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What determines the exchange rate: economic factors or market sentiment?

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  • Gregory P. Hopper

Abstract

Do economic factors influence exchange rates? Or does market sentiment play a bigger role? Are short-run exchange rates predictable? Greg Hopper reviews exchange-rate economics, focusing on what is predictable and what isn't. He also examines the practical implications of exchange-rate theories for currency option pricing, risk management, and portfolio selection.

Suggested Citation

  • Gregory P. Hopper, 1997. "What determines the exchange rate: economic factors or market sentiment?," Business Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, issue Sep, pages 17-29.
    • Handle: RePEc:fip:fedpbr:y:1997:i:sep:p:17-29
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Sweeney, Richard J, 1986. "Beating the Foreign Exchange Market," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 41(1), pages 163-182, March.
    2. repec:bla:scandj:v:78:y:1976:i:2:p:200-224 is not listed on IDEAS
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    Cited by:

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    2. Rotheli, Tobias F., 2002. "Bandwagon effects and run patterns in exchange rates," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 12(2), pages 157-166, April.
    3. Mohamed Aslam, 2012. "Exchange Rate Policy in Developing Countries: The East Asian Experience," Chapters, in: Claude Gnos & Louis-Philippe Rochon & Domenica Tropeano (ed.), Employment, Growth and Development, chapter 8, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    4. Katusiime, Lorna & Shamsuddin, Abul & Agbola, Frank W., 2015. "Macroeconomic and market microstructure modelling of Ugandan exchange rate," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 175-186.
    5. Omotosho, Babatunde S., 2020. "Central Bank Communication during Economic Recessions: Evidence from Nigeria," MPRA Paper 99655, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain & Kyei, Clement Kweku & Gupta, Rangan & Olson, Eric, 2021. "Investor sentiment and dollar-pound exchange rate returns: Evidence from over a century of data using a cross-quantilogram approach," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 38(C).

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    Keywords

    Foreign exchange rates;

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