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Regional business cycle synchronization through expectations

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  • Onozaki, Tamotsu
  • Yanagita, Tatsuo
  • Kaizoji, Taisei
  • Toyabe, Kazutaka

Abstract

This paper provides an example in which regional business cycles may synchronize via producers’ expectations, even though there is no interregional trade, by means of a system of globally coupled, noninvertible maps. We concentrate on the dependence of the dynamics on a parameter η which denotes the inverse of price elasticity of demand. Simulation results show that several phases (the short transient, the complete asynchronous, the long transient and the intermediate transient) appear one after another as η increases. In the long transient phase, the intermittent clustering process with a long chaotic transient appears repeatedly.

Suggested Citation

  • Onozaki, Tamotsu & Yanagita, Tatsuo & Kaizoji, Taisei & Toyabe, Kazutaka, 2007. "Regional business cycle synchronization through expectations," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 383(1), pages 102-107.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:383:y:2007:i:1:p:102-107
    DOI: 10.1016/j.physa.2007.04.129
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Gerald Carlino & Keith Sill, 2001. "Regional Income Fluctuations: Common Trends And Common Cycles," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 83(3), pages 446-456, August.
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    1. Tamotsu Onozaki, 2018. "Nonlinearity, Bounded Rationality, and Heterogeneity," Springer Books, Springer, number 978-4-431-54971-0, January.
    2. Esashi, Kunihiko & Onozaki, Tamotsu & Saiki, Yoshitaka & Sato, Yuzuru, 2018. "Intermittent transition between synchronization and desynchronization in multi-regional business cycles," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 68-76.

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