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Intermittent transition between synchronization and desynchronization in multi-regional business cycles

Author

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  • Esashi, Kunihiko
  • Onozaki, Tamotsu
  • Saiki, Yoshitaka
  • Sato, Yuzuru

Abstract

Empirical studies often conclude that multi-regional business cycles exhibit intermittent transition between synchronization and desynchronization of each regional fluctuations. In this study, we robustly observe this behavior (called chaotic itinerancy) in a model of multi-regional business cycles, in which all regions of a national economy are homogeneous and connected through producers’ behavior based on the average level announced by the government. Although a producer very slowly adjusts his/her output towards the average level, regional business cycles begin to synchronize because of the entrainment effect. Moreover, when a producer emphasizes the profit maximization more and when puts more weight on the average level in his/her decision-making, the economy is more likely to exhibit such intermittent transition. Further, it is clarified that behind intermittent transition exist cycles among periodic orbits with different number of unstable directions.

Suggested Citation

  • Esashi, Kunihiko & Onozaki, Tamotsu & Saiki, Yoshitaka & Sato, Yuzuru, 2018. "Intermittent transition between synchronization and desynchronization in multi-regional business cycles," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 68-76.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:streco:v:44:y:2018:i:c:p:68-76
    DOI: 10.1016/j.strueco.2017.10.005
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    1. Muto, Makoto & Saiki, Yoshitaka, 2024. "Synchronization analysis between exchange rates on the basis of purchasing power parity using the Hilbert transform," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Regional business cycle; Nonlinear dynamics; Synchronization; Globally coupled map; Chaotic itinerancy; Intermittency; Unstable dimension variability;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C61 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Optimization Techniques; Programming Models; Dynamic Analysis
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles

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