IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/ers/ijfirm/v13y2023i4p26-56.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

The Effects of Domestic Private Investment on Ethiopian Economic Growth: Time Series Analysis

Author

Listed:
  • Tale Geddafa

Abstract

Purpose: The primary aim of this study is to examine the factors affecting domestic private investment and its effect on economic growth in Ethiopia. To meet its goal, the study used a quantitative research strategy. Design/Methodology/Approach: Using the ARDL model and the relevant software, E-views version 12, the study concentrated on 31 years of secondary data (i.e., from 1992 to 2022). Findings: The study's key finding demonstrates that domestic private investment was negatively and significantly impacted by the inflation rate, public investment, and real effective exchange rate over a period of both the short- and long-run. While Domestic credit to the private sector, foreign direct investment, real GDP and trade openness were found positive and significant effect on domestic private investment in long run. Unemployment rate was found positive and significant effect in short run but insignificant in long run. Annual interest rate was found negative significant effect in short run but insignificant in long run. While total government expenditure insignificant in both short and long run. Inflation has a negative relation with domestic private investment in both short and long run, therefore the study suggested that policymakers should recognize the cause for fluctuations in inflation and keep in a stable manner. Practical Implications: An important factor in a nation's economic development is investment activity. The ability of a nation to invest and use its resources effectively and productively is a major factor in economic growth. Although, Domestic private investments are crucial for economic growth, its expansion in Ethiopia is still in its early stages. Originality/Value: The study recommended that since inflation has a negative relation with domestic private investment in short run and long run, policymakers should understand the cause for inflation volatility and keep in a stable manner.

