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Economic analysis of advanced biofuels, renewable gases, electrofuels and recycled carbon fuels for the Greek transport sector until 2050

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  • Paris, Bas
  • Papadakis, George
  • Janssen, Rainer
  • Rutz, Dominik

Abstract

Our economic analysis shows that for Greece no advanced biofuels, renewable gases or electrofuels are currently or will be, until 2050, cost competitive with the production or import costs of fossil fuel equivalents at current fossil fuel prices. This situation holds despite strong learning curve effects for the technologies covered in this study. However, our economic analysis has shown that there are various scenarios and policy interventions that could make some of these fuels cost competitive in Greece with current or slightly higher fossil fuel prices. If the price of crude oil rises significantly to 100 euros per barrel, then recycled carbon fuels and Hydrotreated Vegetable Oil (HVO) can be competitive or close to being economically competitive by 2030 depending on the exact fuel-technology combination. Similarly, injecting biomethane into the natural gas grid becomes cost competitive with natural gas at a tipping fee of 29 euros per tonne in 2020, 21 euros per tonne in 2030, 17 euros per tonne in 2040 and 15 euros per tonne in 2050. Some of the incentives for the production of these advanced fuels could be provided in the form of a landfill tax, higher carbon prices, tax breaks, direct subsidies and high taxes for fossil fuels.

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  • Paris, Bas & Papadakis, George & Janssen, Rainer & Rutz, Dominik, 2021. "Economic analysis of advanced biofuels, renewable gases, electrofuels and recycled carbon fuels for the Greek transport sector until 2050," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:rensus:v:144:y:2021:i:c:s1364032121003282
    DOI: 10.1016/j.rser.2021.111038
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Browne, James & Nizami, Abdul-Sattar & Thamsiriroj, T & Murphy, Jerry D., 2011. "Assessing the cost of biofuel production with increasing penetration of the transport fuel market: A case study of gaseous biomethane in Ireland," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 15(9), pages 4537-4547.
    2. Spyridon Alatzas & Konstantinos Moustakas & Dimitrios Malamis & Stergios Vakalis, 2019. "Biomass Potential from Agricultural Waste for Energetic Utilization in Greece," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(6), pages 1-20, March.
    3. Brynolf, Selma & Taljegard, Maria & Grahn, Maria & Hansson, Julia, 2018. "Electrofuels for the transport sector: A review of production costs," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 81(P2), pages 1887-1905.
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    8. Gray, Nathan & O'Shea, Richard & Smyth, Beatrice & Lens, Piet N.L. & Murphy, Jerry D., 2022. "What is the energy balance of electrofuels produced through power-to-fuel integration with biogas facilities?," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 155(C).

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