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Actual intervention and verbal intervention in the Chinese RMB exchange rate

Author

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  • Hu, May
  • Li, Yunfeng
  • Yang, Jingjing
  • Chao, Chi-Chur

Abstract

Central bank communication has become a more and more important instrument for the monetary authorization to intervene its exchange rate. This paper investigates the impact of both verbal and actual intervention on the exchange rate of China's currency, which has become the second-used currency in international trade settlement. The empirical evidence indicates that the central bank communication can influence the exchange rate, but the efficient is quite weak. Moreover, the effect of verbal intervention on the exchange rate of the RMB is weaker than that of actual intervention. One possible explanation is that most of the statements made by the governor of central bank on the RMB exchange rate are neutral in China. Overall, this study identifies the difference between the actual and verbal intervention in exchange rate in China, the largest emerging economy in the world.

Suggested Citation

  • Hu, May & Li, Yunfeng & Yang, Jingjing & Chao, Chi-Chur, 2016. "Actual intervention and verbal intervention in the Chinese RMB exchange rate," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 499-508.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:reveco:v:43:y:2016:i:c:p:499-508
    DOI: 10.1016/j.iref.2016.01.011
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    2. Sun, Guanglin & Li, Jianfeng & Shang, Zezhong, 2022. "Return and volatility linkages between international energy markets and Chinese commodity market," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 179(C).
    3. Alain Naef, 2020. "Blowing against the Wind? A Narrative Approach to Central Bank Foreign Exchange Intervention," Working Papers 0188, European Historical Economics Society (EHES).
    4. Huachen Li & Tiezheng Song, 2024. "Regime dependent dynamics of parallel and official exchange markets in China: evidence from cryptocurrency," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 56(41), pages 4952-4973, September.
    5. Bouvet, Florence & Ma, Alyson C. & Van Assche, Ari, 2017. "Tariff and exchange rate pass-through for Chinese exports: A firm-level analysis across customs regimes," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 87-96.
    6. Deepika Krishnan & Vishal Dagar, 2022. "Exchange Rate and Stock Markets During Trade Conflicts in the USA, China, and India," Global Journal of Emerging Market Economies, Emerging Markets Forum, vol. 14(2), pages 185-203, May.
    7. Naef, Alain, 2024. "Blowing against the Wind? a narrative approach to central Bank foreign exchange intervention," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Central bank communication; Actual intervention; Exchange rate; RMB;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F3 - International Economics - - International Finance
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange

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