Suggested Citation

  • Tale Geddafa, 2023. "The Effects of Domestic Private Investment on Ethiopian Economic Growth: Time Series Analysis," International Journal of Finance, Insurance and Risk Management, International Journal of Finance, Insurance and Risk Management, vol. 13(4), pages 26-56.
    • Handle: RePEc:ers:ijfirm:v:13:y:2023:i:4:p:26-56
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://journalfirm.com/journal/370/download
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. B Ouattara, 2004. "Modelling the Long Run Determinants of Private Investment in Senegal," Economics Discussion Paper Series 0413, Economics, The University of Manchester.
    2. World Bank, 2013. "Trends and Determinants of Foreign Direct Investment in South Asia," World Bank Publications - Reports 16522, The World Bank Group.
    3. Fielding, David, 1997. "Adjustment, trade policy and investment slumps: evidence from Africa," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 52(1), pages 121-137, February.
    4. M. Hashem Pesaran & Yongcheol Shin & Richard J. Smith, 2001. "Bounds testing approaches to the analysis of level relationships," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 16(3), pages 289-326.
    5. Monica Escaleras & Constantina Kottaridi, 2014. "The joint effect of macroeconomic uncertainty, sociopolitical instability, and public provision on private investment," Journal of Developing Areas, Tennessee State University, College of Business, vol. 48(1), pages 227-251, January-M.
    6. Eleftherios Thalassinos & Diana-Mihaela Pociovalisteanu, 2007. "A Time Series Model for the Romanian Stock Market," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(3-4), pages 57-72.
    7. Akçay Selçuk & Karasoy Alper, 2020. "Determinants of private investments in Turkey: Examining the role of democracy," Review of Economic Perspectives, Sciendo, vol. 20(1), pages 23-49, March.
    8. Solomon Tilahun & Francesco Tajani, 2021. "The determinants of public investment in Ethiopia: An ARDL approach," Cogent Economics & Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 9(1), pages 1929680-192, January.
    9. Ali Al-Sadig, 2013. "The effects of foreign direct investment on private domestic investment: evidence from developing countries," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 44(3), pages 1267-1275, June.
    10. Admasu Shiferaw, 2016. "Constraints to Private Investment in a High-Growth Environment: Firm-level Evidence from Ethiopia," Working Papers 168, Department of Economics, College of William and Mary.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Ambaye, Guesh Gebremeske & Berhanu, T. & Abera, G., 2013. "Modeling the Determinats of Domestic Private Investments in Ethiopia," AGRIS on-line Papers in Economics and Informatics, Czech University of Life Sciences Prague, Faculty of Economics and Management, vol. 5(4), pages 1-11, December.
    2. Samad, Abdul & Masih, Mansur, 2018. "Does institutional quality matter in attracting foreign direct investment? the case of Ethiopia based on ARDL approach," MPRA Paper 108493, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Abdul Rishad & Sanjeev Gupta & Akhil Sharma, 2021. "Official Intervention and Exchange Rate Determination: Evidence from India," Global Journal of Emerging Market Economies, Emerging Markets Forum, vol. 13(3), pages 357-379, September.
    4. Marie-Ange Véganzonès-Varoudakis & Syed Muhammad All-E-Raza Rizvi, 2019. "Conflict, Growth and Human Development An Empirical Analysis of Pakistan," Post-Print hal-03060036, HAL.
    5. Ahmed Raza ul MUSTAFA* & Mohammad NISHAT**, 2017. "ROLE OF SOCIAL PROTECTION IN POVERTY REDUCTION IN PAKISTAN: A Quantitative Approach," Pakistan Journal of Applied Economics, Applied Economics Research Centre, vol. 27(1), pages 67-88.
    6. Patrick, Chileshe M. & Akanabi, Olusegun Ayodele, 2017. "The Impact of Informal Economy on the Interest Rate Pass-through: Evidence from an ARDL model," African Journal of Economic Review, African Journal of Economic Review, vol. 5(2), July.
    7. Nasir, Muhammad Ali & Duc Huynh, Toan Luu & Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2020. "Exchange rate pass-through & management of inflation expectations in a small open inflation targeting economy," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 178-188.
    8. Chen, George S. & Yao, Yao & Malizard, Julien, 2017. "Does foreign direct investment crowd in or crowd out private domestic investment in China? The effect of entry mode," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 409-419.
    9. Phouphet Kyophilavong & Gazi Salah Uddin & Muhammad Shahbaz, 2016. "The Nexus between Financial Development and Economic Growth in Lao PDR," Global Business Review, International Management Institute, vol. 17(2), pages 303-317, April.
    10. Sunde, Tafirenyika, 2017. "Foreign direct investment, exports and economic growth: ADRL and causality analysis for South Africa," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 434-444.
    11. Phouphet Kyophilavong & Muhammad Shahbaz & Gazi Salah Uddin, 2015. "A Note on Nominal and Real Devaluation in Laos," Global Business Review, International Management Institute, vol. 16(2), pages 236-243, April.
    12. Samuel Kwabena Obeng & Linda Akoto & Felicia Acquah, 2018. "Democracy, Globalization and Private Investment in Ghana," Global Business Review, International Management Institute, vol. 19(1), pages 1-20, February.
    13. Muhammad, Shahbaz & Mohammad, Mafizur Rahman & Abdul, Farooq, 2012. "Financial Development, International Trade and Economic Growth in Australia:New Evidence from Multivariate Framework Analysis," MPRA Paper 42023, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 17 Oct 2012.
    14. Madhu Sehrawat & A. K. Giri, 2018. "The impact of financial development, economic growth, income inequality on poverty: evidence from India," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 55(4), pages 1585-1602, December.
    15. James Temitope Dada & Adams Adeiza & Noor Azizi Ismail & Arnaut Marina, 2022. "Investigating the link between economic growth, financial development, urbanization, natural resources, human capital, trade openness and ecological footprint: evidence from Nigeria," Journal of Bioeconomics, Springer, vol. 24(2), pages 153-179, July.
    16. Orazaliyev Kanat & Zhijun Yan & Muhammad Mansoor Asghar & Syed Anees Haider Zaidi & Abdul Sami, 2024. "Gender Inequality and Poverty: The Role of Financial Development in Mitigating Poverty in Pakistan," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 15(3), pages 11848-11876, September.
    17. Jerzy Rembeza & Kamila Radlińska, 2020. "Price Linkages Between Tea Markets: A Case Study for Colombo, Kolkata and Mombasa Auctions," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(2), pages 134-150.
    18. Ismail Fasanya & Ololade Periola & Abiodun Adetokunbo, 2023. "On the effects of Covid-19 pandemic on stock prices: an imminent global threat," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 57(3), pages 2231-2248, June.
    19. Micheal Kofi Boachie & Martin Ruzima & Mustapha Immurana, 2020. "The Concurrent Effect of Financial Development and Trade Openness on Private Investment in India," South Asian Journal of Macroeconomics and Public Finance, , vol. 9(2), pages 190-220, December.
    20. Kyophilavong, Phouphet & Shahbaz, Muhammad & Uddin, Gazi Salah, 2013. "Does J-curve phenomenon exist in case of Laos? An ARDL approach," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 833-839.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Domestic private Investment; ARDL Model; Macroeconomic Variables; Time Series analysis; Ethiopia.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • O0 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - General
    • O40 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - General

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ers:ijfirm:v:13:y:2023:i:4:p:26-56. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Marios Agiomavritis (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://journalfirm.com/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.