IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/rensus/v191y2024ics1364032123009577.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

The effect of time resolution on energy system simulation in case of intermittent energies

Author

Listed:
  • Kiss, Viktor M.
  • Hetesi, Zsolt
  • Kiss, Tibor

Abstract

The management and integration of intermittent renewable energy sources, such as wind and solar power, require precise capacity planning due to their variable nature. This study investigated the efficacy of using hourly time resolution in energy system models, a common practice in capacity planning. Concerns have been raised about the ability of hourly data to accurately represent rapid fluctuations in energy production and demand since it inherently constantly under- or overestimates actual real-time conditions. This research compared the outputs of energy models using 60-min resolution data with those utilizing a 1-min resolution benchmark across various dimensions: stability of outputs, temporal performance, geographical performance, impact of starting time shifts in data sampling, and trend effects. Results indicate that models using 60-min resolution data maintain a high level of accuracy, with output deviations of less than 2 % from the benchmark. This finding provides strong support that the current significant number of research studies, based on 60-min resolution data, do not carry potentially biased results due to their time resolution and are suitable for capacity planning decisions, thereby aiding in policy formulation.

Suggested Citation

  • Kiss, Viktor M. & Hetesi, Zsolt & Kiss, Tibor, 2024. "The effect of time resolution on energy system simulation in case of intermittent energies," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 191(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:rensus:v:191:y:2024:i:c:s1364032123009577
    DOI: 10.1016/j.rser.2023.114099
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1364032123009577
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.rser.2023.114099?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Bogdanov, Dmitrii & Toktarova, Alla & Breyer, Christian, 2019. "Transition towards 100% renewable power and heat supply for energy intensive economies and severe continental climate conditions: Case for Kazakhstan," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 253(C), pages 1-1.
    2. Kiss, Viktor Miklós & Hetesi, Zsolt & Kiss, Tibor, 2016. "Issues and solutions relating to Hungary's electricity system," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 116(P1), pages 329-340.
    3. Mika Korkeakoski, 2021. "Towards 100% Renewables by 2030: Transition Alternatives for a Sustainable Electricity Sector in Isla de la Juventud, Cuba," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(10), pages 1-22, May.
    4. Hache, Emmanuel & Palle, Angélique, 2019. "Renewable energy source integration into power networks, research trends and policy implications: A bibliometric and research actors survey analysis," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 124(C), pages 23-35.
    5. Weiss, Olga & Bogdanov, Dmitry & Salovaara, Kaisa & Honkapuro, Samuli, 2017. "Market designs for a 100% renewable energy system: Case isolated power system of Israel," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 119(C), pages 266-277.
    6. Zhou, Wenji & Hagos, Dejene Assefa & Stikbakke, Sverre & Huang, Lizhen & Cheng, Xu & Onstein, Erling, 2022. "Assessment of the impacts of different policy instruments on achieving the deep decarbonization targets of island energy systems in Norway – The case of Hinnøya," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 246(C).
    7. Shirizadeh, Behrang & Quirion, Philippe, 2022. "Do multi-sector energy system optimization models need hourly temporal resolution? A case study with an investment and dispatch model applied to France," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 305(C).
    8. Yue, Xiufeng & Patankar, Neha & Decarolis, Joseph & Chiodi, Alessandro & Rogan, Fionn & Deane, J.P. & O’Gallachoir, Brian, 2020. "Least cost energy system pathways towards 100% renewable energy in Ireland by 2050," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 207(C).
    9. Jiménez-Castillo, G. & Rus-Casas, C. & Tina, G.M. & Muñoz-Rodriguez, F.J., 2021. "Effects of smart meter time resolution when analyzing photovoltaic self-consumption system on a daily and annual basis," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 164(C), pages 889-896.
    10. Connolly, D. & Lund, H. & Mathiesen, B.V. & Leahy, M., 2011. "The first step towards a 100% renewable energy-system for Ireland," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 88(2), pages 502-507, February.
    11. Campos, José & Csontos, Csaba & Munkácsy, Béla, 2023. "Electricity scenarios for Hungary: Possible role of wind and solar resources in the energy transition," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 278(PB).
    12. Østergaard, P.A. & Lund, H. & Thellufsen, J.Z. & Sorknæs, P. & Mathiesen, B.V., 2022. "Review and validation of EnergyPLAN," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 168(C).
    13. Beck, T. & Kondziella, H. & Huard, G. & Bruckner, T., 2016. "Assessing the influence of the temporal resolution of electrical load and PV generation profiles on self-consumption and sizing of PV-battery systems," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 173(C), pages 331-342.
    14. Yazdanie, Mashael & Densing, Martin & Wokaun, Alexander, 2017. "Cost optimal urban energy systems planning in the context of national energy policies: A case study for the city of Basel," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 110(C), pages 176-190.
    15. Wierzbowski, Michal & Filipiak, Izabela & Lyzwa, Wojciech, 2017. "Polish energy policy 2050 – An instrument to develop a diversified and sustainable electricity generation mix in coal-based energy system," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 51-70.
    16. Østergaard, Poul Alberg & Lund, Henrik, 2011. "A renewable energy system in Frederikshavn using low-temperature geothermal energy for district heating," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 88(2), pages 479-487, February.
