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Using Regional Cycles to Measure National Business Cycles in the U.S. with the Markov Switching Panel Model

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  • Shyh-Wei Chen

    (Associate Professor, Department of Economics, Tunghai University)

Abstract

This paper measures the accuracy of using regional cycles to identify national business cycle turning points in the U.S. with the Markov Switching Panel (MSP) model. Based on the MSP model, it is determined that regional cycles are highly capable of identifying national business cycle turning points in the U.S., but the duration of recessions of regional cycles are longer than those of national business cycles.

Suggested Citation

  • Shyh-Wei Chen, 2007. "Using Regional Cycles to Measure National Business Cycles in the U.S. with the Markov Switching Panel Model," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 3(46), pages 1-12.
    • Handle: RePEc:ebl:ecbull:eb-07c30069
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Roberto Basile & Sergio de Nardis & Carmine Pappalardo, 2014. "Firm heterogeneity and regional business cycles differentials," Journal of Economic Geography, Oxford University Press, vol. 14(6), pages 1087-1115.

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • C3 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables
    • E3 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles

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