IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/renene/v143y2019icp1670-1686.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

The future of Russia’s renewable energy sector: Trends, scenarios and policies

Author

Listed:
  • Proskuryakova, Liliana N.
  • Ermolenko, Georgy V.

Abstract

Today the global energy industry is undergoing major changes shifting towards the green growth and circular economy solutions. The paper offers the outcomes of the foresight study of the Russian renewable energy sector and focuses on three areas: converting solar energy into electricity; converting wind energy into electricity; and converting biomass into thermal energy and electricity. The goal of the study was to foresee and agree on the visionary future for the nascent renewable energy sector in the country, as well as to provide the scientifically justified grounds for government and corporate decision-makers. The research is based on a mixture of methods: bibliometric analysis and text mining, literature review, expert surveys and interviews, workshops, STEEPV analysis of trends, scenario analysis, and applied policy analysis. As a result of the study, major trends and uncertainties that may affect the Russian and global renewable energy sector in the next 15–20 years were identified. Other results include the scenarios for Russia’s renewable energy sector that are proposed together with recommendations for the Russian companies and public authorities. The study’s policy and market implications go beyond Russia: the outcomes may be useful for similar studies, early stage renewable energy policy planning and investment decision.

Suggested Citation

  • Proskuryakova, Liliana N. & Ermolenko, Georgy V., 2019. "The future of Russia’s renewable energy sector: Trends, scenarios and policies," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 143(C), pages 1670-1686.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:renene:v:143:y:2019:i:c:p:1670-1686
    DOI: 10.1016/j.renene.2019.05.096
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0960148119307694
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.renene.2019.05.096?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Apergis, Nicholas & Payne, James E., 2014. "Renewable energy, output, CO2 emissions, and fossil fuel prices in Central America: Evidence from a nonlinear panel smooth transition vector error correction model," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 226-232.
    2. Guta, Dawit Diriba & Börner, Jan, 2015. "Energy security, uncertainty, and energy resource use option in Ethiopia: A sector modelling approach," Discussion Papers 207697, University of Bonn, Center for Development Research (ZEF).
    3. Zhang, Yao & Wang, Jianxue & Wang, Xifan, 2014. "Review on probabilistic forecasting of wind power generation," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 32(C), pages 255-270.
    4. Vasileva, Evgeniia & Viljainen, Satu & Sulamaa, Pekka & Kuleshov, Dmitry, 2015. "RES support in Russia: Impact on capacity and electricity market prices," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 82-90.
    5. Farmer, J. Doyne & Lafond, François, 2016. "How predictable is technological progress?," Research Policy, Elsevier, vol. 45(3), pages 647-665.
    6. Richter, Philipp M. & Holz, Franziska, 2015. "All quiet on the eastern front? Disruption scenarios of Russian natural gas supply to Europe," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 177-189.
    7. Tuzova, Yelena & Qayum, Faryal, 2016. "Global oil glut and sanctions: The impact on Putin’s Russia," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 140-151.
    8. Zeng, Michael A., 2018. "Foresight by online communities – The case of renewable energies," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 129(C), pages 27-42.
    9. Sovacool, Benjamin K. & Kryman, Matthew & Laine, Emily, 2015. "Profiling technological failure and disaster in the energy sector: A comparative analysis of historical energy accidents," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 90(P2), pages 2016-2027.
    10. Sweeney, Jillian C. & Kresling, Johannes & Webb, Dave & Soutar, Geoffrey N. & Mazzarol, Tim, 2013. "Energy saving behaviours: Development of a practice-based model," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 371-381.
    11. Apergis, Nicholas & Payne, James E., 2010. "Coal consumption and economic growth: Evidence from a panel of OECD countries," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 38(3), pages 1353-1359, March.
    12. Celiktas, Melih Soner & Kocar, Gunnur, 2010. "From potential forecast to foresight of Turkey's renewable energy with Delphi approach," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 35(5), pages 1973-1980.
    13. Peters, Michael & Schneider, Malte & Griesshaber, Tobias & Hoffmann, Volker H., 2012. "The impact of technology-push and demand-pull policies on technical change – Does the locus of policies matter?," Research Policy, Elsevier, vol. 41(8), pages 1296-1308.
    14. Kalashnikov, Victor & Gulidov, Ruslan & Ognev, Alexander, 2011. "Energy sector of the Russian Far East: Current status and scenarios for the future," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 39(11), pages 6760-6780.
    15. Apergis, Nicholas & Payne, James E., 2010. "Renewable energy consumption and economic growth: Evidence from a panel of OECD countries," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 38(1), pages 656-660, January.
