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Has the surge in computer spending fundamentally changed the economy?

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  • Joseph H. Haimowitz

Abstract

The computer sector has been one of the fastest growing segments of the U.S. economy over the past two decades. The dynamic nature of the computer sector and the sector's increased prominence in overall spending in the economy have led some analysts to suggest that the economy is entering a New Era, where the economy will return to the high-growth, low-inflation conditions of the 1950s and 1960s.> Although spending on computers is spread throughout all sectors of the economy, the key channel through which the economy might be transformed is investment spending on computers by businesses. Spending on computers by businesses is key because the contribution of computers to output growth depends crucially on the quantity of computers used in the production process. If rapid spending on computers does lead to faster output growth, then understanding the magnitude of the contribution of computer capital to output growth will be crucial for long-run forecasting and policy analysis.> Haimowitz examines whether computers have fundamentally changed the economy. He finds that computers have had only a modest impact on output growth until now, but the future impact could be larger.

Suggested Citation

  • Joseph H. Haimowitz, 1998. "Has the surge in computer spending fundamentally changed the economy?," Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, vol. 83(Q II), pages 27-42.
    • Handle: RePEc:fip:fedker:y:1998:i:qii:p:27-42:n:v.83no.2
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Hashmat Khan & Marjorie Santos, 2002. "Contribution of ICT Use to Output and Labour-Productivity Growth in Canada," Staff Working Papers 02-7, Bank of Canada.
    2. Dale W. Jorgenson & Mun S. Ho & Kevin J. Stiroh, 2008. "A Retrospective Look at the U.S. Productivity Growth Resurgence," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 22(1), pages 3-24, Winter.
    3. repec:dgr:rugggd:199945 is not listed on IDEAS
    4. Dale W. Jorgenson & Kevin J. Stiroh, 2000. "Raising the Speed Limit: U.S. Economic Growth in the Information Age," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 31(1), pages 125-236.
    5. McGuckin, Robert H & Stiroh, Kevin J, 2001. "Do Computers Make Output Harder to Measure?," The Journal of Technology Transfer, Springer, vol. 26(4), pages 295-321, October.
    6. Robert H. McGuckin & Kevin Stiroh, 2000. "Computers and Productivity: Are Aggregation Effects Important?," Economics Program Working Papers 00-03, The Conference Board, Economics Program.
    7. Broersma, Lourens & McGuckin, Robert, 1999. "The Impact of Computers on Productivity in the Trade Sector: Explorations with Dutch Microdata," GGDC Research Memorandum 199945, Groningen Growth and Development Centre, University of Groningen.

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