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Accounting for differences in modelled estimates of RP, SP and RP/SP direct petrol price elasticities for car mode choice: A warning

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  • Hensher, David A.
  • Li, Zheng

Abstract

Using a sample of 245 direct petrol price elasticities of car travel collected from 52 published mode choice studies, a random coefficient regression model is estimated to account for heterogeneity in the influence of the type of data used in the various studies (RP, SP and a combination of RP/SP). The focus on the type of data is designed to highlight a concern that has emerged in the way that an increasing number of researchers and consultants derive elasticities from stand-alone stated preference studies, and apply them. It is well known that this is not valid without model calibration (usually via the mode-specific constants), since the elasticity formula uses the probability of an alternative being chosen. To understand the extent of possible behavioural response bias when calibration is ignored is important, signalling a possible adjustment process to correct for the absence of calibration relative to calibrated RP and or RP/SP derived elasticities.

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  • Hensher, David A. & Li, Zheng, 2010. "Accounting for differences in modelled estimates of RP, SP and RP/SP direct petrol price elasticities for car mode choice: A warning," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 17(3), pages 191-195, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:trapol:v:17:y:2010:i:3:p:191-195
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    2. Haghani, Milad & Bliemer, Michiel C.J. & Rose, John M. & Oppewal, Harmen & Lancsar, Emily, 2021. "Hypothetical bias in stated choice experiments: Part II. Conceptualisation of external validity, sources and explanations of bias and effectiveness of mitigation methods," Journal of choice modelling, Elsevier, vol. 41(C).
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    6. Li, Zheng & Hensher, David A. & Rose, John M., 2011. "Identifying sources of systematic variation in direct price elasticities from revealed preference studies of inter-city freight demand," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 18(5), pages 727-734, September.
    7. Milad Haghani & Michiel C. J. Bliemer & John M. Rose & Harmen Oppewal & Emily Lancsar, 2021. "Hypothetical bias in stated choice experiments: Part II. Macro-scale analysis of literature and effectiveness of bias mitigation methods," Papers 2102.02945, arXiv.org.

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