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Panda bond financing of the Belt and Road Initiative: An analysis of monetary mechanisms and financial risks

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  • Schclarek, Alfredo
  • Xu, Jiajun
  • Amuchastegui, Pedro

Abstract

We examine the role of China Development Bank (CDB) in the Panda bond financing of the Belt & Road Initiative (BRI). We investigate the monetary mechanisms and the financial risks involved in the Panda bond financing of the BRI, especially exchange rate risks and balance of payment crisis risks. Our main findings are that the CDB may reduce its financial risks by acting as an underwriter of the Panda bonds rather than as the direct financer, but it may also have to act as a dealer of last resort. To reduce the risks of both the exchange rate and balance of payment crisis of the Panda bonds, it is important that the real investment projects are export-enhancing for host countries (generate foreign currency) and that the construction and execution of the real investment projects uses local suppliers based in host countries.

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  • Schclarek, Alfredo & Xu, Jiajun & Amuchastegui, Pedro, 2022. "Panda bond financing of the Belt and Road Initiative: An analysis of monetary mechanisms and financial risks," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 61(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:riibaf:v:61:y:2022:i:c:s0275531922000502
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ribaf.2022.101662
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    Cited by:

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    3. Duan, Yuejiao & Liu, Lanbiao & Zhang, Jingjia, 2024. "The belt and road initiative and the over-leverage of securities companies," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Belt & Road Initiative; Panda bonds; China development bank; Financial risks; Exchange rate risks; Balance of payment crisis;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E42 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Monetary Sytsems; Standards; Regimes; Government and the Monetary System
    • F21 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - International Investment; Long-Term Capital Movements
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • F32 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Current Account Adjustment; Short-term Capital Movements
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • O18 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Urban, Rural, Regional, and Transportation Analysis; Housing; Infrastructure

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