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Tradable mobility credits for long-distance travel in Europe

Author

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  • Tanner, Sandro
  • Provoost, Jesper
  • Cats, Oded

Abstract

There is an urgent need to devise policy instruments that will reduce GHG emissions to a sufficient extent in order to achieve the climate targets. Approximately 16% of all greenhouse gas emissions are generated by long-distance travel. Our objective is to estimate the impact of a Tradeable Mobility Credit (TMC) scheme − where the total emissions are fixed by design whereas the price is the outcome of travelers’ choices − will have on modal split and trip cancellation for long-distance leisure travel in Europe. To this end, we develop a market equilibrium model which accounts for travel and trading decisions. For our case study consisting of a travel demand of more than 300 million trips performed annually between 3,000 city-pair connections, the credit price that emerges in the market equilibrium state is 272€ per ton of CO2 under an emission reduction target of 30%. Due to the TMC, overall long-distance leisure travel demand is reduced by 20% and the share of air among the remaining trips decreases from 50 to 42% whereas the market share of rail increases from 23 to 26%. Modal shifts and trip cancellation rates vary greatly amongst OD-pair connections, depending on the local value-of-time and the extent of modal competition for the respective connection. Our findings contribute to the on-going debate surrounding instruments for stimulating sustainable (im)mobility, in particular in the context of the long-distance travel market.

Suggested Citation

  • Tanner, Sandro & Provoost, Jesper & Cats, Oded, 2024. "Tradable mobility credits for long-distance travel in Europe," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 186(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:transa:v:186:y:2024:i:c:s0965856424002040
    DOI: 10.1016/j.tra.2024.104156
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    References listed on IDEAS

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