IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/rensus/v73y2017icp26-43.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Prospective analysis for a long-term optimal energy mix planning in Algeria: Towards high electricity generation security in 2062

Author

Listed:
  • Saiah, Saiah Bekkar Djelloul
  • Stambouli, Amine Boudghene

Abstract

Issues relating to the potential collapse of oil prices and possible consequences which are rising for all oil producing countries including OPEC countries (in which Algeria is a member). Since February 2011, a national renewable energy (RE) program was launched by the president of Algeria to make RE a major source of production for electrical energy which is a fundamental concept for sustainable development. A prospective analysis will be used to contribute in making a decision for such process. This article addresses the issue that explains the current and future energy scenarios in Algeria with the aim of investigating opportunities and possibilities for enhancing the presence of renewable energy resources in Algeria's Energy mix. This prospective is particularly suitable to the treatment of long-term technological energy issues in Algeria from an explicit representation of economic characteristics (represented by indicators: GDP, population and unemployment), and energetics (expressed by the aggregate of energy production, of total and final consumption) during the period 1962–2012. The developed approach can enrich the discussion of possible consequences of futures energy in the country. We focused on the consumer sectors of energy (Industrial, Transport and Household sector) and strategies to increase the contribution of renewable in the energy supply, in order to respond efficiently to national expectations as part of their energy and economic objectives. It should be noted that the present study offers three energy scenarios in Algeria from mid to long term. We suggest that the scenario " Trended Non Energetic Efficiency (EE) " could be a reference in the 10 coming years. Moreover, " Trended of EE " and " voluntarism of EE " are considered as transition scenarios in case that Algeria desires to improve its energy system on the horizon of 2062, a year taken as a reference to the 100 year jubilee of independence.

