages 650-666.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:rfh:bbejor:v:13:y:2024:i:1:p:193-201. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Dr. Muhammad Irfan Chani (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/rffhlpk.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.