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Improved inferences for spatial regression models

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  • Liu, Shew Fan
  • Yang, Zhenlin

Abstract

The quasi-maximum likelihood (QML) method is popular in the estimation and inference for spatial regression models. However, the QML estimators (QMLEs) of the spatial parameters can be quite biased and hence the standard inferences for the regression coefficients (based on t-ratios) can be seriously affected. This issue, however, has not been addressed. The QMLEs of the spatial parameters can be bias-corrected based on the general method of Yang (2015b, J. of Econometrics 186, 178–200). In this paper, we demonstrate that by simply replacing the QMLEs of the spatial parameters by their bias-corrected versions, the usual t-ratios for the regression coefficients can be greatly improved. We propose further corrections on the standard errors of the QMLEs of the regression coefficients, and the resulted t-ratios perform superbly, leading to much more reliable inferences.

Suggested Citation

  • Liu, Shew Fan & Yang, Zhenlin, 2015. "Improved inferences for spatial regression models," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 55-67.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:regeco:v:55:y:2015:i:c:p:55-67
    DOI: 10.1016/j.regsciurbeco.2015.08.004
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Yang, Zhenlin, 2015. "A general method for third-order bias and variance corrections on a nonlinear estimator," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 186(1), pages 178-200.
    2. Yang, Zhenlin, 2010. "A robust LM test for spatial error components," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 40(5), pages 299-310, September.
    3. Bao, Yong, 2013. "Finite-Sample Bias Of The Qmle In Spatial Autoregressive Models," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 29(1), pages 68-88, February.
    4. Bao, Yong & Ullah, Aman, 2007. "Finite sample properties of maximum likelihood estimator in spatial models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 137(2), pages 396-413, April.
    5. Rilstone, Paul & Srivastava, V. K. & Ullah, Aman, 1996. "The second-order bias and mean squared error of nonlinear estimators," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 75(2), pages 369-395, December.
    6. Peter M. Robinson & Francesca Rossi, 2014. "Improved Lagrange multiplier tests in spatial autoregressions," Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 17(1), pages 139-164, February.
    7. Shew Fan Liu & Zhenlin Yang, 2015. "Asymptotic Distribution and Finite Sample Bias Correction of QML Estimators for Spatial Error Dependence Model," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 3(2), pages 1-36, May.
    8. Baltagi, Badi H. & Yang, Zhenlin, 2013. "Heteroskedasticity and non-normality robust LM tests for spatial dependence," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 43(5), pages 725-739.
    9. Bao, Yong, 2013. "Finite Sample Bias Of The Qmle In Spatial Autoregressive Models – Erratum," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 29(1), pages 89-89, February.
    10. Yang, Zhenlin, 2015. "LM tests of spatial dependence based on bootstrap critical values," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 185(1), pages 33-59.
    11. Jin, Fei & Lee, Lung-fei, 2013. "Cox-type tests for competing spatial autoregressive models with spatial autoregressive disturbances," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 43(4), pages 590-616.
    12. Badi H. Baltagi & Zhenlin Yang, 2013. "Standardized LM tests for spatial error dependence in linear or panel regressions," Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 16(1), pages 103-134, February.
    13. Lung-Fei Lee, 2004. "Asymptotic Distributions of Quasi-Maximum Likelihood Estimators for Spatial Autoregressive Models," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 72(6), pages 1899-1925, November.
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    Cited by:

    1. Christoph Strumann, 2019. "Hodges–Lehmann Estimation of Static Panel Models with Spatially Correlated Disturbances," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 53(1), pages 141-168, January.
    2. Rossi, Francesca & Robinson, Peter M., 2023. "Higher-order least squares inference for spatial autoregressions," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 232(1), pages 244-269.
    3. Francesca Rossi & Peter M. Robinson, 2020. "Higher-Order Least Squares Inference for Spatial Autoregressions," Working Papers 04/2020, University of Verona, Department of Economics.
    4. Yang, Zhenlin & Yu, Jihai & Liu, Shew Fan, 2016. "Bias correction and refined inferences for fixed effects spatial panel data models," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 52-72.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Asymptotic inference; Bias correction; Bootstrap; Improved t-ratio; Monte Carlo; Spatial layout; Stochastic expansion; Variance correction;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C10 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - General
    • C12 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Hypothesis Testing: General
    • C15 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Statistical Simulation Methods: General
    • C21 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Cross-Sectional Models; Spatial Models; Treatment Effect Models

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