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Effects of the Federal Aviation Administration's Compliance Program on aircraft incidents and accidents

Author

Listed:
  • Calabrese, Curtis G.
  • Molesworth, Brett R.C.
  • Hatfield, Julie
  • Slavich, Eve

Abstract

A novel enforcement policy based on restorative justice principles was implemented by the United States Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) in 2015. In this study, interrupted time series regression analyses using generalized linear autoregressive moving average (GLARMA) models were used to analyze FAA investigated incident and accident counts, runway incursion caused by pilot deviation, and National Transport Safety Board (NTSB) accident count data from June 2010 to September 2020. An association was observed between the change in FAA’s enforcement policy and the increase in aircraft incidents, accidents, and runway incursions post-intervention (2015–2020). These adverse safety outcomes appear to be directly related to this policy change. Results highlight the risk of moving away from punishment as a means of reinforcing safe behavior and the need for careful theory-based implementation of alternative approaches.

Suggested Citation

  • Calabrese, Curtis G. & Molesworth, Brett R.C. & Hatfield, Julie & Slavich, Eve, 2022. "Effects of the Federal Aviation Administration's Compliance Program on aircraft incidents and accidents," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 163(C), pages 304-319.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:transa:v:163:y:2022:i:c:p:304-319
    DOI: 10.1016/j.tra.2022.07.016
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    References listed on IDEAS

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