IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/spapps/v130y2020i10p5888-5939.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Unbiased truncated quadratic variation for volatility estimation in jump diffusion processes

Author

Listed:
  • Amorino, Chiara
  • Gloter, Arnaud

Abstract

The problem of integrated volatility estimation for an Ito semimartingale is considered under discrete high-frequency observations in short time horizon. We provide an asymptotic expansion for the integrated volatility that gives us, in detail, the contribution deriving from the jump part. The knowledge of such a contribution allows us to build an unbiased version of the truncated quadratic variation, in which the bias is visibly reduced. In earlier results to have the original truncated realized volatility well-performed the condition β>12(2−α) on β (that is such that (1n)β is the threshold of the truncated quadratic variation) and on the degree of jump activity α was needed (see Mancini, 2011; Jacod, 2008). In this paper we theoretically relax this condition and we show that our unbiased estimator achieves excellent numerical results for any couple (α, β).

Suggested Citation

  • Amorino, Chiara & Gloter, Arnaud, 2020. "Unbiased truncated quadratic variation for volatility estimation in jump diffusion processes," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 130(10), pages 5888-5939.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:spapps:v:130:y:2020:i:10:p:5888-5939
    DOI: 10.1016/j.spa.2020.04.010
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0304414919302510
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.spa.2020.04.010?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. S. G. Kou, 2002. "A Jump-Diffusion Model for Option Pricing," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 48(8), pages 1086-1101, August.
    2. Mancini, Cecilia, 2011. "The speed of convergence of the Threshold estimator of integrated variance," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 121(4), pages 845-855, April.
    3. Barndorff-Nielsen, Ole E. & Shephard, Neil & Winkel, Matthias, 2006. "Limit theorems for multipower variation in the presence of jumps," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 116(5), pages 796-806, May.
    4. Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen, 2004. "Power and Bipower Variation with Stochastic Volatility and Jumps," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 2(1), pages 1-37.
    5. Jacod, Jean, 2008. "Asymptotic properties of realized power variations and related functionals of semimartingales," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 118(4), pages 517-559, April.
    6. Merton, Robert C., 1976. "Option pricing when underlying stock returns are discontinuous," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 3(1-2), pages 125-144.
    7. Yasutaka Shimizu & Nakahiro Yoshida, 2006. "Estimation of Parameters for Diffusion Processes with Jumps from Discrete Observations," Statistical Inference for Stochastic Processes, Springer, vol. 9(3), pages 227-277, October.
    8. Ole E. Barndorff‐Nielsen & Neil Shephard, 2001. "Non‐Gaussian Ornstein–Uhlenbeck‐based models and some of their uses in financial economics," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 63(2), pages 167-241.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. B. Cooper Boniece & Jos'e E. Figueroa-L'opez & Yuchen Han, 2022. "Efficient Volatility Estimation for L\'evy Processes with Jumps of Unbounded Variation," Papers 2202.00877, arXiv.org.
    2. Milan Kumar Das & Anindya Goswami & Sharan Rajani, 2023. "Inference of Binary Regime Models with Jump Discontinuities," Sankhya B: The Indian Journal of Statistics, Springer;Indian Statistical Institute, vol. 85(1), pages 49-86, May.
    3. Chiara Amorino & Arnaud Gloter, 2021. "Joint estimation for volatility and drift parameters of ergodic jump diffusion processes via contrast function," Statistical Inference for Stochastic Processes, Springer, vol. 24(1), pages 61-148, April.
    4. B. Cooper Boniece & Jos'e E. Figueroa-L'opez & Yuchen Han, 2022. "Efficient Integrated Volatility Estimation in the Presence of Infinite Variation Jumps via Debiased Truncated Realized Variations," Papers 2209.10128, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2024.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Andersen, Torben G. & Bollerslev, Tim & Huang, Xin, 2011. "A reduced form framework for modeling volatility of speculative prices based on realized variation measures," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 160(1), pages 176-189, January.
