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Estimating economic and resilience consequences of potential navigation infrastructure failures: A case study of the Monongahela River

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  • DiPietro, Gwen Shepherd
  • Scott Matthews, H.
  • Hendrickson, Chris T.

Abstract

The paper examines the potential effects of failure of heavily used, outdated locks and dams on the Monongahela River in southwestern Pennsylvania. Catastrophic failure would result in lengthy outage of barge traffic. The displaced volume of coal shipments from mines to power plants is estimated using Energy Information Administration survey data. The resilience of the impacted facilities, the viability of their shipping alternatives, and their ability to re-organize into new markets is assessed. Lost revenues are estimated for facilities that close due to an inability to adapt, as well as the replacement cost of towboats and barges trapped by a catastrophic and sudden failure. The aggregate costs to these facilities as a result of a year-long closure are estimated at $0.56-1.7 billion.

Suggested Citation

  • DiPietro, Gwen Shepherd & Scott Matthews, H. & Hendrickson, Chris T., 2014. "Estimating economic and resilience consequences of potential navigation infrastructure failures: A case study of the Monongahela River," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 142-164.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:transa:v:69:y:2014:i:c:p:142-164
    DOI: 10.1016/j.tra.2014.08.009
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

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    2. Zhang, Yi & Lam, Jasmine Siu Lee, 2016. "Estimating economic losses of industry clusters due to port disruptions," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 17-33.
    3. Hosseini, Seyedmohsen & Barker, Kash & Ramirez-Marquez, Jose E., 2016. "A review of definitions and measures of system resilience," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 145(C), pages 47-61.

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