Quantifying the impact of COVID-19 on non-motorized transportation: A Bayesian structural time series model
Author
Abstract
Suggested Citation
DOI: 10.1016/j.tranpol.2021.01.013
Download full text from publisher
As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.
References listed on IDEAS
- Carpenter, Bob & Gelman, Andrew & Hoffman, Matthew D. & Lee, Daniel & Goodrich, Ben & Betancourt, Michael & Brubaker, Marcus & Guo, Jiqiang & Li, Peter & Riddell, Allen, 2017. "Stan: A Probabilistic Programming Language," Journal of Statistical Software, Foundation for Open Access Statistics, vol. 76(i01).
- Takahiro Yabe & Yunchang Zhang & Satish Ukkusuri, 2020. "Quantifying the Economic Impact of Extreme Shocks on Businesses using Human Mobility Data: a Bayesian Causal Inference Approach," Papers 2004.11121, arXiv.org.
- Lazarus, Jessica & Pourquier, Jean Carpentier & Feng, Frank & Hammel, Henry & Shaheen, Susan, 2020. "Micromobility evolution and expansion: Understanding how docked and dockless bikesharing models complement and compete – A case study of San Francisco," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
- Lazarus, Jessica & Pourquier, Jean Carpentier & Feng, Frank & Hammel, Henry & Shaheen, Susan, 2020. "Micromobility evolution and expansion: Understanding how docked and dockless bikesharing models complement and compete – A case study of San Francisco," Institute of Transportation Studies, Research Reports, Working Papers, Proceedings qt96g9c9nd, Institute of Transportation Studies, UC Berkeley.
- Alfredo Aloi & Borja Alonso & Juan Benavente & Rubén Cordera & Eneko Echániz & Felipe González & Claudio Ladisa & Raquel Lezama-Romanelli & Álvaro López-Parra & Vittorio Mazzei & Lucía Perrucci & Darí, 2020. "Effects of the COVID-19 Lockdown on Urban Mobility: Empirical Evidence from the City of Santander (Spain)," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(9), pages 1-18, May.
- Fitch, Dillon T. & Handy, Susan L., 2020. "Road environments and bicyclist route choice: The cases of Davis and San Francisco, CA," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
- Alberto Abadie, 2005. "Semiparametric Difference-in-Differences Estimators," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 72(1), pages 1-19.
- Steven L. Scott & Hal R. Varian, 2015.
"Bayesian Variable Selection for Nowcasting Economic Time Series,"
NBER Chapters, in: Economic Analysis of the Digital Economy, pages 119-135,
National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Steven L. Scott & Hal R. Varian, 2013. "Bayesian Variable Selection for Nowcasting Economic Time Series," NBER Working Papers 19567, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Abadie, Alberto & Diamond, Alexis & Hainmueller, Jens, 2010. "Synthetic Control Methods for Comparative Case Studies: Estimating the Effect of California’s Tobacco Control Program," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 105(490), pages 493-505.
- Lars Böcker & Martin Dijst & Jan Prillwitz, 2013. "Impact of Everyday Weather on Individual Daily Travel Behaviours in Perspective: A Literature Review," Transport Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 33(1), pages 71-91, January.
- repec:cup:cbooks:9780521321969 is not listed on IDEAS
- Matz Dahlberg & Per-Anders Edin & Erik Gronqvist & Johan Lyhagen & John Osth & Alexey Siretskiy & Marina Toger, 2020. "Effects of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Population Mobility under Mild Policies: Causal Evidence from Sweden," Papers 2004.09087, arXiv.org.
- Andreas Nikiforiadis & Georgia Ayfantopoulou & Afroditi Stamelou, 2020. "Assessing the Impact of COVID-19 on Bike-Sharing Usage: The Case of Thessaloniki, Greece," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(19), pages 1-12, October.
- Jonah Gabry & Daniel Simpson & Aki Vehtari & Michael Betancourt & Andrew Gelman, 2019. "Visualization in Bayesian workflow," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 182(2), pages 389-402, February.
Citations
Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
Cited by:
- Haiyan Liu & Jaeyoung Lee, 2023. "Contributing Factors to the Changes in Public and Private Transportation Mode Choice after the COVID-19 Outbreak in Urban Areas of China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(6), pages 1-21, March.
- Shirgaokar, Manish & Reynard, Darcy & Collins, Damian, 2021. "Using twitter to investigate responses to street reallocation during COVID-19: Findings from the U.S. and Canada," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 154(C), pages 300-312.
- Möllers, Alessa & Specht, Sebastian & Wessel, Jan, 2022.
"The impact of the Covid-19 pandemic and government intervention on active mobility,"
Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 165(C), pages 356-375.
- Alessa Möllers & Sebastian Specht & Jan Wessel, 2021. "The impact of the Covid-19 pandemic and government intervention on active mobility," Working Papers 34, Institute of Transport Economics, University of Muenster.
- Shuai Yu & Bin Li & Dongmei Liu, 2023. "Exploring the Public Health of Travel Behaviors in High-Speed Railway Environment during the COVID-19 Pandemic from the Perspective of Trip Chain: A Case Study of Beijing–Tianjin–Hebei Urban Agglomera," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 20(2), pages 1-22, January.