    2. Figueroa-López, José E. & Nisen, Jeffrey, 2013. "Optimally thresholded realized power variations for Lévy jump diffusion models," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 123(7), pages 2648-2677.
    3. Chiara Amorino & Arnaud Gloter, 2020. "Contrast function estimation for the drift parameter of ergodic jump diffusion process," Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, Danish Society for Theoretical Statistics;Finnish Statistical Society;Norwegian Statistical Association;Swedish Statistical Association, vol. 47(2), pages 279-346, June.
    4. Palandri, Alessandro, 2015. "Do negative and positive equity returns share the same volatility dynamics?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 486-505.
    5. Andersen, Torben G. & Fusari, Nicola & Todorov, Viktor, 2015. "The risk premia embedded in index options," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(3), pages 558-584.
    6. Christensen, Kim & Oomen, Roel & Podolskij, Mark, 2010. "Realised quantile-based estimation of the integrated variance," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 159(1), pages 74-98, November.
    7. Tauchen, George & Zhou, Hao, 2011. "Realized jumps on financial markets and predicting credit spreads," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 160(1), pages 102-118, January.
    8. Chiara Amorino & Arnaud Gloter, 2021. "Joint estimation for volatility and drift parameters of ergodic jump diffusion processes via contrast function," Statistical Inference for Stochastic Processes, Springer, vol. 24(1), pages 61-148, April.
    9. Yuta Koike, 2014. "An estimator for the cumulative co-volatility of asynchronously observed semimartingales with jumps," Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, Danish Society for Theoretical Statistics;Finnish Statistical Society;Norwegian Statistical Association;Swedish Statistical Association, vol. 41(2), pages 460-481, June.
    10. Gabriel P. Mathy, 2014. "Uncertainty Shocks and Equity Return Jumps and Volatility During the Great Depression," Working Papers 2014-02, American University, Department of Economics.
    11. Cuchiero, Christa & Teichmann, Josef, 2015. "Fourier transform methods for pathwise covariance estimation in the presence of jumps," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 125(1), pages 116-160.
    12. Rosenbaum, Mathieu & Tankov, Peter, 2011. "Asymptotic results for time-changed Lévy processes sampled at hitting times," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 121(7), pages 1607-1632, July.
    13. Christensen, Kim & Oomen, Roel C.A. & Podolskij, Mark, 2014. "Fact or friction: Jumps at ultra high frequency," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 114(3), pages 576-599.
    14. Ole Barndorff-Nielsen & Neil Shephard, 2004. "Multipower Variation and Stochastic Volatility," Economics Papers 2004-W30, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford.
    15. Kim, Jihyun & Meddahi, Nour, 2020. "Volatility regressions with fat tails," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 218(2), pages 690-713.
    16. Corsi, Fulvio & Pirino, Davide & Renò, Roberto, 2010. "Threshold bipower variation and the impact of jumps on volatility forecasting," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 159(2), pages 276-288, December.
    17. Barndorff-Nielsen, Ole E. & Corcuera, José Manuel & Podolskij, Mark, 2009. "Power variation for Gaussian processes with stationary increments," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 119(6), pages 1845-1865, June.
    18. R. Merino & J. Pospíšil & T. Sobotka & J. Vives, 2018. "Decomposition Formula For Jump Diffusion Models," Journal of Enterprising Culture (JEC), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 21(08), pages 1-36, December.
    19. Raul Merino & Jan Posp'iv{s}il & Tom'av{s} Sobotka & Josep Vives, 2019. "Decomposition formula for jump diffusion models," Papers 1906.06930, arXiv.org.
    20. Ascione, Giacomo & Mehrdoust, Farshid & Orlando, Giuseppe & Samimi, Oldouz, 2023. "Foreign Exchange Options on Heston-CIR Model Under Lévy Process Framework," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 446(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:spapps:v:130:y:2020:i:10:p:5888-5939. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/wps/find/journaldescription.cws_home/505572/description#description .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.