    16. Boute, Anatole, 2016. "Off-grid renewable energy in remote Arctic areas: An analysis of the Russian Far East," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 1029-1037.
    17. Menyah, Kojo & Wolde-Rufael, Yemane, 2010. "CO2 emissions, nuclear energy, renewable energy and economic growth in the US," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 38(6), pages 2911-2915, June.
    18. Ermolenko, Boris V. & Ermolenko, Georgy V. & Fetisova, Yulia A. & Proskuryakova, Liliana N., 2017. "Wind and solar PV technical potentials: Measurement methodology and assessments for Russia," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 137(C), pages 1001-1012.
    19. Lombardi, P. & Sokolnikova, T. & Suslov, K. & Voropai, N. & Styczynski, Z.A., 2016. "Isolated power system in Russia: A chance for renewable energies?," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 532-541.
    20. Le Gallic, Thomas & Assoumou, Edi & Maïzi, Nadia, 2017. "Future demand for energy services through a quantitative approach of lifestyles," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 141(C), pages 2613-2627.
    21. Moyer, Jonathan D. & Hughes, Barry B., 2012. "ICTs: Do they contribute to increased carbon emissions?," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 79(5), pages 919-931.
    22. Proskuryakova, Liliana, 2017. "Energy technology foresight in emerging economies," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 119(C), pages 205-210.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Ren, Yunxiu & Xu, Chao & Tian, Ziqian & Wang, Tieying & Liao, Zhirong, 2021. "Investigation of the anisotropic thermal properties of the cuboid-like Ca(NO3)2-NaNO3/EG composite," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 171(C), pages 1303-1312.
    2. Sokolnikova, P. & Lombardi, P. & Arendarski, B. & Suslov, K. & Pantaleo, A.M. & Kranhold, M. & Komarnicki, P., 2020. "Net-zero multi-energy systems for Siberian rural communities: A methodology to size thermal and electric storage units," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 155(C), pages 979-989.
    3. Qiqing Wang & Cunbin Li, 2021. "An evolutionary analysis of new energy and industry policy tools in China based on large-scale policy topic modeling," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 16(5), pages 1-19, May.
    4. Syrodoy, S.V. & Kuznetsov, G.V. & Nigay, N.A. & Purin, M.V. & Kostoreva, Zh.A., 2023. "The effect of compaction of the dispersed wood biomass layer on its drying efficiency," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 211(C), pages 64-75.
    5. Igor Makarov, 2022. "Does resource abundance require special approaches to climate policies? The case of Russia," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 170(1), pages 1-21, January.
    6. Zhi-Jiang Liu & Vera Snezhko & Anastasia Kurilova, 2022. "International legal instruments for stimulating green building and construction business: Russian case study," International Environmental Agreements: Politics, Law and Economics, Springer, vol. 22(1), pages 157-175, March.
    7. Lucio Laureti & Alessandro Massaro & Alberto Costantiello & Angelo Leogrande, 2023. "The Impact of Renewable Electricity Output on Sustainability in the Context of Circular Economy: A Global Perspective," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(3), pages 1-29, January.
    8. Romanov, Dmitry & Pelda, Johannes & Holler, Stefan, 2020. "Technical, economic and ecological effects of lowering temperatures in the Moscow district heating system," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 211(C).
    9. Ali Sabyrzhan & Gulnara Balgimbekova & Viktor Shestak, 2021. "RETRACTED ARTICLE: Economic and legal regulation of the use and development of renewable energy sources," International Environmental Agreements: Politics, Law and Economics, Springer, vol. 21(4), pages 595-610, December.
    10. Kilinc-Ata, Nurcan & Proskuryakova, Liliana N., 2023. "Empirical analysis of the Russian power industry's transition to sustainability," Utilities Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    11. Anne P. M. Velenturf, 2021. "A Framework and Baseline for the Integration of a Sustainable Circular Economy in Offshore Wind," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(17), pages 1-41, September.
    12. Svetlana Balashova & Svetlana Ratner & Konstantin Gomonov & Andrey Berezin, 2020. "Modeling Consumer and Industry Reaction to Renewable Support Schemes: Empirical Evidence from the USA and Applications for Russia," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 10(3), pages 158-167.
    13. Alexander N. Alekseev & Aleksei V. Bogoviz & Ludmila P. Goncharenko & Sergey A. Sybachin, 2019. "A Critical Review of Russia s Energy Strategy in the Period until 2035," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 9(6), pages 95-102.
    14. Valeriy V. Iosifov & Pavel D. Ratner, 2021. "Climate Policies of G20 and New Threats for Russian Energy and Transportation Complex," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 11(1), pages 478-486.
    15. Maira Bauer & Mariya Bulatenko & Natalia Shimshirt, 2022. "RETRACTED ARTICLE:Development of corporate investment funds as a tool to achieve the goals of international treaties in the field of climate change," International Environmental Agreements: Politics, Law and Economics, Springer, vol. 22(1), pages 119-138, March.
