IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/renene/v75y2015icp675-693.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Solar energy potential assessment of western Himalayan Indian state of Himachal Pradesh using J48 algorithm of WEKA in ANN based prediction model

Author

Listed:
  • Yadav, Amit Kumar
  • Chandel, S.S.

Abstract

Solar potential of western Himalayan Indian state of Himachal Pradesh is assessed using Artificial Neural Network (ANN) based global solar radiation (GSR) prediction model. J48 algorithm in Waikato Environment for Knowledge Analysis (WEKA)is used for the selection of input parameters for ANN model for predicting GSR. Most relevant input parameters are found to be temperature, altitude and sunshine hours whereas latitude, longitude, clearness index and extraterrestrial radiation are found to be least influencing variables. The usefulness of J48 algorithm in variable selection is checked by developing five ANN models: ANN-1, ANN-2, ANN-3, ANN-4 and ANN-5. The maximum mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) for ANN-1, ANN-2, ANN-3, ANN-4 and ANN-5 are found to be 16.91%, 16.89%, 16.38%, 6.89% and 9.04% respectively. ANN-5 model is used to develop the solar maps of Himachal Pradesh. The estimated GSR varies from 3.59 to 5.38 kWh/m2/day indicating good solar potential for solar energy applications. A correlation is developed between NASA satellite data and ground measured GSR data to find values close to ground measured GSR for different locations. The correlation coefficient is found to be 0.97. Models developed can be used to assess solar potential of any location worldwide.

