IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/ejn/ejbmjr/v10y2022i1p19-26.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Overreaction And Underreaction During The Covid-19 Pandemic In The South African Stock Market And Its Implications

Author

Listed:
  • Samuel Tabot Enow

    (The IIE Vega School, South Africa)

Abstract

The aim of this study was to investigate overreaction and underreaction from the six main sectors in the Johannesburg stock exchange due to the significant impact of Covid-19 on economic activities and financial markets globally. Using a Threshold GARCH model, the findings revealed the presence of overreaction mostly in the healthcare, industrial and telecom sector. However, very few stocks in the banking and tech portrayed overreaction while none of the stocks in the consumer goods sector revealed the presence of overreaction or underreaction because the coefficient of the leverage term was statistically insignificant. From these findings, there is a high risk of investing in healthcare, industrial and telecom stocks, which is not compensated by additional returns. Investors can minimize risk in this sectors by adding healthcare, industrial and telecom stocks in a well- diversified portfolio and assigning a risk coefficient to their pricing. This study adds to the body of knowledge on market anomalies by looking at overreaction and underreaction during the coivid-19 pandemic, which is an important concept in behavioral finance. This study is significant to market participants that are willing to trade on the Johannesburg stock exchange as it provides valuable insights on behavioral pattern and anomalies.

