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Spillover dynamics in DeFi, G7 banks, and equity markets during global crises: A TVP-VAR analysis

Author

Listed:
  • Younis, Ijaz
  • Gupta, Himani
  • Du, Anna Min
  • Shah, Waheed Ullah
  • Hanif, Waqas

Abstract

Decentralized finance (DeFi) has become of significant interest for investors in both the financial and digital sectors. We use a time-varying parameter vector autoregression (TVP-VAR) approach to estimate the static and dynamic connections between and within DeFi, G7 banking, and equity markets. We focus on critical events such as the COVID-19 pandemic, the cryptocurrency bubble, and the Russia-Ukraine conflict. The results highlight interconnectedness and significant spillovers within and between the markets, especially during the COVID-19 pandemic. Notably, there were significant spillover effects from the G7 banking and equity markets to Japan and DeFi assets. The findings demonstrate a robust connection between DeFi platforms, G7 banking, and stock markets throughout these tumultuous periods. Policymakers, investors, and entrepreneurs are recommended to keep a close eye on changes in traditional banking and equity markets to adjust the risk of DeFi assets.

Suggested Citation

  • Younis, Ijaz & Gupta, Himani & Du, Anna Min & Shah, Waheed Ullah & Hanif, Waqas, 2024. "Spillover dynamics in DeFi, G7 banks, and equity markets during global crises: A TVP-VAR analysis," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(PB).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:riibaf:v:70:y:2024:i:pb:s0275531924001983
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ribaf.2024.102405
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    Keywords

    DeFi; G7 banks and equity markets; Crypto bubble; Ukrainian War; COVID-19;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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