    16. Teresa Ashe & Marianna Poberezhskaya, 2022. "Russian climate scepticism: an understudied case," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 172(3), pages 1-20, June.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Evgeny Lisin & Wadim Strielkowski & Veronika Chernova & Alena Fomina, 2018. "Assessment of the Territorial Energy Security in the Context of Energy Systems Integration," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(12), pages 1-14, November.
    2. Aslan, Alper, 2016. "The causal relationship between biomass energy use and economic growth in the United States," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 362-366.
    3. Ben Jebli, Mehdi & Ben Youssef, Slim, 2015. "Output, renewable and non-renewable energy consumption and international trade: Evidence from a panel of 69 countries," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 799-808.
    4. Jin, Taeyoung & Kim, Jinsoo, 2018. "What is better for mitigating carbon emissions – Renewable energy or nuclear energy? A panel data analysis," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 464-471.
    5. Rafiq, Shuddhasattwa & Salim, Ruhul & Apergis, Nicholas, 2016. "Agriculture, trade openness and emissions: an empirical analysis and policy options," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 60(2), April.
    6. Nurcan Kilinc-Ata, 2018. "Assessing the Future of Renewable Energy Consumption for United Kingdom, Turkey and Nigeria," Foresight and STI Governance (Foresight-Russia till No. 3/2015), National Research University Higher School of Economics, vol. 12(4), pages 62-77.
    7. Assi, Ala Fathi & Zhakanova Isiksal, Aliya & Tursoy, Turgut, 2021. "Renewable energy consumption, financial development, environmental pollution, and innovations in the ASEAN + 3 group: Evidence from (P-ARDL) model," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 165(P1), pages 689-700.
    8. Das, Narasingha & Bera, Pinki & Panda, Deepak, 2022. "Can economic development & environmental sustainability promote renewable energy consumption in India?? Findings from novel dynamic ARDL simulations approach," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 189(C), pages 221-230.
    9. Dogan, Eyup & Seker, Fahri, 2016. "Determinants of CO2 emissions in the European Union: The role of renewable and non-renewable energy," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 429-439.
    10. Adewuyi, Adeolu O. & Awodumi, Olabanji B., 2017. "Renewable and non-renewable energy-growth-emissions linkages: Review of emerging trends with policy implications," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 275-291.
    11. Adewuyi, Adeolu O. & Awodumi, Olabanji B., 2017. "Biomass energy consumption, economic growth and carbon emissions: Fresh evidence from West Africa using a simultaneous equation model," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 119(C), pages 453-471.
    12. Shahjahan Ali & Shahnaj Akter & Prespa Ymeri & Csaba Fogarassy, 2022. "How the Use of Biomass for Green Energy and Waste Incineration Practice Will Affect GDP Growth in the Less Developed Countries of the EU (A Case Study with Visegrad and Balkan Countries)," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(7), pages 1-18, March.
    13. Acheampong, Alex O. & Dzator, Janet & Savage, David A., 2021. "Renewable energy, CO2 emissions and economic growth in sub-Saharan Africa: Does institutional quality matter?," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 43(5), pages 1070-1093.
    14. Alvarez-Herranz, Agustin & Balsalobre-Lorente, Daniel & Shahbaz, Muhammad & Cantos, José María, 2017. "Energy innovation and renewable energy consumption in the correction of air pollution levels," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 105(C), pages 386-397.
    15. Vikniswari Vija Kumaran & Siti Nurul Munawwarah & Mohd Khairi Ismail, 2021. "Sustainability in ASEAN: The Roles of Financial Development towards Climate Change," Asian Journal of Economics and Empirical Research, Asian Online Journal Publishing Group, vol. 8(1), pages 1-9.
    16. Marques, António Cardoso & Fuinhas, José Alberto & Neves, Sónia Almeida, 2018. "Ordinary and Special Regimes of electricity generation in Spain: How they interact with economic activity," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 81(P1), pages 1226-1240.
    17. Iorember, Paul Terhemba & Usman, Ojonugwa & Jelilov, Gylych, 2019. "Asymmetric Effects of Renewable Energy Consumption, Trade Openness and Economic Growth on Environmental Quality in Nigeria and South Africa," MPRA Paper 96333, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2019.
    18. Shahnazi, Rouhollah & Dehghan Shabani, Zahra, 2020. "Do renewable energy production spillovers matter in the EU?," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 150(C), pages 786-796.
    19. Murshed, Muntasir, 2019. "Trade Liberalization Policies and Renewable Energy Transition in Low and Middle-Income Countries? An Instrumental Variable Approach," MPRA Paper 97075, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    20. Apergis, Nicholas & Chang, Tsangyao & Gupta, Rangan & Ziramba, Emmanuel, 2016. "Hydroelectricity consumption and economic growth nexus: Evidence from a panel of ten largest hydroelectricity consumers," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 318-325.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:renene:v:143:y:2019:i:c:p:1670-1686. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/renewable-energy .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.