Will High Underlying Inflation Persist?
Author
Abstract
Suggested Citation
Download full text from publisher
References listed on IDEAS
- Joshua C. C. Chan, 2018.
"Specification tests for time-varying parameter models with stochastic volatility,"
Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 37(8), pages 807-823, September.
- Joshua C.C. Chan, 2015. "Specification tests for time-varying parameter models with stochastic volatility," CAMA Working Papers 2015-42, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson, 2007.
"Why Has U.S. Inflation Become Harder to Forecast?,"
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 39(s1), pages 3-33, February.
- James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson, 2006. "Why Has U.S. Inflation Become Harder to Forecast?," NBER Working Papers 12324, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson, 2007. "Why Has U.S. Inflation Become Harder to Forecast?," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 39(s1), pages 3-33, February.
Most related items
These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.- Bańbura, Marta & Bobeica, Elena, 2023.
"Does the Phillips curve help to forecast euro area inflation?,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(1), pages 364-390.
- Bańbura, Marta & Bobeica, Elena, 2020. "Does the Phillips curve help to forecast euro area inflation?," Working Paper Series 2471, European Central Bank.
- Raffaella Giacomini & Jason Lu & Katja Smetanina, 2024. "Perceived shocks and impulse responses," CeMMAP working papers 21/24, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
- Julien Champagne & Guillaume Poulin‐Bellisle & Rodrigo Sekkel, 2020. "Introducing the Bank of Canada staff economic projections database," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 35(1), pages 114-129, January.
- Marta Bañbura & Danilo Leiva-León & Jan-Oliver Menz, 2021.
"Do inflation expectations improve model-based inflation Forecasts?,"
Working Papers
2138, Banco de España.
- Bańbura, Marta & Leiva-Leon, Danilo & Menz, Jan-Oliver, 2021. "Do inflation expectations improve model-based inflation forecasts?," Working Paper Series 2604, European Central Bank.
- Bańbura, Marta & Leiva-León, Danilo & Menz, Jan-Oliver, 2021. "Do inflation expectations improve model-based inflation forecasts?," Discussion Papers 48/2021, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Alex, Dony, 2021. "Anchoring of inflation expectations in large emerging economies," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 23(C).
- Bańbura, Marta & Brenna, Federica & Paredes, Joan & Ravazzolo, Francesco, 2021. "Combining Bayesian VARs with survey density forecasts: does it pay off?," Working Paper Series 2543, European Central Bank.
- Raffaella Giacomini & Katja Smetanina & Jason Lu, 2024. "Perceived shocks and impulse responses," IFS Working Papers WCWP21/24, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Rodney W. Strachan, 2023.
"Bayesian State Space Models In Macroeconometrics,"
Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 37(1), pages 58-75, February.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Rodney W. Strachan, 2020. "Bayesian state space models in macroeconometrics," CAMA Working Papers 2020-90, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Chen, Qitong & Hong, Yongmiao & Li, Haiqi, 2024. "Time-varying forecast combination for factor-augmented regressions with smooth structural changes," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 240(1).
- Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis, 2012.
"Forecasting Inflation Using Dynamic Model Averaging,"
International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 53(3), pages 867-886, August.
- Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis, 2009. "Forecasting Inflation Using Dynamic Model Averaging," Working Paper series 34_09, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Koop, Gary & Korobilis, Dimitris, 2011. "Forecasting Inflation Using Dynamic Model Averaging," SIRE Discussion Papers 2011-40, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
- Koop, Gary & Korobilis, Dimitris, 2010. "Forecasting Inflation Using Dynamic Model Averaging," SIRE Discussion Papers 2010-113, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
- Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis, 2011. "Forecasting Inflation Using Dynamic Model Averaging," Working Papers 1119, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics.
- Garcia-Hiernaux, Alfredo & Gonzalez-Perez, Maria T. & Guerrero, David E., 2023.
"Eurozone prices: A tale of convergence and divergence,"
Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
- Alfredo García-Hiernaux & María T. González-Pérez & David E. Guerrero, 2020. "Eurozone prices: a tale of convergence and divergence," Working Papers 2010, Banco de España.
- Kelly Trinh & Bo Zhang & Chenghan Hou, 2025. "Macroeconomic real‐time forecasts of univariate models with flexible error structures," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 44(1), pages 59-78, January.
- Verbrugge, Randal & Zaman, Saeed, 2023.
"The hard road to a soft landing: Evidence from a (modestly) nonlinear structural model,"
Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 123(C).
- Randal J. Verbrugge & Saeed Zaman, 2023. "The Hard Road to a Soft Landing: Evidence from a (Modestly) Nonlinear Structural Model," Working Papers 23-03, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Francesco Bianchi & Giovanni Nicolo & Dongho Song, 2023.
"Inflation and Real Activity over the Business Cycle,"
Finance and Economics Discussion Series
2023-038, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Francesco Bianchi & Giovanni Nicolò & Dongho Song, 2023. "Inflation and Real Activity over the Business Cycle," NBER Working Papers 31075, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Andrea Boitani & Salvatore Perdichizzi & Chiara Punzo, 2022.
"Nonlinearities and expenditure multipliers in the Eurozone [Tales of fiscal adjustment],"
Industrial and Corporate Change, Oxford University Press and the Associazione ICC, vol. 31(2), pages 552-575.
- Andrea Boitani & Salvatore Perdichizzi & Chiara Punzo, 2020. "Nonlinearities and expenditure multipliers in the Eurozone," DISCE - Working Papers del Dipartimento di Economia e Finanza def089, Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore, Dipartimenti e Istituti di Scienze Economiche (DISCE).
- Joseph, Andreas & Potjagailo, Galina & Chakraborty, Chiranjit & Kapetanios, George, 2024.
"Forecasting UK inflation bottom up,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 40(4), pages 1521-1538.
- Joseph, Andreas & Kalamara, Eleni & Kapetanios, George & Potjagailo, Galina & Chakraborty, Chiranjit, 2021. "Forecasting UK inflation bottom up," Bank of England working papers 915, Bank of England, revised 27 Sep 2022.
- Canelli, Rosa & Fontana, Giuseppe & Realfonzo, Riccardo & Passarella, Marco Veronese, 2024. "Energy crisis, economic growth and public finance in Italy," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
- Blasques, Francisco & van Brummelen, Janneke & Gorgi, Paolo & Koopman, Siem Jan, 2024. "Maximum Likelihood Estimation for Non-Stationary Location Models with Mixture of Normal Distributions," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 238(1).
- Adriana Cornea‐Madeira & João Madeira, 2022. "Econometric Analysis of Switching Expectations in UK Inflation," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 84(3), pages 651-673, June.
- Juan Angel Garcia & Aubrey Poon, 2022.
"Inflation trends in Asia: implications for central banks [Are Phillips curves useful for forecasting inflation?],"
Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 74(3), pages 671-700.
- García, Juan Angel & Poon, Aubrey, 2019. "Inflation trends in Asia: implications for central banks," Working Paper Series 2338, European Central Bank.
More about this item
Keywords
monetary policy; inflation; underlying inflation;All these keywords.
JEL classification:
- E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
- E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
- B22 - Schools of Economic Thought and Methodology - - History of Economic Thought since 1925 - - - Macroeconomics
Statistics
Access and download statisticsCorrections
All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:fip:fedkeb:96343. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.
If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.
If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .
If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Zach Kastens (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/frbkcus.html .
Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.