Suggested Citation

  • Saiah, Saiah Bekkar Djelloul & Stambouli, Amine Boudghene, 2017. "Prospective analysis for a long-term optimal energy mix planning in Algeria: Towards high electricity generation security in 2062," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 26-43.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:rensus:v:73:y:2017:i:c:p:26-43
    DOI: 10.1016/j.rser.2017.01.023
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S136403211730031X
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.rser.2017.01.023?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Delucchi, Mark A. & Jacobson, Mark Z., 2011. "Providing all global energy with wind, water, and solar power, Part II: Reliability, system and transmission costs, and policies," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 39(3), pages 1170-1190, March.
    2. Li, Ke & Lin, Boqiang, 2016. "Impact of energy conservation policies on the green productivity in China’s manufacturing sector: Evidence from a three-stage DEA model," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 168(C), pages 351-363.
    3. Shihong Zeng & Yan Xu & Liming Wang & Jiuying Chen & Qirong Li, 2016. "Forecasting the Allocative Efficiency of Carbon Emission Allowance Financial Assets in China at the Provincial Level in 2020," Energies, MDPI, vol. 9(5), pages 1-18, May.
    4. Shihong Zeng & Jiuying Chen, 2016. "Forecasting the Allocation Ratio of Carbon Emission Allowance Currency for 2020 and 2030 in China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 8(7), pages 1-28, July.
    5. Shihong Zeng & Mimi Hu & Bin Su, 2016. "Research on Investment Efficiency and Policy Recommendations for the Culture Industry of China Based on a Three-Stage DEA," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 8(4), pages 1-15, March.
    6. Himri, Y. & Malik, Arif S. & Boudghene Stambouli, A. & Himri, S. & Draoui, B., 2009. "Review and use of the Algerian renewable energy for sustainable development," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 13(6-7), pages 1584-1591, August.
    7. Wei Jiang & Jia Liu & Xiang Liu, 2016. "Impact of Carbon Quota Allocation Mechanism on Emissions Trading: An Agent-Based Simulation," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 8(8), pages 1-13, August.
    8. Brand, Bernhard & Zingerle, Jonas, 2011. "The renewable energy targets of the Maghreb countries: Impact on electricity supply and conventional power markets," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 39(8), pages 4411-4419, August.
    9. Stambouli, A. Boudghene & Khiat, Z. & Flazi, S. & Kitamura, Y., 2012. "A review on the renewable energy development in Algeria: Current perspective, energy scenario and sustainability issues," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 16(7), pages 4445-4460.
    10. Jacobson, Mark Z. & Delucchi, Mark A., 2011. "Providing all global energy with wind, water, and solar power, Part I: Technologies, energy resources, quantities and areas of infrastructure, and materials," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 39(3), pages 1154-1169, March.
    11. Boudghene Stambouli, A. & Khiat, Z. & Flazi, S. & Tanemoto, H. & Nakajima, M. & Isoda, H. & Yokoyama, F. & Hannachi, S. & Kurokawa, K. & Shimizu, M. & Koinuma, H. & Yassaa, N., 2014. "Trends and challenges of sustainable energy and water research in North Africa: Sahara solar breeder concerns at the intersection of energy/water," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 912-922.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Tekai Eddine Khalil Zidane & Mohd Rafi Adzman & Mohammad Faridun Naim Tajuddin & Samila Mat Zali & Ali Durusu & Saad Mekhilef, 2020. "Optimal Design of Photovoltaic Power Plant Using Hybrid Optimisation: A Case of South Algeria," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(11), pages 1-28, June.
    2. Yang, Mian & Hou, Yaru & Fang, Chao & Duan, Hongbo, 2020. "Constructing energy-consuming right trading system for China's manufacturing industry in 2025," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).
    3. Dagoumas, Athanasios S. & Koltsaklis, Nikolaos E., 2019. "Review of models for integrating renewable energy in the generation expansion planning," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 242(C), pages 1573-1587.
    4. Lee, Juyong & Cho, Youngsang, 2022. "Determinants of reserve margin volatility: A new approach toward managing energy supply and demand," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 252(C).
    5. Jacek Brożyna & Grzegorz Mentel & Eva Ivanová & Gennadii Sorokin, 2019. "Classification of Renewable Sources of Electricity in the Context of Sustainable Development of the New EU Member States," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(12), pages 1-22, June.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Yoon Seong Kim & Eun Jin Han & So Young Sohn, 2017. "Demand Forecasting for Heavy-Duty Diesel Engines Considering Emission Regulations," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 9(2), pages 1-16, January.
    2. Rodríguez-Huerta, Edgar & Rosas-Casals, Martí & Sorman, Alevgul H., 2017. "A societal metabolism approach to job creation and renewable energy transitions in Catalonia," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 108(C), pages 551-564.
    3. Grossmann, Wolf D. & Grossmann, Iris & Steininger, Karl W., 2013. "Distributed solar electricity generation across large geographic areas, Part I: A method to optimize site selection, generation and storage," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 25(C), pages 831-843.
    4. David Gattie & Michael Hewitt, 2023. "National Security as a Value-Added Proposition for Advanced Nuclear Reactors: A U.S. Focus," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(17), pages 1-26, August.
    5. Pengyu Ren & Zhaoxia Liu, 2021. "Efficiency Evaluation of China’s Public Sports Services: A Three-Stage DEA Model," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 18(20), pages 1-12, October.
    6. Ronnie D. Lipschutz & Dustin Mulvaney, 2013. "The road not taken, round II: centralized vs. distributed energy strategies and human security," Chapters, in: Hugh Dyer & Maria Julia Trombetta (ed.), International Handbook of Energy Security, chapter 22, pages 483-506, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    7. Ali-Toudert, Fazia & Weidhaus, Juliane, 2017. "Numerical assessment and optimization of a low-energy residential building for Mediterranean and Saharan climates using a pilot project in Algeria," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 101(C), pages 327-346.
    8. Peter Lund, 2012. "The European Union challenge: integration of energy, climate, and economic policy," Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Energy and Environment, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 1(1), pages 60-68, July.
    9. Firth, Anton & Zhang, Bo & Yang, Aidong, 2019. "Quantification of global waste heat and its environmental effects," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 235(C), pages 1314-1334.
    10. Wu, Jy S. & Tseng, Hui-Kuan & Liu, Xiaoshuai, 2022. "Techno-economic assessment of bioenergy potential on marginal croplands in the U.S. southeast," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 170(C).
    11. Wu, Yunyang & Reedman, Luke J. & Barrett, Mark A. & Spataru, Catalina, 2018. "Comparison of CST with different hours of storage in the Australian National Electricity Market," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 122(C), pages 487-496.
    12. Romanic, Djordje & Parvu, Dan & Refan, Maryam & Hangan, Horia, 2018. "Wind and tornado climatologies and wind resource modelling for a modern development situated in “Tornado Alley”," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 115(C), pages 97-112.
    13. Connolly, D. & Lund, H. & Mathiesen, B.V., 2016. "Smart Energy Europe: The technical and economic impact of one potential 100% renewable energy scenario for the European Union," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 1634-1653.
    14. Rodriguez, Rolando A. & Becker, Sarah & Greiner, Martin, 2015. "Cost-optimal design of a simplified, highly renewable pan-European electricity system," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 658-668.
    15. saheb Koussa, Djohra & Koussa, Mustapha, 2016. "GHGs (greenhouse gases) emission and economic analysis of a GCRES (grid-connected renewable energy system) in the arid region, Algeria," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 102(C), pages 216-230.
    16. Jacobson, Mark Z. & Howarth, Robert W. & Delucchi, Mark A. & Scobie, Stan R. & Barth, Jannette M. & Dvorak, Michael J. & Klevze, Megan & Katkhuda, Hind & Miranda, Brian & Chowdhury, Navid A. & Jones, , 2013. "Response to comment on paper examining the feasibility of changing New York state's energy infrastructure to one derived from wind, water, and sunlight," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 1212-1215.
    17. Lamy, Julian & Azevedo, Inês L. & Jaramillo, Paulina, 2014. "The role of energy storage in accessing remote wind resources in the Midwest," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 123-131.
    18. Ikonnikova, Svetlana A. & Scanlon, Bridget R. & Berdysheva, Sofia A., 2023. "A global energy system perspective on hydrogen Trade: A framework for the market color and the size analysis," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 330(PA).
    19. Jakub Jurasz & Jerzy Mikulik, 2017. "A strategy for the photovoltaic-powered pumped storage hydroelectricity," Energy & Environment, , vol. 28(5-6), pages 544-563, September.
    20. Batas Bjelić, Ilija & Rajaković, Nikola, 2015. "Simulation-based optimization of sustainable national energy systems," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 1087-1098.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:rensus:v:73:y:2017:i:c:p:26-43. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/wps/find/journaldescription.cws_home/600126/description#description .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.