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Temporal and Spatial Variation of Agricultural and Pastoral Production in the Eastern Section of the Agro-Pastoral Transitional Zone in Northern China

Author

Listed:
  • Yajing Zhang

    (School of Soil and Water Conservation, Beijing Forestry University, Beijing 100083, China)

  • Ruifang Hao

    (School of Soil and Water Conservation, Beijing Forestry University, Beijing 100083, China)

  • Yu Qin

    (Faculty of Geographical Science, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, China)

Abstract

The agro-pastoral transitional zone in northern China is an important agricultural and pastoral production base. This study focuses on the eastern section of the agro-pastoral transitional zone in northern China. Combined with spatio-temporal analysis, stepwise regression, and gray relation analysis, we analyzed the average annual growth rate, spatio-temporal changes, and influencing factors of agricultural and pastoral production in the study area during 2000–2020. The results show that, in the past 20 years, the agricultural and pastoral production of the 50 municipal districts and counties has significantly changed, among which the agricultural production of 38 municipal districts and counties has shown an extremely significant increase. Generally, the growth rate of agricultural production is higher than that of pastoral production. Agricultural and pastoral production in the study area is influenced by socio-economic and land use/cover factors, with an average correlation degree of 0.79 and 0.88, respectively. Climate change affects agricultural production in agricultural counties, with a correlation degree of 0.85. The results of this research provide valuable insights into understanding the long-term temporal and spatial changes in agricultural and pastoral production and help to develop sound agriculture and pastoral management practices in the eastern section of the agro-pastoral transitional zone in Northern China.

Suggested Citation

  • Yajing Zhang & Ruifang Hao & Yu Qin, 2024. "Temporal and Spatial Variation of Agricultural and Pastoral Production in the Eastern Section of the Agro-Pastoral Transitional Zone in Northern China," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 14(6), pages 1-15, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jagris:v:14:y:2024:i:6:p:829-:d:1401849
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Qijun Jiang & Zhijie Rong & Zhiwei Yuan, 2023. "Research on the Construction of China’s Provincial Food Security Evaluation System and Regional Performance—Based on the “Great Food View”," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 13(6), pages 1-20, June.
    2. T. Matthews & R. L. Wilby & C. Murphy, 2019. "An emerging tropical cyclone–deadly heat compound hazard," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 9(8), pages 602-606, August.
    3. Shi, Yuxing & Cai, Yu & Zhao, Minjuan, 2021. "Social interaction effect of rotational grazing and its policy implications for sustainable use of grassland: Evidence from pastoral areas in Inner Mongolia and Gansu, China," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 111(C).
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