Suggested Citation

  • Samuel Tabot Enow, 2022. "Overreaction And Underreaction During The Covid-19 Pandemic In The South African Stock Market And Its Implications," Eurasian Journal of Business and Management, Eurasian Publications, vol. 10(1), pages 19-26.
  • Handle: RePEc:ejn:ejbmjr:v:10:y:2022:i:1:p:19-26
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://eurasianpublications.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/05/EJBM-10.1.2.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Edwin J. Elton & Martin J. Gruber, 1997. "Modern Portfolio Theory, 1950 to Date," New York University, Leonard N. Stern School Finance Department Working Paper Seires 97-3, New York University, Leonard N. Stern School of Business-.
    2. Xiaoying Ma, 2021. "The Chinese Economy," Springer Books, in: The Economic Impact of Government Policy on China’s Private Higher Education Sector, chapter 0, pages 31-57, Springer.
    3. Shengle Lin & Stephen Rassenti, 2010. "Are Under- and Over-reaction the Same Matter? A Price Inertia based Account," Working Papers 10-05, Chapman University, Economic Science Institute.
    4. Elton, Edwin J. & Gruber, Martin J., 1997. "Modern portfolio theory, 1950 to date," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 21(11-12), pages 1743-1759, December.
    5. Baek, Seungho & Mohanty, Sunil K. & Glambosky, Mina, 2020. "COVID-19 and stock market volatility: An industry level analysis," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 37(C).
    6. Scherf, Matthias & Matschke, Xenia & Rieger, Marc Oliver, 2022. "Stock market reactions to COVID-19 lockdown: A global analysis," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 45(C).
    7. De Bondt, Werner F M & Thaler, Richard, 1985. "Does the Stock Market Overreact?," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 40(3), pages 793-805, July.
    8. Jin, Chenglu & Lu, Xingyu & Zhang, Yihan, 2022. "Market reaction, COVID-19 pandemic and return distribution," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 47(PB).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Samuel Tabot ENOW, 2023. "A Non-linear Dependency Test for Market Efficiency: Evidence from International Stock Markets," Journal of Economics and Financial Analysis, Tripal Publishing House, vol. 7(1), pages 1-12.
    2. Samuel Tabot Enow, 2023. "Investigating Joint Market Hypothesis during Periods of Financial Distress and its Implications," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 13(2), pages 46-50, March.
    3. Samuel Tabot ENOW, 2022. "Evidence of Adaptive Market Hypothesis in International Financial Markets," Journal of Academic Finance, RED research unit, university of Gabes, Tunisia, vol. 13(2), pages 48-55, December.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Adam Karp & Gary Van Vuuren, 2019. "Investment Implications Of The Fractal Market Hypothesis," Annals of Financial Economics (AFE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 14(01), pages 1-27, March.
    2. Kanzari, Dalel & Nakhli, Mohamed Sahbi & Gaies, Brahim & Sahut, Jean-Michel, 2023. "Predicting macro-financial instability – How relevant is sentiment? Evidence from long short-term memory networks," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    3. Groh, Alexander P., 2004. "Risikoadjustierte Performance von Private Equity-Investitionen," Publications of Darmstadt Technical University, Institute for Business Studies (BWL) 21382, Darmstadt Technical University, Department of Business Administration, Economics and Law, Institute for Business Studies (BWL).
    4. Pattitoni, Pierpaolo & Savioli, Marco, 2011. "Investment choices: Indivisible non-marketable assets and suboptimal solutions," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 28(6), pages 2387-2394.
    5. Samuel Tabot ENOW, 2022. "Evidence of Adaptive Market Hypothesis in International Financial Markets," Journal of Academic Finance, RED research unit, university of Gabes, Tunisia, vol. 13(2), pages 48-55, December.
    6. Gregory Price & Warren Whatley, 2021. "Did profitable slave trading enable the expansion of empire?: The Asiento de Negros, the South Sea Company and the financial revolution in Great Britain," Cliometrica, Springer;Cliometric Society (Association Francaise de Cliométrie), vol. 15(3), pages 675-718, September.
    7. Vasile BRÄ‚TIAN, 2018. "Portfolio Optimization. Application of the Markowitz Model Using Lagrange and Profitability Forecast," Expert Journal of Economics, Sprint Investify, vol. 6(1), pages 26-34.
    8. Jitka JANOVÁ, 2014. "Crop plan optimization under risk on a farm level in the Czech Republic," Agricultural Economics, Czech Academy of Agricultural Sciences, vol. 60(3), pages 123-132.
    9. Giorgio Arici & Marco Dalai & Riccardo Leonardi & Arnaldo Spalvieri, 2018. "A Communication Theoretic Interpretation of Modern Portfolio Theory Including Short Sales, Leverage and Transaction Costs," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 12(1), pages 1-11, December.
    10. Plastun, Alex & Sibande, Xolani & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2024. "Price effects after one-day abnormal returns and crises in the stock markets," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(PA).
    11. Jitka Janová, 2012. "Crop planning optimization model: the validation and verification processes," Central European Journal of Operations Research, Springer;Slovak Society for Operations Research;Hungarian Operational Research Society;Czech Society for Operations Research;Österr. Gesellschaft für Operations Research (ÖGOR);Slovenian Society Informatika - Section for Operational Research;Croatian Operational Research Society, vol. 20(3), pages 451-462, September.
    12. Pierpaolo Pattitoni & Marco Savioli, 2011. "Investment Choices: Indivisible non-Marketable Assets and Bounded Rationality," Working Paper series 07_11, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
    13. Rodolfo Apreda, 2009. "An axiomatic treatment of enlarged separation portfolios and treasurer’s portfolios (with applications to financial synthetics)," CEMA Working Papers: Serie Documentos de Trabajo. 398, Universidad del CEMA.
    14. Rayna Tsaneva, 2013. "Characteristic features of the investment activities of the pension funds in Bulgaria," Economic Thought journal, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences - Economic Research Institute, issue 2, pages 100-119.
    15. Kourtis, Apostolos & Dotsis, George & Markellos, Raphael N., 2012. "Parameter uncertainty in portfolio selection: Shrinking the inverse covariance matrix," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 36(9), pages 2522-2531.
    16. Sujan Adhikari & Pawan Kumar Jha, Ph.D., 2016. "Applicability of Portfolio Theory in Nepali Stock Market," NRB Economic Review, Nepal Rastra Bank, Economic Research Department, vol. 28(1), pages 65-92, April.
    17. Christoph Wegener & Tobias Basse, 2019. "The Stability of Factor Sensitivities of German Stock Market Sector Indices: Empirical Evidence and Some Thoughts about Practical Implications," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 12(3), pages 1-10, August.
    18. Vladimir Boginski & Sergiy Butenko & Oleg Shirokikh & Svyatoslav Trukhanov & Jaime Gil Lafuente, 2014. "A network-based data mining approach to portfolio selection via weighted clique relaxations," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 216(1), pages 23-34, May.
    19. Aleksy Leeuwenkamp & Wentao Hu, 2023. "New general dependence measures: construction, estimation and application to high-frequency stock returns," Papers 2309.00025, arXiv.org.
    20. Harjoto, Maretno Agus & Rossi, Fabrizio & Lee, Robert & Sergi, Bruno S., 2021. "How do equity markets react to COVID-19? Evidence from emerging and developed countries," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 115(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ejn:ejbmjr:v:10:y:2022:i:1:p:19-26. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Esra Barakli (email available below). General contact details of provider: .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.