- Yi Cao & Yixiao Wang, 2022. "Shared Cycling Demand Prediction during COVID-19 Combined with Urban Computing and Spatiotemporal Residual Network," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(16), pages 1-17, August.
- Li, Tao & Wang, Jiaoe & Huang, Jie & Yang, Wenyue & Chen, Zhuo, 2021. "Exploring the dynamic impacts of COVID-19 on intercity travel in China," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 95(C).
- Elif Bozkaya & Levent Eriskin & Mumtaz Karatas, 2023. "Data analytics during pandemics: a transportation and location planning perspective," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 328(1), pages 193-244, September.
- Circella, Giovanni & Makino, Keita & Matson, Grant & Malik, Jai, 2022. "The Pulse of the Nation on 3 Revolutions: Annual Investigation of Nationwide Mobility Trends," Institute of Transportation Studies, Working Paper Series qt6h44p57d, Institute of Transportation Studies, UC Davis.
- Maria Cieśla & Sandra Kuśnierz & Oliwia Modrzik & Sonia Niedośpiał & Patrycja Sosna, 2021. "Scenarios for the Development of Polish Passenger Transport Services in Pandemic Conditions," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(18), pages 1-16, September.
- Luan, Siliang & Yang, Qingfang & Jiang, Zhongtai & Wang, Wei, 2021. "Exploring the impact of COVID-19 on individual's travel mode choice in China," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 106(C), pages 271-280.
- Xingpei Yan & Zheng Zhu, 2021. "Quantifying the impact of COVID-19 on e-bike safety in China via multi-output and clustering-based regression models," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 16(8), pages 1-15, August.
- Chen, Chao & Feng, Tao & Gu, Xiaoning & Yao, Baozhen, 2022. "Investigating the effectiveness of COVID-19 pandemic countermeasures on the use of public transport: A case study of The Netherlands," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 117(C), pages 98-107.
- Zhou, Kaile & Hu, Dingding & Li, Fangyi, 2022. "Impact of COVID-19 on private driving behavior: Evidence from electric vehicle charging data," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 125(C), pages 164-178.
- Yang, Chao & Wan, Zhiyang & Yuan, Quan & Zhou, Yang & Sun, Maopeng, 2023. "Travel before, during and after the COVID-19 pandemic: Exploring factors in essential travel using empirical data," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 110(C).
- Witold Torbacki, 2021. "Achieving Sustainable Mobility in the Szczecin Metropolitan Area in the Post-COVID-19 Era: The DEMATEL and PROMETHEE II Approach," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(22), pages 1-25, November.
- Adibfar, Alireza & Gulhare, Siddhartha & Srinivasan, Siva & Costin, Aaron, 2022. "Analysis and modeling of changes in online shopping behavior due to Covid-19 pandemic: A Florida case study," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 126(C), pages 162-176.
Most related items
These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.- Qi Li & Wei Long, 2018. "Do parole abolition and Truth-in-Sentencing deter violent crimes in Virginia?," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 55(4), pages 2027-2045, December.
- Guido W. Imbens & Jeffrey M. Wooldridge, 2009.
"Recent Developments in the Econometrics of Program Evaluation,"
Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 47(1), pages 5-86, March.
- Guido M. Imbens & Jeffrey M. Wooldridge, 2008. "Recent Developments in the Econometrics of Program Evaluation," NBER Working Papers 14251, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Wooldridge, Jeffrey M. & Imbens, Guido, 2009. "Recent Developments in the Econometrics of Program Evaluation," Scholarly Articles 3043416, Harvard University Department of Economics.
- Guido Imbens & Jeffrey M. Wooldridge, 2008. "Recent developments in the econometrics of program evaluation," CeMMAP working papers CWP24/08, Centre for Microdata Methods and Practice, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
- Imbens, Guido W. & Wooldridge, Jeffrey M., 2008. "Recent Developments in the Econometrics of Program Evaluation," IZA Discussion Papers 3640, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
- Barakat, Bilal Fouad & Dharamshi, Ameer & Alkema, Leontine & Antoninis, Manos, 2021. "Adjusted Bayesian Completion Rates (ABC) Estimation," SocArXiv at368, Center for Open Science.
- Jason Poulos & Andrea Albanese & Andrea Mercatanti & Fan Li, 2021.
"Retrospective causal inference via matrix completion, with an evaluation of the effect of European integration on cross-border employment,"
Papers
2106.00788, arXiv.org.
- Jason Poulos & Andrea Albanese & Andrea Mercatanti & Fan Li, 2021. "Retrospective causal inference via matrix completion, with an evaluation of the effect of European integration on cross-border employment," LISER Working Paper Series 2021-07, Luxembourg Institute of Socio-Economic Research (LISER).