    17. Lund, H. & Mathiesen, B.V., 2009. "Energy system analysis of 100% renewable energy systems—The case of Denmark in years 2030 and 2050," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 34(5), pages 524-531.
    18. Haydt, Gustavo & Leal, Vítor & Pina, André & Silva, Carlos A., 2011. "The relevance of the energy resource dynamics in the mid/long-term energy planning models," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 36(11), pages 3068-3074.
    19. Doepfert, Markus & Castro, Rui, 2021. "Techno-economic optimization of a 100% renewable energy system in 2050 for countries with high shares of hydropower: The case of Portugal," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 165(P1), pages 491-503.
    20. Elliston, Ben & MacGill, Iain & Diesendorf, Mark, 2014. "Comparing least cost scenarios for 100% renewable electricity with low emission fossil fuel scenarios in the Australian National Electricity Market," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 196-204.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Østergaard, P.A. & Lund, H. & Thellufsen, J.Z. & Sorknæs, P. & Mathiesen, B.V., 2022. "Review and validation of EnergyPLAN," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 168(C).
    2. Ma, Weiwu & Xue, Xinpei & Liu, Gang, 2018. "Techno-economic evaluation for hybrid renewable energy system: Application and merits," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 159(C), pages 385-409.
    3. Henning Meschede & Paul Bertheau & Siavash Khalili & Christian Breyer, 2022. "A review of 100% renewable energy scenarios on islands," Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Energy and Environment, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 11(6), November.
    4. Zappa, William & Junginger, Martin & van den Broek, Machteld, 2019. "Is a 100% renewable European power system feasible by 2050?," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 233, pages 1027-1050.
    5. Jacobson, Mark Z., 2021. "The cost of grid stability with 100 % clean, renewable energy for all purposes when countries are isolated versus interconnected," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 179(C), pages 1065-1075.
    6. Hansen, Kenneth & Breyer, Christian & Lund, Henrik, 2019. "Status and perspectives on 100% renewable energy systems," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 175(C), pages 471-480.
    7. Mark Z. Jacobson & Anna-Katharina von Krauland & Zachary F.M. Burton & Stephen J. Coughlin & Caitlin Jaeggli & Daniel Nelli & Alexander J. H. Nelson & Yanbo Shu & Miles Smith & Chor Tan & Connery D. W, 2020. "Transitioning All Energy in 74 Metropolitan Areas, Including 30 Megacities, to 100% Clean and Renewable Wind, Water, and Sunlight (WWS)," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(18), pages 1-40, September.
    8. Cerovac, Tin & Ćosić, Boris & Pukšec, Tomislav & Duić, Neven, 2014. "Wind energy integration into future energy systems based on conventional plants – The case study of Croatia," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 135(C), pages 643-655.
    9. Wu, Yunyang & Reedman, Luke J. & Barrett, Mark A. & Spataru, Catalina, 2018. "Comparison of CST with different hours of storage in the Australian National Electricity Market," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 122(C), pages 487-496.
    10. Connolly, D. & Lund, H. & Mathiesen, B.V., 2016. "Smart Energy Europe: The technical and economic impact of one potential 100% renewable energy scenario for the European Union," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 1634-1653.
    11. Arévalo, Paúl & Cano, Antonio & Jurado, Francisco, 2022. "Mitigation of carbon footprint with 100% renewable energy system by 2050: The case of Galapagos islands," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 245(C).
    12. Copp, David A. & Nguyen, Tu A. & Byrne, Raymond H. & Chalamala, Babu R., 2022. "Optimal sizing of distributed energy resources for planning 100% renewable electric power systems," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 239(PE).
    13. Vidal-Amaro, Juan José & Østergaard, Poul Alberg & Sheinbaum-Pardo, Claudia, 2015. "Optimal energy mix for transitioning from fossil fuels to renewable energy sources – The case of the Mexican electricity system," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 150(C), pages 80-96.
    14. Arévalo, Paul & Cano, Antonio & Jurado, Francisco, 2024. "Large-scale integration of renewable energies by 2050 through demand prediction with ANFIS, Ecuador case study," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 286(C).
    15. Kwon, Pil Seok & Østergaard, Poul, 2014. "Assessment and evaluation of flexible demand in a Danish future energy scenario," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 134(C), pages 309-320.
    16. Liu, Wen & Lund, Henrik & Mathiesen, Brian Vad & Zhang, Xiliang, 2011. "Potential of renewable energy systems in China," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 88(2), pages 518-525, February.
    17. David Maya-Drysdale & Louise Krog Jensen & Brian Vad Mathiesen, 2020. "Energy Vision Strategies for the EU Green New Deal: A Case Study of European Cities," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(9), pages 1-20, May.
    18. Ćosić, Boris & Krajačić, Goran & Duić, Neven, 2012. "A 100% renewable energy system in the year 2050: The case of Macedonia," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 48(1), pages 80-87.
    19. Diesendorf, Mark & Elliston, Ben, 2018. "The feasibility of 100% renewable electricity systems: A response to critics," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 318-330.
    20. Bačeković, Ivan & Østergaard, Poul Alberg, 2018. "A smart energy system approach vs a non-integrated renewable energy system approach to designing a future energy system in Zagreb," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 155(C), pages 824-837.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:rensus:v:191:y:2024:i:c:s1364032123009577. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/wps/find/journaldescription.cws_home/600126/description#description .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.