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Demanda de electricidad residencial: Una perspectiva de regresión cuantílica. (Residential electricity demand: A quantile regression perspective)

Author

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  • Ricardo Arturo Cárdenas Ovalle

    (Banco de México.)

Abstract

El objetivo de este trabajo es estimar la demanda de electricidad residencial de México mediante una regresión cuantílica. Por primera ocasión se utiliza información que permite identificar la tarifa de electricidad residencial a nivel municipio facilitando la conversión del gasto en electricidad a kilowatts-hora. Sin embargo, se incurre en una sobreestimación en el consumo de electricidad para los hogares que pagan derecho de alumbrado público ya que no se dispone de esta información. Se encontró que la elasticidad ingreso de la demanda es inelástica, a través de los deciles de consumo, con un rango de [0.25, 0.28], mientras que la elasticidad precio y precio cruzada de la demanda resultaron ser elásticas con rangos de [-1.93, -1.42] y [-1.81, -1.04], respectivamente. También se observa que los hogares, equipados con aire acondicionado, consumen en promedio entre 69 % y 49 % más que el resto de los hogares.

Suggested Citation

  • Ricardo Arturo Cárdenas Ovalle, 2020. "Demanda de electricidad residencial: Una perspectiva de regresión cuantílica. (Residential electricity demand: A quantile regression perspective)," Ensayos Revista de Economia, Universidad Autonoma de Nuevo Leon, Facultad de Economia, vol. 0(1), pages 87-114, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:ere:journl:v:xxxix:y:2020:i:1:p:87-114
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    File URL: http://www.economia.uanl.mx/revistaensayos/xxxix/1/4_Cardenas_electricidad.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Baker, Paul & Blundell, Richard, 1991. "The Microeconometric Approach to Modelling Energy Demand: Some Results for UK Households," Oxford Review of Economic Policy, Oxford University Press and Oxford Review of Economic Policy Limited, vol. 7(2), pages 54-76, Summer.
    2. Baker, Paul & Blundell, Richard & Micklewright, John, 1989. "Modelling Household Energy Expenditures Using Micro-data," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 99(397), pages 720-738, September.
    3. Claudio Agostini & Cecilia Plottier & Eduardo Saavedra, 2009. "La Demanda Residencial por Energía Eléctrica en Chile," ILADES-UAH Working Papers inv240, Universidad Alberto Hurtado/School of Economics and Business.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Microeconomía; Demanda de electricidad; Elasticidad de demanda; Regresión cuantílica;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D12 - Microeconomics - - Household Behavior - - - Consumer Economics: Empirical Analysis

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