- Poulos, Jason & Albanese, Andrea & Mercatanti, Andrea & Li, Fan, 2021. "Retrospective Causal Inference via Matrix Completion, with an Evaluation of the Effect of European Integration on Cross-Border Employment," IZA Discussion Papers 14472, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
- Christian Almer & Stefan Boes & Stephan Nüesch, 2017. "Adjustments in the housing market after an environmental shock: evidence from a large-scale change in aircraft noise exposure," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 69(4), pages 918-938.
- Hans-Bernd Schaefer & Rok Spruk, 2024. "Islamic Law, Western European Law and the Roots of Middle East's Long Divergence: a Comparative Empirical Investigation (800-1600)," Papers 2401.14435, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2024.
- Hosseinzadeh, Aryan & Algomaiah, Majeed & Kluger, Robert & Li, Zhixia, 2021. "Spatial analysis of shared e-scooter trips," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
- Sahar Saeed & Erica E. M. Moodie & Erin C. Strumpf & Marina B. Klein, 2019. "Evaluating the impact of health policies: using a difference-in-differences approach," International Journal of Public Health, Springer;Swiss School of Public Health (SSPH+), vol. 64(4), pages 637-642, May.
- Nicholas Illenberger & Dylan S. Small & Pamela A. Shaw, 2019. "Regression to the Mean's Impact on the Synthetic Control Method: Bias and Sensitivity Analysis," Papers 1909.04706, arXiv.org.
- Eli Ben‐Michael & Avi Feller & Jesse Rothstein, 2022.
"Synthetic controls with staggered adoption,"
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 84(2), pages 351-381, April.
- Eli Ben-Michael & Avi Feller & Jesse Rothstein, 2019. "Synthetic Controls with Staggered Adoption," Papers 1912.03290, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2021.
- Eli Ben-Michael & Avi Feller & Jesse Rothstein, 2021. "Synthetic Controls with Staggered Adoption," NBER Working Papers 28886, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Athey, Susan & Imbens, Guido W., 2022.
"Design-based analysis in Difference-In-Differences settings with staggered adoption,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 226(1), pages 62-79.
- Susan Athey & Guido Imbens, 2018. "Design-based Analysis in Difference-In-Differences Settings with Staggered Adoption," Papers 1808.05293, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2018.
- Athey, Susan & Imbens, Guido W., 2018. "Design-based Analysis in Difference-In-Differences Settings with Staggered Adoption," Research Papers 3712, Stanford University, Graduate School of Business.
- Susan Athey & Guido W. Imbens, 2018. "Design-based Analysis in Difference-In-Differences Settings with Staggered Adoption," NBER Working Papers 24963, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Arias-Molinares, Daniela & Romanillos, Gustavo & García-Palomares, Juan Carlos & Gutiérrez, Javier, 2021. "Exploring the spatio-temporal dynamics of moped-style scooter sharing services in urban areas," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 96(C).
- Elnert Coenegrachts & Joris Beckers & Thierry Vanelslander & Ann Verhetsel, 2021. "Business Model Blueprints for the Shared Mobility Hub Network," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(12), pages 1-24, June.
- Xiaojia Guo & Chengpeng Lu & Dongqi Sun & Yexin Gao & Bing Xue, 2021. "Comparison of Usage and Influencing Factors between Governmental Public Bicycles and Dockless Bicycles in Linfen City, China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(12), pages 1-14, June.
- Shu He & Jing Peng & Jianbin Li & Liping Xu, 2020. "Impact of Platform Owner’s Entry on Third-Party Stores," Information Systems Research, INFORMS, vol. 31(4), pages 1467-1484, December.
- Ricardo Medeiros de Castro, 2021. "Documento de Trabalho 001/2021- The problematic binary approach to the concept of dominance," Documentos de Trabalho 12021, Conselho Administrativo de Defesa Econômica (Cade), Departamento de Estudos Econômicos.
- Filipe Teixeira, João & Silva, Cecília & Moura e Sá, Frederico, 2022. "The role of bike sharing during the coronavirus pandemic: An analysis of the mobility patterns and perceptions of Lisbon’s GIRA users," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 159(C), pages 17-34.
- Ma, Xinwei & Ji, Yanjie & Yuan, Yufei & Van Oort, Niels & Jin, Yuchuan & Hoogendoorn, Serge, 2020. "A comparison in travel patterns and determinants of user demand between docked and dockless bike-sharing systems using multi-sourced data," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 139(C), pages 148-173.
- Gwenolé Le Velly & Céline Dutilly, 2016.
"Evaluating Payments for Environmental Services: Methodological Challenges,"
PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 11(2), pages 1-20, February.
- Gwenole Le Velly & Céline Dutilly, 2016. "Evaluating Payments for Environmental Services: Methodological Challenges," Post-Print hal-01687622, HAL.
- Dmitry Arkhangelsky & Guido Imbens, 2023. "Causal Models for Longitudinal and Panel Data: A Survey," Papers 2311.15458, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2024.
More about this item
Keywords
COVID-19; Walking; Bicycling; Bayesian structural time series;All these keywords.
Statistics
Access and download statisticsCorrections
All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:trapol:v:103:y:2021:i:c:p:11-20. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.
If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.
If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .
If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/wps/find/journaldescription.cws_home/30473/description#description .
Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.