Suggested Citation

  • Yadav, Amit Kumar & Chandel, S.S., 2015. "Solar energy potential assessment of western Himalayan Indian state of Himachal Pradesh using J48 algorithm of WEKA in ANN based prediction model," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 675-693.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:renene:v:75:y:2015:i:c:p:675-693
    DOI: 10.1016/j.renene.2014.10.046
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0960148114006739
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.renene.2014.10.046?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Rehman, Shafiqur & Mohandes, Mohamed, 2008. "Artificial neural network estimation of global solar radiation using air temperature and relative humidity," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 36(2), pages 571-576, February.
    2. Mahtta, Richa & Joshi, P.K. & Jindal, Alok Kumar, 2014. "Solar power potential mapping in India using remote sensing inputs and environmental parameters," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 255-262.
    3. López, G. & Batlles, F.J. & Tovar-Pescador, J., 2005. "Selection of input parameters to model direct solar irradiance by using artificial neural networks," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 30(9), pages 1675-1684.
    4. Yadav, Amit Kumar & Malik, Hasmat & Chandel, S.S., 2014. "Selection of most relevant input parameters using WEKA for artificial neural network based solar radiation prediction models," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 31(C), pages 509-519.
    5. Bosch, J.L. & López, G. & Batlles, F.J., 2008. "Daily solar irradiation estimation over a mountainous area using artificial neural networks," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 33(7), pages 1622-1628.
    6. Rumbayan, Meita & Abudureyimu, Asifujiang & Nagasaka, Ken, 2012. "Mapping of solar energy potential in Indonesia using artificial neural network and geographical information system," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 16(3), pages 1437-1449.
    7. Alam, Shah & Kaushik, S.C. & Garg, S.N., 2009. "Assessment of diffuse solar energy under general sky condition using artificial neural network," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 86(4), pages 554-564, April.
    8. Ouammi, Ahmed & Zejli, Driss & Dagdougui, Hanane & Benchrifa, Rachid, 2012. "Artificial neural network analysis of Moroccan solar potential," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 16(7), pages 4876-4889.
    9. Diagne, Maimouna & David, Mathieu & Lauret, Philippe & Boland, John & Schmutz, Nicolas, 2013. "Review of solar irradiance forecasting methods and a proposition for small-scale insular grids," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 27(C), pages 65-76.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Mohammadi, Kasra & Shamshirband, Shahaboddin & Petković, Dalibor & Khorasanizadeh, Hossein, 2016. "Determining the most important variables for diffuse solar radiation prediction using adaptive neuro-fuzzy methodology; case study: City of Kerman, Iran," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 1570-1579.
    2. Zarzo, Manuel & Martí, Pau, 2011. "Modeling the variability of solar radiation data among weather stations by means of principal components analysis," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 88(8), pages 2775-2784, August.
    3. Rodrigues, Eugénio & Gomes, Álvaro & Gaspar, Adélio Rodrigues & Henggeler Antunes, Carlos, 2018. "Estimation of renewable energy and built environment-related variables using neural networks – A review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 959-988.
    4. Jha, Sunil Kr. & Bilalovic, Jasmin & Jha, Anju & Patel, Nilesh & Zhang, Han, 2017. "Renewable energy: Present research and future scope of Artificial Intelligence," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 297-317.
    5. Voyant, Cyril & Paoli, Christophe & Muselli, Marc & Nivet, Marie-Laure, 2013. "Multi-horizon solar radiation forecasting for Mediterranean locations using time series models," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 44-52.
    6. Shamshirband, Shahaboddin & Mohammadi, Kasra & Yee, Por Lip & Petković, Dalibor & Mostafaeipour, Ali, 2015. "A comparative evaluation for identifying the suitability of extreme learning machine to predict horizontal global solar radiation," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 1031-1042.
    7. Dahmani, Kahina & Notton, Gilles & Voyant, Cyril & Dizene, Rabah & Nivet, Marie Laure & Paoli, Christophe & Tamas, Wani, 2016. "Multilayer Perceptron approach for estimating 5-min and hourly horizontal global irradiation from exogenous meteorological data in locations without solar measurements," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 267-282.
    8. Hussain, Sajid & Al-Alili, Ali, 2016. "A new approach for model validation in solar radiation using wavelet, phase and frequency coherence analysis," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 164(C), pages 639-649.
    9. Kisi, Ozgur, 2014. "Modeling solar radiation of Mediterranean region in Turkey by using fuzzy genetic approach," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 429-436.
    10. Heo, Jae & Jung, Jaehoon & Kim, Byungil & Han, SangUk, 2020. "Digital elevation model-based convolutional neural network modeling for searching of high solar energy regions," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 262(C).
    11. Aguiar, L. Mazorra & Pereira, B. & Lauret, P. & Díaz, F. & David, M., 2016. "Combining solar irradiance measurements, satellite-derived data and a numerical weather prediction model to improve intra-day solar forecasting," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 97(C), pages 599-610.
    12. Linares-Rodríguez, Alvaro & Ruiz-Arias, José Antonio & Pozo-Vázquez, David & Tovar-Pescador, Joaquín, 2011. "Generation of synthetic daily global solar radiation data based on ERA-Interim reanalysis and artificial neural networks," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 36(8), pages 5356-5365.
    13. Hussain, Sajid & AlAlili, Ali, 2017. "A hybrid solar radiation modeling approach using wavelet multiresolution analysis and artificial neural networks," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 208(C), pages 540-550.
    14. Mohammadi, Kasra & Shamshirband, Shahaboddin & Kamsin, Amirrudin & Lai, P.C. & Mansor, Zulkefli, 2016. "Identifying the most significant input parameters for predicting global solar radiation using an ANFIS selection procedure," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 423-434.
    15. Rosiek, S. & Batlles, F.J., 2010. "Modelling a solar-assisted air-conditioning system installed in CIESOL building using an artificial neural network," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 35(12), pages 2894-2901.
    16. Chao-Rong Chen & Unit Three Kartini, 2017. "k-Nearest Neighbor Neural Network Models for Very Short-Term Global Solar Irradiance Forecasting Based on Meteorological Data," Energies, MDPI, vol. 10(2), pages 1-18, February.
    17. Reikard, Gordon & Hansen, Clifford, 2019. "Forecasting solar irradiance at short horizons: Frequency and time domain models," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 135(C), pages 1270-1290.
    18. Alami Merrouni, Ahmed & Elwali Elalaoui, Fakhreddine & Mezrhab, Ahmed & Mezrhab, Abdelhamid & Ghennioui, Abdellatif, 2018. "Large scale PV sites selection by combining GIS and Analytical Hierarchy Process. Case study: Eastern Morocco," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 119(C), pages 863-873.
    19. Yacef, R. & Benghanem, M. & Mellit, A., 2012. "Prediction of daily global solar irradiation data using Bayesian neural network: A comparative study," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 146-154.
    20. Mohamed A. Ali & Ashraf Elsayed & Islam Elkabani & Mohammad Akrami & M. Elsayed Youssef & Gasser E. Hassan, 2023. "Optimizing Artificial Neural Networks for the Accurate Prediction of Global Solar Radiation: A Performance Comparison with Conventional Methods," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(17), pages 1-30, August.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Solar potential; Global solar radiation; Artificial neural network; J48 algorithm; Western Himalayas;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • J48 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Particular Labor Markets - - - Particular Labor Markets; Public Policy

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:renene:v:75:y:2015:i:c:p:675-693. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/renewable-energy .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.