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Fuzzy modeling techniques and artificial neural networks to estimate annual energy output of a wind turbine

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  • Jafarian, M.
  • Ranjbar, A.M.

Abstract

The purpose of this article is to develop a new method to estimate annual energy output for a given wind turbine in any region which should be easy to use and has satisfactory accuracy. To do this, hourly wind speeds of 25 different stations in Netherlands, output power curve of S47 wind turbine and fuzzy modeling techniques and artificial neural networks were used and a model is developed to estimate annual energy output for S47 wind turbine in different regions. Since this model has three inputs (average wind speed, standard deviation of wind speed, and air density of that region), this model is easy to use. The accuracy of this method is compared with the accuracy of conventional methods and it is shown that this new method performs better. Thereafter, we have shown that by making some small changes to this proposed model, other pitch control wind turbines could be modeled too. As an example, we have modeled E82 wind turbine based on the model developed for S47 and it is shown that this model has still satisfactory accuracy.

Suggested Citation

  • Jafarian, M. & Ranjbar, A.M., 2010. "Fuzzy modeling techniques and artificial neural networks to estimate annual energy output of a wind turbine," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 35(9), pages 2008-2014.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:renene:v:35:y:2010:i:9:p:2008-2014
    DOI: 10.1016/j.renene.2010.02.001
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    Cited by:

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    7. Shahram Hanifi & Saeid Lotfian & Hossein Zare-Behtash & Andrea Cammarano, 2022. "Offshore Wind Power Forecasting—A New Hyperparameter Optimisation Algorithm for Deep Learning Models," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(19), pages 1-21, September.
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    9. Santamaría-Bonfil, G. & Reyes-Ballesteros, A. & Gershenson, C., 2016. "Wind speed forecasting for wind farms: A method based on support vector regression," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 790-809.
    10. Marino Marrocu & Luca Massidda, 2017. "A Simple and Effective Approach for the Prediction of Turbine Power Production From Wind Speed Forecast," Energies, MDPI, vol. 10(12), pages 1-14, November.
    11. Akintayo Temiloluwa Abolude & Wen Zhou, 2018. "Assessment and Performance Evaluation of a Wind Turbine Power Output," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(8), pages 1-15, August.
    12. Qiao, Yanhui & Han, Shuang & Zhang, Yajie & Liu, Yongqian & Yan, Jie, 2024. "A multivariable wind turbine power curve modeling method considering segment control differences and short-time self-dependence," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 222(C).
    13. Han, Shuang & Qiao, Yanhui & Yan, Ping & Yan, Jie & Liu, Yongqian & Li, Li, 2020. "Wind turbine power curve modeling based on interval extreme probability density for the integration of renewable energies and electric vehicles," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 157(C), pages 190-203.
    14. Lydia, M. & Kumar, S. Suresh & Selvakumar, A. Immanuel & Prem Kumar, G. Edwin, 2014. "A comprehensive review on wind turbine power curve modeling techniques," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 452-460.
    15. Hanifi, Shahram & Zare-Behtash, Hossein & Cammarano, Andrea & Lotfian, Saeid, 2023. "Offshore wind power forecasting based on WPD and optimised deep learning methods," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 218(C).
    16. Parada, Leandro & Herrera, Carlos & Flores, Paulo & Parada, Victor, 2017. "Wind farm layout optimization using a Gaussian-based wake model," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 107(C), pages 531-541.
    17. Soroudi, Alireza & Ehsan, Mehdi, 2011. "A possibilistic-probabilistic tool for evaluating the impact of stochastic renewable and controllable power generation on energy losses in distribution networks--A case study," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 15(1), pages 794-800, January.
    18. Lin, Zi & Liu, Xiaolei, 2020. "Wind power forecasting of an offshore wind turbine based on high-frequency SCADA data and deep learning neural network," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 201(C).
    19. Hassna Salime & Badre Bossoufi & Youness El Mourabit & Saad Motahhir, 2023. "Robust Nonlinear Adaptive Control for Power Quality Enhancement of PMSG Wind Turbine: Experimental Control Validation," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(2), pages 1-20, January.
    20. Suganthi, L. & Iniyan, S. & Samuel, Anand A., 2015. "Applications of fuzzy logic in renewable energy systems – A review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 585-607.
    21. Hanifi, Shahram & Cammarono, Andrea & Zare-Behtash, Hossein, 2024. "Advanced hyperparameter optimization of deep learning models for wind power prediction," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 221(C).
    22. Tautz-Weinert, Jannis & Yürüşen, Nurseda Y. & Melero, Julio J. & Watson, Simon J., 2019. "Sensitivity study of a wind farm maintenance decision - A performance and revenue analysis," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 132(C), pages 93-105.
    23. Dhiman, Harsh S. & Deb, Dipankar, 2020. "Fuzzy TOPSIS and fuzzy COPRAS based multi-criteria decision making for hybrid wind farms," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 202(C).

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