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The path of wage growth and unemployment

Author

Listed:
  • Mary C. Daly
  • Bart Hobijn
  • Timothy Ni

Abstract

After the Great Recession, the fraction of U.S. workers whose wages were frozen reached a record high. Many employers would have preferred to cut wages, but couldn?t do so because of the reluctance of workers to accept reduced compensation. These pent-up wage cuts initially propped up wage growth, reduced hiring, and pushed up unemployment. But, over the past 2 years, inflation has eroded the real value of frozen wages, slowing wage growth and reducing the unemployment rate. This is similar to, but more pronounced than, the pattern observed in past recessions.

Suggested Citation

  • Mary C. Daly & Bart Hobijn & Timothy Ni, 2013. "The path of wage growth and unemployment," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue july15.
  • Handle: RePEc:fip:fedfel:y:2013:i:july15:n:2013-20
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. A. W. Phillips, 1958. "The Relation Between Unemployment and the Rate of Change of Money Wage Rates in the United Kingdom, 1861–1957," Economica, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 25(100), pages 283-299, November.
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Mr. Stephan Danninger, 2016. "What's Up with U.S. Wage Growth and Job Mobility?," IMF Working Papers 2016/122, International Monetary Fund.
    2. Chen, Siyan & Desiderio, Saul, 2020. "Job duration and inequality," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel), vol. 14, pages 1-27.
    3. Chen, Siyan & Desiderio, Saul, 2018. "Computational evidence on the distributive properties of monetary policy," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel), vol. 12, pages 1-32.

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    Keywords

    Wages;

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