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Stability of Feynman-Kac formulae with path-dependent potentials

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  • Chopin, N.
  • Del Moral, P.
  • Rubenthaler, S.

Abstract

Several particle algorithms admit a Feynman-Kac representation such that the potential function may be expressed as a recursive function which depends on the complete state trajectory. An important example is the mixture Kalman filter, but other models and algorithms of practical interest fall in this category. We study the asymptotic stability of such particle algorithms as time goes to infinity. As a corollary, practical conditions for the stability of the mixture Kalman filter, and a mixture GARCH filter, are derived. Finally, we show that our results can also lead to weaker conditions for the stability of standard particle algorithms for which the potential function depends on the last state only.

Suggested Citation

  • Chopin, N. & Del Moral, P. & Rubenthaler, S., 2011. "Stability of Feynman-Kac formulae with path-dependent potentials," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 121(1), pages 38-60, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:spapps:v:121:y:2011:i:1:p:38-60
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Rong Chen & Jun S. Liu, 2000. "Mixture Kalman filters," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 62(3), pages 493-508.
    2. Nicolas Chopin, 2007. "Dynamic Detection of Change Points in Long Time Series," Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Springer;The Institute of Statistical Mathematics, vol. 59(2), pages 349-366, June.
    3. Bollerslev, Tim, 1986. "Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 31(3), pages 307-327, April.
    4. Christophe Andrieu & Arnaud Doucet, 2002. "Particle filtering for partially observed Gaussian state space models," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 64(4), pages 827-836, October.
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    Cited by:

    1. Whiteley, Nick & Kantas, Nikolas & Jasra, Ajay, 2012. "Linear variance bounds for particle approximations of time-homogeneous Feynman–Kac formulae," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 122(4), pages 1840-1865.

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