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Volatility spillover from crude oil and gold to BRICS equity markets

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  • Vikas Pandey
  • Vipul Vipul

Abstract

Purpose - The purpose of this paper is to investigate the volatility spillover from crude oil and gold to the BRICS stock markets, after removing the effect of co-movement of prices of crude oil and gold. Design/methodology/approach - Three multivariate GARCH models (dynamic conditional correlation, constant conditional correlation, and Baba, Engle, Kraft and Kroner) are used to capture the dynamic relationship between the crude oil and gold returns. The innovations from gold and oil are orthogonalized, and the EGARCH model is employed for the spillover analysis. The influences of oil price shocks and gold price shocks are tested on the returns of each of the BRICS equity markets. Findings - There is evidence of volatility spillover from both the crude oil and gold to the BRICS stock markets. A sub-sample analysis suggests that the volatility spillover from gold was not significant before the financial crisis of 2008, but became significant post-crisis. The volatility asymmetry, which was not significant before the crisis, also became significant after it. Originality/value - This study examines the volatility spillover to the BRICS stock markets from crude oil and gold, after accounting for the co-movement in their prices. It can help equity investors to judge whether gold can provide incremental diversification benefit, if used in conjunction with crude oil. The study also provides insights into the changes caused by the 2008 financial crisis on this volatility spillover mechanism.

Suggested Citation

  • Vikas Pandey & Vipul Vipul, 2018. "Volatility spillover from crude oil and gold to BRICS equity markets," Journal of Economic Studies, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 45(2), pages 426-440, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:eme:jespps:jes-01-2017-0025
    DOI: 10.1108/JES-01-2017-0025
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Elgammal, Mohammed M. & Ahmed, Walid M.A. & Alshami, Abdullah, 2021. "Price and volatility spillovers between global equity, gold, and energy markets prior to and during the COVID-19 pandemic," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    2. Tanin, Tauhidul Islam & Sarker, Ashutosh & Hammoudeh, Shawkat & Shahbaz, Muhammad, 2021. "Do volatility indices diminish gold's appeal as a safe haven to investors before and during the COVID-19 pandemic?," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 191(C), pages 214-235.
    3. Joof, Foday & Samour, Ahmed & Ali, Mumtaz & Tursoy, Turgut & Haseeb, Mohammad & Hossain, Md. Emran & Kamal, Mustafa, 2023. "Symmetric and asymmetric effects of gold, and oil price on environment: The role of clean energy in China," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    4. Pleşa Georgiana, 2022. "Volatility spillover effects of oil, gold and bulk shipping prices on financial markets," Proceedings of the International Conference on Business Excellence, Sciendo, vol. 16(1), pages 695-706, August.
    5. K. Abhaya Kumar & Prakash Pinto & Iqbal Thonse Hawaldar & K. G. Ramesh, 2021. "Can Crude Oil Futures be the Good Hedging Tool for Tyre Equities? Evidence from India," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 11(6), pages 523-537.
    6. Yahya, Muhammad & Kanjilal, Kakali & Dutta, Anupam & Uddin, Gazi Salah & Ghosh, Sajal, 2021. "Can clean energy stock price rule oil price? New evidences from a regime-switching model at first and second moments," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 95(C).
    7. Robiyanto Robiyanto & Bayu Adi Nugroho & Eka Handriani & Andrian Dolfriandra Huruta, 2020. "Hedge effectiveness of put replication, gold, and oil on ASEAN-5 equities," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 6(1), pages 1-29, December.
    8. Mensi, Walid & Al Rababa'a, Abdel Razzaq & Vo, Xuan Vinh & Kang, Sang Hoon, 2021. "Asymmetric spillover and network connectedness between crude oil, gold, and Chinese sector stock markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 98(C).
    9. Aziz, Ghazala & Sarwar, Suleman & Yuan, Qiong & Waheed, Rida & Morales, Lucía, 2024. "Reinvestigating the role of oil and gold for portfolio optimization in view of COVID-19 and structural breaks: Empirical evidence of BEKK, DCC and wavelet quantile based estimations," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
    10. Shafa Guliyeva, 2023. "Analysis of the effect of Energy Prices on Stock Indexes During the Epidemic Crisis," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 13(2), pages 526-536, March.
    11. Walid Mensi & Debasish Maitra & Refk Selmi & Xuan Vinh Vo, 2023. "Extreme dependencies and spillovers between gold and stock markets: evidence from MENA countries," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 9(1), pages 1-27, December.
    12. Wongtawan Uthumrat, 2022. "Dynamic Relationship between the Return of Gold, Crude Oil, and the Stock Exchange of Thailand Based on a Vector Autoregressive Model," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 12(4), pages 350-356, July.
    13. Zhu, Pengfei & Tang, Yong & Wei, Yu & Lu, Tuantuan, 2021. "Multidimensional risk spillovers among crude oil, the US and Chinese stock markets: Evidence during the COVID-19 epidemic," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 231(C).

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